Somber-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-08 18:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 100% +$1

Other

36% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	2	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	04-16 23:29
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 29c	1	$53	53	0	+53	open	—	04-16 07:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-25 19:15
bitcoin above 68k on april 23	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-21 19:29
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	05-12 04:08
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	05-06 09:55
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	04-15 04:28
ethereum above 2500 on april 21	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-21 01:56
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	03-30 06:37
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	03-30 06:38
bitcoin above 76k on april 13	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	04-12 18:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	05-24 03:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	05-20 12:32
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-19 15:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-22 13:27
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-23 22:57
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 12c	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-21 10:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-29 04:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-25 20:27
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-18 00:11
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-23 09:10
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-19 23:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	2	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-07 21:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	05-09 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-26 22:21
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-10 04:31
will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-31 00:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-29 00:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-03 03:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-22 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 18:08:45	bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe56942…
06-07 08:28:48	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xacd019…
06-06 03:40:33	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x909de0…
06-01 20:34:24	Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd96313…
06-01 15:50:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf37a7b…
06-01 08:23:29	Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbc5e0a…
05-30 20:21:15	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe19374…
05-30 03:40:58	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x06f9f0…
05-29 10:39:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdedd9f…
05-28 02:36:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc78700…
05-26 05:55:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9f7f5d…
05-26 04:07:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7b33b8…
05-25 20:27:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xdba465…
05-25 01:22:15	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x355ce1…
05-24 03:17:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x4c30ab…
05-22 22:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xff0350…
05-22 13:27:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x59a38b…
05-20 23:14:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdc975b…
05-20 12:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0x028854…
05-20 01:58:51	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2f5307…
05-19 06:54:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd346be…
05-18 23:10:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4b8de4…
05-18 17:22:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xaf30a8…
05-13 14:17:07	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xddddc8…
05-12 04:08:33	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xab652b…
05-12 00:30:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x547788…
05-11 19:19:21	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x58bf07…
05-11 02:48:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x564340…
05-10 04:31:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf7922f…
05-09 23:20:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x929908…
05-08 07:26:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x67396d…
05-07 21:45:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6eebd6…
05-07 19:13:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x40b8a9…
05-06 09:55:54	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xa59718…
05-05 11:15:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9b01e2…
05-05 06:35:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3e9399…
05-04 21:25:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc80e24…
05-03 21:20:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x732ead…
05-03 03:57:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb0ea1e…
04-30 16:22:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x11291d…
04-29 04:44:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6261f5…
04-29 00:11:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x32b545…
04-27 11:42:12	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x83206a…
04-27 03:44:50	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xe9cba7…
04-26 22:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on April 27?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa5928f…
04-26 06:36:02	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x989904…
04-25 19:15:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x696746…
04-24 15:22:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 24	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6731af…
04-24 00:59:04	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd1d99b…
04-23 22:57:50	bitcoin above 72k on april 24	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5745a9…
04-23 22:03:20	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf192d6…
04-23 09:10:52	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 28c	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x025b25…
04-22 16:06:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7525bd…
04-21 19:29:08	bitcoin above 68k on april 23	Yes	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0x467448…
04-21 10:07:32	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe80de5…
04-21 01:56:32	ethereum above 2500 on april 21	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x8e1f32…
04-20 07:19:30	bitcoin above 66k on april 21	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x17435a…
04-19 23:54:30	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x422307…
04-19 15:16:54	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x724ac2…
04-19 03:14:16	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 140 164	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xe29e07…
04-18 00:11:04	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe18ff8…
04-17 09:08:56	ethereum above 2500 on april 17	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7ff3bd…
04-16 23:29:36	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0a5cf5…
04-16 22:17:44	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x8d2ac2…
04-16 07:57:24	highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 29c	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x5c7e0f…
04-15 04:28:00	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xb5e038…
04-14 07:17:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 14	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf26581…
04-12 19:58:11	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 215 239	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3d4296…
04-12 18:41:25	bitcoin above 76k on april 13	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x3626a0…
04-12 06:54:23	highest temperature in seoul on april 12 2026 22c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x20842a…
04-12 01:12:15	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xad737a…
04-02 21:42:37	ethereum above 2300 on april 3	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6797c0…
03-31 00:19:39	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd40339…
03-30 06:38:24	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xf3adeb…
03-30 06:37:50	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x17dd16…
03-13 00:35:29	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5dc4aa…
03-09 02:12:37	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x87e586…
02-25 18:16:20	will ethereum reach 3800 in february 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6c663d…
02-05 02:33:13	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x890ffe…
01-26 03:10:02	will casper ruud win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63eb8c…
01-06 09:15:31	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x65c99c…