Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$111
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
639
Trades
1,535
lifetime
Volume
$20.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$176
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-27 11:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 190 days
Categories
Other
77% 85% +$397
Sports
7% 63% +$29
Politics
7% 73% -$444
Crypto
6% 91% +$12
Tech
1% 88% +$8
Pop-Culture
1% 70% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +50 $47 96¢ $48 +$1 06-05 06:24
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,968 $92 2¢ $40 -$52 10-13 17:08
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +50 $38 72¢ $36 -$1 09-18 13:33
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +491 $68 6¢ $29 -$39 08-26 19:10
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,400 $15 1¢ $13 -$2 10-27 11:36
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +100 $18 4¢ $4 -$14 07-16 12:42
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +23 $5 15¢ $3 -$2 07-15 01:10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +200 $4 1¢ $2 -$2 10-14 13:28