Cheerful-Mixer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$405

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$80

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-15 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

71% 39% -$45

Politics

20% 20% -$26

Sports

9% 0% -$36

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No		-63	-$60	97¢	$-62	-$2	07-04 17:38
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes		+43	$20	44¢	$19	-$1	05-24 23:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	1	$60	0	63	-63	open	—	07-04 17:38
will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 936	1	$51	52	0	+52	Yes	+$1	02-15 17:20
will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 114	1	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	01-26 19:10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$30	53	0	+53	No	-$30	07-09 18:10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	1	$30	42	0	+42	Yes	+$12	07-05 17:11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$20	107	0	+107	No	-$20	07-12 16:32
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-24 23:37
will trump meet with vladimir putin in january 2026	4	$19	240	180	+60	No	-$9	01-22 21:16
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	1	$18	47	0	+47	No	-$18	07-12 16:44
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	1	$12	14	0	+14	Yes	+$2	07-05 17:18
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$12	21	0	+21	No	-$12	07-15 01:55
will trump visit greenland by march 31	1	$10	56	0	+56	No	-$10	01-12 02:34
will monthly inflation be between 2pt4 and 2pt6 in december	1	$10	18	0	+18	No	-$10	01-05 21:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	22	0	+22	Yes	+$12	01-22 20:43
will israel strike gaza on january 29 2026	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	-$10	01-26 17:17
will annual inflation increase by between 30 and 32pt9 in december	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	01-05 19:05
will monthly inflation be between 2pt6 and 2pt8 in january	2	$8	12	12	+0	No	+$3	02-05 01:15
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	-$5	03-02 16:14
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	06-20 16:11
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$2	9	0	+9	Yes	-$2	01-26 17:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-25 00:47
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	1	$2	109	0	+109	Yes	-$2	01-22 10:12
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	07-04 00:21
will china win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	02-09 01:49
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	07-04 18:23
will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$1	45	0	+45	No	-$1	02-13 21:54
will china win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$1	15	0	+15	No	-$1	02-09 02:00
will argentina record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 454	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	02-09 01:59
will monthly inflation be between 1pt7 and 1pt9 in january	1	$1	17	0	+17	No	-$1	02-01 17:17
will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 672	1	$1	200	0	+200	No	-$1	02-09 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 01:55:37	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0xade9ec…
07-12 16:44:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0xbc31d8…
07-12 16:32:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0x5747f4…
07-10 02:37:52	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x62720e…
07-09 18:10:31	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x668a4f…
07-05 17:18:58	Will Argentina's monthly inflation in June 2026 be between 1.8% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xef370a…
07-05 17:11:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xcbf162…
07-04 18:23:38	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdd8244…
07-04 17:38:37	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0xe6e55d…
07-04 00:21:32	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd84f63…
07-04 00:21:22	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x68ca9c…
06-20 16:11:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xefc809…
05-25 00:47:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x07117f…
05-24 23:37:39	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x2cef09…
03-02 16:14:07	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xff725f…
02-22 21:46:52	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x34a005…
02-22 21:46:34	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x737de2…
02-15 17:20:05	will dtmf bad bunny be the 1 song on spotify this week 936	Yes	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x1ba87d…
02-13 21:54:35	will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x03ee99…
02-09 02:00:17	will china win the second most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x0c5319…
02-09 01:59:19	will argentina record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 454	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd5b3ab…
02-09 01:49:23	will china win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xaf6b14…
02-09 01:36:47	will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 672	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x555646…
02-05 01:15:19	will monthly inflation be between 2pt6 and 2pt8 in january	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x7d6df9…
02-01 17:17:20	will monthly inflation be between 1pt7 and 1pt9 in january	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x510bd3…
01-26 19:10:21	will end of beginning djo be the 1 song on spotify this week 114	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf18d89…
01-26 17:20:37	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa08ae7…
01-26 17:17:35	will israel strike gaza on january 29 2026	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc0c41f…
01-25 21:38:44	will monthly inflation be between 2pt6 and 2pt8 in january	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x4f7c90…
01-22 21:16:06	will trump meet with vladimir putin in january 2026	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x9409ca…
01-22 20:48:06	will trump meet with vladimir putin in january 2026	Yes	SELL	180	3¢	$5	0x0ff3e7…
01-22 20:47:22	will trump meet with vladimir putin in january 2026	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xb142b9…
01-22 20:43:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5acaf5…
01-22 12:02:00	will trump meet with vladimir putin in january 2026	Yes	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0x2c928d…
01-22 10:12:38	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	No	BUY	109	1¢	$2	0x307a08…
01-19 20:15:44	will the us strike iran next 433	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4b8ca1…
01-19 20:15:22	will the us strike syria next 492	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1acf78…
01-12 02:34:58	will trump visit greenland by march 31	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x2f0be1…
01-05 21:12:05	will monthly inflation be between 2pt4 and 2pt6 in december	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb91399…
01-05 19:05:07	will annual inflation increase by between 30 and 32pt9 in december	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x25d917…