Insidious-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.25K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

26,624

Trades

228,174

lifetime

Volume

$679.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-31 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% -$3,144

Other

1% 54% -$109

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 7097 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	—	+20	$14	99¢	$20	+$6	10-31 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	—	+5	$3	44¢	$2	$0	10-31 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	—	+15	$7	1¢	$0	-$7	10-31 17:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	258	$553	1,090	5	+1,084	Up	-$8	10-25 21:29
wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	3	$551	874	874	+0	Darja Vidmanova	+$218	06-08 20:47
wta shymano tararud 2026 06 09	7	$380	292	292	+0	Lanlana Tararudee	+$111	06-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	177	$369	733	5	+728	Down	-$1	10-25 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	54	$336	366	366	+0	Up	+$3	06-06 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:15 UTC	47	$329	356	356	+0	Down	+$6	06-12 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	126	$308	600	1	+598	Down	-$6	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	129	$291	572	0	+572	Down	-$6	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	108	$283	565	0	+565	Down	$0	10-25 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	114	$263	520	4	+516	Up	-$1	10-25 20:14
wta xu mandlik 2026 06 08	3	$260	464	217	+247	Elizabeth Mandlik	-$221	06-10 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	110	$246	488	0	+488	Up	-$2	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	101	$242	475	0	+475	Down	-$2	10-25 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	62	$238	495	0	+495	Up	-$5	03-24 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:35 UTC	36	$238	263	263	+0	Up	-$3	06-07 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	97	$232	460	2	+458	Up	+$1	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	101	$228	455	3	+453	Down	-$1	10-24 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:15 UTC	37	$228	248	248	+0	Up	+$3	06-08 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	37	$226	249	249	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 12:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	86	$225	443	0	+443	Up	-$7	09-30 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	95	$223	439	0	+439	Down	-$6	10-19 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:10 UTC	40	$222	269	213	+56	Up	-$24	06-07 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	82	$221	425	1	+424	Up	-$11	10-20 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	55	$218	438	0	+438	Down	+$3	10-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	79	$218	189	275	-87	Up	+$45	06-02 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	90	$218	434	0	+434	Down	-$3	10-25 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	88	$217	429	0	+429	Down	-$3	10-25 20:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	40	$211	438	0	+438	Up	+$11	09-26 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	92	$203	396	0	+396	Down	$0	10-25 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	78	$201	401	5	+396	Down	-$1	10-28 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa13338…
10-31 17:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3c130e…
10-31 17:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x2fff36…
10-31 17:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9dae09…
10-31 17:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8693f1…
10-31 17:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x54e204…
10-31 17:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x4739a1…
10-31 17:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x22b7bf…
10-31 17:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a6e55…
10-31 17:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x436954…
10-31 17:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x172f3e…
10-31 17:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3f80f6…
10-31 17:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x54ca30…
10-31 17:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4ecaaa…
10-31 17:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1dfeaf…
10-31 17:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7be524…
10-31 17:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x19fdf3…
10-31 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeb13b3…
10-31 17:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x95c410…
10-31 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xdd85ab…
10-31 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc42fba…
10-31 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x86f3e3…
10-31 17:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4ca396…
10-31 17:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2c4d39…
10-31 17:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2cf40e…
10-31 17:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xcf33f8…
10-31 17:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x5ec479…
10-31 17:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x37b9b2…
10-31 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x86d765…
10-31 17:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x427923…
10-31 17:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x135842…
10-31 17:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5cf9f3…
10-31 17:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb66d78…
10-31 17:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7c4e05…
10-31 17:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xf1272f…
10-31 17:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xf08fd8…
10-31 17:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x187fd6…
10-31 17:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x30f931…
10-31 17:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xad3659…
10-31 17:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb1b3f1…
10-31 17:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2f88b8…
10-31 17:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4a5927…
10-31 17:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9219c8…
10-31 17:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7eec0a…
10-31 17:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1b7fee…
10-31 17:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0xcfce73…
10-31 17:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6c12cf…
10-31 17:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd78239…
10-31 17:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xbb04dd…
10-31 17:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xa3385f…
10-31 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbb0bfc…
10-31 17:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xbeeb00…
10-31 17:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2a3f30…
10-31 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4c848f…
10-31 16:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdaa819…
10-31 16:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd1353d…
10-31 16:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x576e04…
10-31 16:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xeaf9e8…
10-31 16:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe667fd…
10-31 16:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x00ec02…
10-31 16:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x075e01…
10-31 16:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3da49c…
10-31 16:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x4394bf…
10-31 16:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa86b7c…
10-31 16:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa3cf9f…
10-31 16:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x24c95d…
10-31 16:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x3ab743…
10-31 16:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xff3bf5…
10-31 16:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xe041fb…
10-31 16:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x887c50…
10-31 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x986cf3…
10-31 16:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x48e087…
10-31 16:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2d0889…
10-31 16:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x98754f…
10-31 16:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0da3a4…
10-31 16:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xdb3510…
10-31 16:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9b4f14…
10-31 16:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xde812b…
10-31 16:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xd0d13a…
10-31 16:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xefce9e…
10-31 16:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x144987…
10-31 16:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xd17b53…
10-31 16:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x50c3cc…
10-31 16:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x451d11…
10-31 16:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xefbf3c…
10-31 16:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xf12ffe…
10-31 16:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x2c6554…
10-31 16:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7d8cc8…
10-31 16:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x89a438…
10-31 16:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x092f55…
10-31 16:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe84bee…
10-31 16:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xfa1515…
10-31 16:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe41bc4…
10-31 16:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x1b0a0e…
10-31 16:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x225ea9…
10-31 16:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xedeb38…
10-31 16:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x139129…
10-31 16:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2f5336…
10-31 16:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x86f822…
10-31 16:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x96d618…