Insidious-Traditionalism — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$1.28K

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved (30d)

11,027

Trades (30d)

129,745

226,352 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$316.3K

$674.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 10-31 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 58% -$3,094

Other

1% 54% -$109

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 7097 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	—	+15	$11	100¢	$15	+$4	10-31 05:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	—	+15	$11	62¢	$9	-$2	10-31 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	—	+15	$4	38¢	$6	+$2	10-31 05:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	258	$553	1,090	5	+1,084	Up	-$8	10-25 21:29
wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	3	$551	874	874	+0	Darja Vidmanova	+$218	06-08 20:47
wta shymano tararud 2026 06 09	7	$380	292	292	+0	Lanlana Tararudee	+$111	06-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	177	$369	733	5	+728	Down	-$1	10-25 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 17:10 UTC	54	$336	366	366	+0	Up	+$3	06-06 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 00:15 UTC	47	$329	356	356	+0	Down	+$6	06-12 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	126	$308	600	1	+598	Down	-$6	10-23 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	129	$291	572	0	+572	Down	-$6	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	108	$283	565	0	+565	Down	$0	10-25 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	114	$263	520	4	+516	Up	-$1	10-25 20:14
wta xu mandlik 2026 06 08	3	$260	464	217	+247	Elizabeth Mandlik	-$221	06-10 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	110	$246	488	0	+488	Up	-$2	10-25 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	101	$242	475	0	+475	Down	-$2	10-25 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	62	$238	495	0	+495	Up	-$5	03-24 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 12:35 UTC	36	$238	263	263	+0	Up	-$3	06-07 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	97	$232	460	2	+458	Up	+$1	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	101	$228	455	3	+453	Down	-$1	10-24 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 05:15 UTC	37	$228	248	248	+0	Up	+$3	06-08 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:45 UTC	37	$226	249	249	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 12:46
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:55 UTC	86	$225	443	0	+443	Up	-$7	09-30 21:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	95	$223	439	0	+439	Down	-$6	10-19 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 19:10 UTC	40	$222	269	213	+56	Up	-$24	06-07 19:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	82	$221	425	1	+424	Up	-$11	10-20 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	55	$218	438	0	+438	Down	+$3	10-09 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	79	$218	189	275	-87	Up	+$45	06-02 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	90	$218	434	0	+434	Down	-$3	10-25 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	88	$217	429	0	+429	Down	-$3	10-25 20:27
Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	40	$211	438	0	+438	Up	+$11	09-26 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	92	$203	396	0	+396	Down	$0	10-25 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	78	$201	401	5	+396	Down	-$1	10-28 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 05:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x701419…
10-31 05:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xe4da54…
10-31 05:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6cf2e5…
10-31 05:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x10fd2a…
10-31 05:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0f0090…
10-31 05:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb6aa32…
10-31 05:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x976230…
10-31 05:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x50d7e8…
10-31 05:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xfcfb54…
10-31 05:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x93d027…
10-31 05:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb115a0…
10-31 05:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x16b693…
10-31 05:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa30ea4…
10-31 05:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc606df…
10-31 05:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1d18e6…
10-31 05:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0xc622fd…
10-31 05:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbdcb62…
10-31 05:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x72d622…
10-31 05:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x969f3e…
10-31 05:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7f47c2…
10-31 05:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x419238…
10-31 05:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x711f9a…
10-31 05:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8236f2…
10-31 05:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe6153d…
10-31 05:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa247b8…
10-31 05:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xfd0937…
10-31 05:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x6519de…
10-31 05:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6de6e6…
10-31 05:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x509ffa…
10-31 05:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8bf79f…
10-31 05:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x801afe…
10-31 05:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x899ee0…
10-31 05:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x1e62a6…
10-31 05:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xba2839…
10-31 05:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7f4f72…
10-31 05:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x52de1b…
10-31 05:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9fb329…
10-31 05:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x626840…
10-31 05:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x242973…
10-31 05:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x028cad…
10-31 05:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4af61a…
10-31 05:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x761043…
10-31 05:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe8dd64…
10-31 05:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x801ca7…
10-31 05:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x40b52d…
10-31 05:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa0b6cc…
10-31 05:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfa49b4…
10-31 05:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6785da…
10-31 05:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x83b2db…
10-31 05:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x62de46…
10-31 05:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xdb5049…
10-31 05:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x83bcf3…
10-31 05:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x3adb48…
10-31 05:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f46d4…
10-31 05:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x86da7d…
10-31 05:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0cd669…
10-31 05:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2452ef…
10-31 05:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x0663a2…
10-31 05:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4ae37f…
10-31 05:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x918dd4…
10-31 05:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x3a2611…
10-31 05:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xeea134…
10-31 05:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x215342…
10-31 05:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x418f72…
10-31 05:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x854e2a…
10-31 05:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8c0660…
10-31 05:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x3db2c2…
10-31 05:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x96fd16…
10-31 05:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x34ea20…
10-31 05:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x0da1fc…
10-31 05:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8dba59…
10-31 05:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9cb881…
10-31 05:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x1cf547…
10-31 05:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc524c5…
10-31 05:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x269ac5…
10-31 05:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9bdd59…
10-31 05:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc54b8d…
10-31 05:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x457975…
10-31 04:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x81e2f7…
10-31 04:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc98456…
10-31 04:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3037ad…
10-31 04:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x4cc7c3…
10-31 04:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x875d7a…
10-31 04:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x10b130…
10-31 04:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x530970…
10-31 04:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe3f5a8…
10-31 04:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x04224b…
10-31 04:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xf58bd8…
10-31 04:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc7495c…
10-31 04:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0aa2ff…
10-31 04:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc4611a…
10-31 04:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf01831…
10-31 04:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x2281dd…
10-31 04:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x759ae3…
10-31 04:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xfbcd75…
10-31 04:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd6de09…
10-31 04:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x593514…
10-31 04:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xe74006…
10-31 04:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x68d783…
10-31 04:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x64e43f…