Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$381

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-24 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

96% 21% -$105

Crypto

2% 0% -$9

Politics

1% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+200	$39	3¢	$6	-$33	06-24 19:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$88	110	0	+110	No	+$22	07-01 15:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	11	$51	11,000	200	+10,800	No	-$37	09-16 13:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	3	$39	200	0	+200	open	—	06-24 19:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	6	$38	6,800	0	+6,800	No	-$38	07-29 03:57
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$26	3,000	1,000	+2,000	Yes	-$8	01-28 19:02
Will Orange County SC win on 2026-10-17?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	10-18 04:01
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-24?	6	$16	9,995	6,000	+3,995	No	-$4	10-24 19:44
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	6	$15	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$5	10-17 18:05
Will Orange County SC vs. Phoenix Rising FC end in a draw?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	10-18 04:01
Will Phoenix Rising FC win on 2026-10-17?	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	10-18 04:01
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	7	$11	7,600	0	+7,600	No	-$11	10-09 15:07
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$10	9,990	0	+9,990	Yes	-$10	10-18 05:31
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$9	20	0	+20	Yes	-$9	01-25 18:50
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	1	$5	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$5	06-24 22:56
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	30	0	+30	No	-$5	01-25 01:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$4	100	0	+100	No	-$4	05-01 17:09
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	15	$4	2,200	0	+2,200	Yes	-$4	10-09 02:10
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	1	$3	100	0	+100	No	-$3	01-26 15:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	-$2	01-26 04:13
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	3	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	01-27 00:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	350	0	+350	No	-$1	04-22 02:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$1	150	0	+150	No	-$1	04-22 16:41
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	01-25 20:40
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$1	01-25 18:12
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	5	$1	250	0	+250	No	-$1	01-26 18:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	06-24 17:48
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-10-18?	1	$0	100	0	+100	No	$0	10-19 02:59
Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-09?	1	$0	33	0	+33	Yes	$0	10-09 15:14
Will Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?	1	$0	6	0	+6	No	$0	10-09 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 19:44:53	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xacb9ea…
10-24 19:31:00	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc30ac2…
10-24 19:21:57	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	9,960	0¢	$10	0x387928…
10-24 19:21:23	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xac1fde…
10-24 19:21:20	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb987b9…
10-24 19:21:20	Will CF Montréal win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x49ede8…
10-19 02:59:14	Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x3cc381…
10-18 05:31:51	Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	7,995	0¢	$8	0x683d8a…
10-18 05:30:42	Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	1,995	0¢	$2	0xb92f58…
10-18 04:01:38	Will Orange County SC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdbf764…
10-18 04:01:23	Will Orange County SC vs. Phoenix Rising FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfede3c…
10-18 04:01:14	Will Phoenix Rising FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x407ae7…
10-17 18:05:26	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	1,959	0¢	$4	0xaea1b5…
10-17 18:04:18	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xa5550e…
10-17 18:04:18	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x0806cf…
10-17 18:04:05	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xbdbb45…
10-17 18:03:59	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$5	0x4450e0…
10-17 17:59:17	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x38652f…
10-09 15:14:16	Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x50332e…
10-09 15:07:01	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	3,987	0¢	$4	0xb5d895…
10-09 15:06:45	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x5ed114…
10-09 15:03:45	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x70feb9…
10-09 15:03:42	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	2,240	0¢	$4	0x13a30b…
10-09 15:03:40	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0x604071…
10-09 15:03:40	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	411	0¢	$1	0x37519c…
10-09 15:00:57	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	902	0¢	$2	0xc9b313…
10-09 02:10:35	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x1608e0…
10-09 02:05:29	Will Fluminense FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xa25143…
10-09 02:01:11	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x687b8e…
10-09 01:58:09	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xccec7e…
10-09 01:58:09	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	829	0¢	$2	0x1bc75d…
10-09 01:58:06	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf545ad…
10-09 01:58:05	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc8623a…
10-09 01:57:59	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xba33df…
10-09 01:57:51	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x6957f8…
10-09 01:57:47	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xfa1134…
10-09 01:57:39	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xd8bce5…
10-09 01:57:29	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1de8cb…
10-09 01:57:24	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1119b6…
10-09 01:57:18	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7a2ced…
10-09 01:57:14	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x537b80…
10-09 01:57:11	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-08?	No	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0xae3fce…
09-16 13:52:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xfd88f2…
07-29 03:57:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xb02ed7…
07-29 03:54:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0xbbbcdf…
07-29 03:50:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xe93c28…
07-01 16:51:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x048579…
07-01 15:08:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xb4d78e…
06-24 22:56:08	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xe967ab…
06-24 21:36:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfadd04…
06-24 19:53:58	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x834e6e…
06-24 19:19:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$2	0xde1d07…
06-24 19:19:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0xd605ef…
06-24 19:19:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	182	3¢	$6	0xae1c06…
06-24 19:19:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xa5ca09…
06-24 19:19:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0xa0a3e7…
06-24 19:19:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x98af8f…
06-24 19:19:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	117	3¢	$4	0x26ecd8…
06-24 19:19:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x0ad510…
06-24 18:30:47	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	94	21¢	$19	0xd0fdc2…
06-24 18:18:46	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x7c9b24…
06-24 17:48:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4009df…
06-24 17:47:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	320	3¢	$11	0x5e33c4…
06-24 17:46:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$15	0xde3e91…
06-24 17:38:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x288682…
06-24 17:31:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x98c6a9…
05-01 17:09:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x1fb21f…
05-01 17:09:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0xcee6e8…
04-22 16:41:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x3acb09…
04-22 02:45:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	350	0¢	$1	0xe5e3ff…
01-28 19:02:56	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe0eabc…
01-27 00:41:47	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x0626d2…
01-27 00:35:53	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x57e1c5…
01-27 00:35:43	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xf93ca2…
01-26 18:25:55	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	132	0¢	$1	0x6a4fc0…
01-26 16:08:37	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	44	0¢	$0	0xf6da98…
01-26 16:07:59	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xb516dc…
01-26 16:07:13	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x162504…
01-26 15:38:15	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	626	1¢	$6	0x7f2bca…
01-26 15:36:59	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0xbdd710…
01-26 15:36:55	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	319	1¢	$3	0x11bbe2…
01-26 15:18:01	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x4ffd8f…
01-26 15:18:01	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4858ed…
01-26 04:13:10	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x9416f4…
01-25 20:40:10	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfa9026…
01-25 18:50:40	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x6243d6…
01-25 18:12:30	will the us strike somalia next 656	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x949789…
01-25 18:08:14	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb5bc8b…
01-25 11:35:46	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0x6e44c5…
01-25 01:35:04	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x0f162d…
01-24 18:27:38	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0xf173e7…