Insidious-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved (30d)

10,966

Trades (30d)

131,535

222,086 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$325.8K

$664.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$54

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-30 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% -$3,069

Other

1% 54% -$109

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 7097 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	—	+40	$31	98¢	$39	+$8	10-30 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	—	+7	$6	100¢	$7	+$1	10-30 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	—	+5	$2	98¢	$5	+$3	10-30 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	46¢	$2	$0	10-30 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	—	+40	$12	2¢	$1	-$11	10-30 00:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	258	$553	1,090	5	+1,084	Up	-$8	10-25 21:29
wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	3	$551	874	874	+0	Darja Vidmanova	+$218	06-08 20:47
wta shymano tararud 2026 06 09	7	$380	292	292	+0	Lanlana Tararudee	+$111	06-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	177	$369	733	5	+728	Down	-$1	10-25 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	54	$336	366	366	+0	Up	+$3	06-06 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:15 UTC	47	$329	356	356	+0	Down	+$6	06-12 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	126	$308	600	1	+598	Down	-$6	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	129	$291	572	0	+572	Down	-$6	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	108	$283	565	0	+565	Down	$0	10-25 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	114	$263	520	4	+516	Up	-$1	10-25 20:14
wta xu mandlik 2026 06 08	3	$260	464	217	+247	Elizabeth Mandlik	-$221	06-10 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	110	$246	488	0	+488	Up	-$2	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	101	$242	475	0	+475	Down	-$2	10-25 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	62	$238	495	0	+495	Up	-$5	03-24 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:35 UTC	36	$238	263	263	+0	Up	-$3	06-07 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	97	$232	460	2	+458	Up	+$1	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	101	$228	455	3	+453	Down	-$1	10-24 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:15 UTC	37	$228	248	248	+0	Up	+$3	06-08 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	37	$226	249	249	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 12:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	86	$225	443	0	+443	Up	-$7	09-30 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	95	$223	439	0	+439	Down	-$6	10-19 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:10 UTC	40	$222	269	213	+56	Up	-$24	06-07 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	82	$221	425	1	+424	Up	-$11	10-20 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	55	$218	438	0	+438	Down	+$3	10-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	79	$218	189	275	-87	Up	+$45	06-02 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	90	$218	434	0	+434	Down	-$3	10-25 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	88	$217	429	0	+429	Down	-$3	10-25 20:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	40	$211	438	0	+438	Up	+$11	09-26 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	92	$203	396	0	+396	Down	$0	10-25 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	78	$201	401	5	+396	Down	-$1	10-28 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 00:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xedbedc…
10-30 00:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb27bd5…
10-30 00:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x82f7ed…
10-30 00:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xea6768…
10-30 00:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaa6e63…
10-30 00:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeb6cf7…
10-30 00:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3aa0a3…
10-30 00:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1d78b7…
10-30 00:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbfd055…
10-30 00:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3337f2…
10-30 00:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x5ca528…
10-30 00:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc005d8…
10-30 00:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x715382…
10-30 00:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa59df4…
10-30 00:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x130ab2…
10-30 00:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x79a79c…
10-30 00:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x0e20d2…
10-30 00:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x85c368…
10-30 00:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x14c638…
10-30 00:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0fea23…
10-30 00:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x58aa19…
10-30 00:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x18ec18…
10-30 00:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x13b01e…
10-30 00:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd77cda…
10-30 00:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6ea2ff…
10-30 00:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x194dff…
10-30 00:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x62f34e…
10-30 00:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x6087d2…
10-30 00:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x2aac4f…
10-30 00:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd85c2c…
10-30 00:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xb140ea…
10-30 00:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x823597…
10-30 00:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x778cb9…
10-30 00:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8fe990…
10-30 00:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1faea2…
10-30 00:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2b2d5f…
10-30 00:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc47ad9…
10-30 00:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xff5210…
10-30 00:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd7dd28…
10-30 00:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x82e29f…
10-30 00:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0xbd726e…
10-30 00:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf8cb8e…
10-30 00:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x86d27a…
10-30 00:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x973a0a…
10-30 00:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xa8a173…
10-30 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x58dc5d…
10-30 00:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa3c686…
10-30 00:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xaed401…
10-30 00:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe017f3…
10-30 00:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa9b93c…
10-30 00:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe277bf…
10-30 00:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbddf4d…
10-30 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf671ba…
10-30 00:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8664f7…
10-30 00:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x90e974…
10-30 00:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc7e5b8…
10-30 00:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe1bd19…
10-30 00:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x404f73…
10-30 00:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x897f2d…
10-30 00:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x386b43…
10-30 00:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4063a0…
10-30 00:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x432b0a…
10-29 23:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa501e9…
10-29 23:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6e77e5…
10-29 23:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x57943c…
10-29 23:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa9de14…
10-29 23:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd62b43…
10-29 23:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x041f89…
10-29 23:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x567ade…
10-29 23:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0b54fe…
10-29 23:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x36ccce…
10-29 23:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5af62c…
10-29 23:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x31cfeb…
10-29 23:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xce79e7…
10-29 23:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x26e6f3…
10-29 23:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd1bdda…
10-29 23:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1dffdc…
10-29 23:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x929e7f…
10-29 23:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3c31c7…
10-29 23:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xcfd29a…
10-29 23:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd4af4c…
10-29 23:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xc2d698…
10-29 23:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5940a6…
10-29 23:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9a2873…
10-29 23:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xe9fa4f…
10-29 23:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2fee5a…
10-29 23:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8f7b6f…
10-29 23:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbdc384…
10-29 23:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x33370f…
10-29 23:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x1a182a…
10-29 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1e2d4a…
10-29 23:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x303f2c…
10-29 23:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7fbb57…
10-29 23:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4e3785…
10-29 23:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1d3c06…
10-29 23:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x00c028…
10-29 23:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x14a688…
10-29 23:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfd443c…
10-29 23:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4e30b5…
10-29 23:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xdb1d71…