This-Crude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$203

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$64

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

77% 100% +$11

Politics

18% 0% $-13

Crypto

5% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	+25	$24	100¢	$25	+$1	05-12 05:15
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	+20	$20	97¢	$19	$-0	05-12 05:09
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	+10	$10	98¢	$10	$-0	05-10 01:26
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$-0	05-12 05:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 05:15:55	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x5cc703…
05-12 05:11:03	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55ee3e…
05-12 05:09:21	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0f94db…
05-12 01:08:33	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xedec9e…
05-11 01:25:20	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	38	86¢	$33	0x466ca3…
05-11 01:24:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x45273b…
05-10 16:40:41	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3f9b6…
05-10 01:26:19	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb173cf…
05-08 06:55:30	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x29ca20…
05-08 01:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x858094…
05-07 14:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5c9077…
05-06 16:08:03	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb6b357…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b	5	$680	41	05-12 15:38
Ondra 0x849c…4009	4	$1.09K	32	05-12 16:21
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	3	$11.8K	276	05-12 15:28
Careful-Providence 0xf993…cd9d	3	$8.42K	5	05-12 11:57
Delicious-Peacoat 0xd897…9b49	3	$800	5	05-06 18:47
Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d	3	$737	219	05-11 19:58
Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92	3	$712	5	05-10 00:15
Brisk-Prosperity 0x064b…eae5	3	$511	7	05-11 20:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$59	70	0	+70	No	+$11	05-08 01:07
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$43	0	50	-50	open	—	05-11 01:25
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	05-12 05:15
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-12 05:09
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	$-13	05-12 01:08
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-12 05:11
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-10 01:26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-06 16:08
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$9	0	9	-9	Yes	$-0	05-08 06:55
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-10 16:40