Somber-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

173

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$4.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-10 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 100% +$8

Other

40% 100% +$5

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	2	$60	61	0	+61	No	+$0	04-16 23:29
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	1	$54	54	0	+54	No	+$0	10-31 05:53
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 29c	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-16 07:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 27?	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	04-25 19:15
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?	1	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	10-29 07:49
bitcoin above 68k on april 23	1	$46	46	0	+46	Yes	+$0	04-21 19:29
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$44	45	0	+45	No	+$0	05-12 04:08
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?	1	$43	43	0	+43	No	+$0	05-06 09:55
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	10-23 13:06
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	1	$41	41	0	+41	Yes	+$0	04-15 04:28
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 10?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	11-10 20:03
ethereum above 2500 on april 21	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	04-21 01:56
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?	2	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	05-09 13:30
will bitcoin dip to 81k on september 30 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	10-01 01:34
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-30 06:37
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-30 06:38
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	05-25 05:17
will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	08-15 22:37
Will Latvia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	05-13 12:27
bitcoin above 76k on april 13	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	04-12 18:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$0	11-07 15:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-24 03:17
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	05-15 16:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	09-04 19:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	1	$32	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	05-20 12:32
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	04-19 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	10-08 05:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	09-24 21:25
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$0	07-29 02:27
bitcoin above 72k on april 24	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 20:03:28	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe57ac5…
11-07 20:10:31	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on November 7?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9d1bff…
11-07 15:43:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xdd9bfe…
10-31 05:53:21	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x9c68d0…
10-29 07:49:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in October?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x64ae52…
10-29 01:28:29	Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x018b48…
10-27 04:17:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe90a40…
10-23 13:06:54	Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xd168b5…
10-22 19:50:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb63bfd…
10-18 14:59:35	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6a42fd…
10-18 06:25:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xdf016a…
10-13 07:05:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x20489b…
10-12 00:57:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3c0ad0…
10-10 21:27:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x68a9ae…
10-08 05:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x60508c…
10-07 03:32:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe9f8c4…
10-01 21:29:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xca6201…
10-01 01:34:35	will bitcoin dip to 81k on september 30 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xb1f296…
09-26 07:27:03	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xef0586…
09-25 08:27:20	Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 21-27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x420c5d…
09-24 21:25:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x149ab1…
09-24 04:49:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2f57bd…
09-20 07:26:26	will bitcoin reach 88k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc5e6e0…
09-14 10:53:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcab4a7…
09-14 08:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb37af3…
09-07 19:57:46	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2a85bc…
09-07 10:59:37	bitcoin above 76k on september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x75400a…
09-04 19:16:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0612e4…
09-04 02:10:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb87640…
08-30 06:00:12	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the September interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xffaa27…
08-29 03:19:45	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x08a49b…
08-27 05:26:10	Will Solana reach $160 in August?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9cbeaf…
08-26 20:59:12	Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfe9f6e…
08-21 11:39:33	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02d578…
08-18 17:16:48	bitcoin above 62k on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xe4f6a6…
08-18 06:11:39	bitcoin above 62k on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x50ba2e…
08-15 22:37:24	will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x07be7c…
08-11 07:55:33	ethereum above 1800 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe688b3…
08-09 22:32:40	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in July?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x10fe27…
08-07 11:25:57	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbcf5a1…
08-04 03:36:38	bitcoin above 60k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xf28f34…
08-01 05:38:38	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd0270e…
07-30 23:24:17	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3a3eed…
07-29 15:09:27	will russia capture myropillia by july 31	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6b4c4c…
07-29 02:27:20	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x67ad06…
07-25 22:33:52	will ethereum reach 2100 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xee9be3…
07-25 06:26:52	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xf56177…
07-24 00:16:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 24?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x06ed46…
07-21 21:14:49	bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x29f600…
07-19 14:32:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe59aaf…
07-14 16:06:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59041b…
07-13 21:42:11	bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa53090…
07-13 05:16:23	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcbef3c…
07-12 23:53:08	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5c16b7…
07-11 07:14:19	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9daad8…
07-11 06:00:53	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3ffdf6…
07-10 15:41:32	Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x01da9d…
07-06 04:31:40	bitcoin above 56k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbe7193…
07-04 21:41:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5777ad…
07-04 05:42:40	bitcoin above 64k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xcbb652…
07-03 22:01:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3cc2d0…
07-03 18:58:07	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 3	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfa2449…
07-03 06:18:08	will ethereum dip to 1300 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x69e612…
07-02 13:29:56	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa462c1…
07-01 12:22:34	ethereum above 1700 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x46703b…
06-30 23:31:47	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x006848…
06-24 23:36:41	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x168af6…
06-22 22:27:44	bitcoin above 58k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa5a58b…
06-22 05:58:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3ecc49…
06-08 18:08:45	bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe56942…
06-07 08:28:48	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xacd019…
06-06 06:14:10	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x34b456…
06-06 03:40:33	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x909de0…
06-02 19:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6e4dde…
06-01 20:34:24	Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd96313…
06-01 15:50:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf37a7b…
06-01 08:23:29	Will Nicki Minaj advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbc5e0a…
05-31 00:10:19	Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xeabd23…
05-30 20:21:15	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe19374…
05-30 03:40:58	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x06f9f0…
05-29 10:39:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdedd9f…
05-29 03:55:31	Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x9a35ea…
05-28 08:45:07	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x353a7d…
05-28 02:36:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc78700…
05-27 18:25:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd3f569…
05-27 03:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa6826c…
05-26 17:16:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x860c0c…
05-26 05:55:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9f7f5d…
05-26 04:07:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7b33b8…
05-25 20:27:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xdba465…
05-25 05:17:27	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xf82541…
05-25 01:22:15	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x355ce1…
05-24 19:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x63d24a…
05-24 03:17:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x4c30ab…
05-22 22:57:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xff0350…
05-22 21:20:31	Will "THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6f85ca…
05-22 13:27:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x59a38b…
05-21 12:51:15	Will "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xc05d98…
05-20 23:14:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdc975b…
05-20 18:29:04	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0f8492…