Arid-Botany — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$2.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

86% 99% +$4

Politics

9% 100% +$2

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	05-08 16:23
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 17 2026 26corhigher	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	03-17 12:03
will hoppers 4th weekend box office be greater than 13m	2	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	03-29 03:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	05-29 15:58
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	05-12 12:48
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	07-14 12:30
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	04-24 10:30
will mrbeasts latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-10 07:50
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-07 05:40
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 30 2026 933	2	$38	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 21:49
will xo kitty season 3 be the 2 global netflix show this week	2	$38	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 18:53
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:49
will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-26 22:33
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-20 19:24
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 04:18
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 21:06
andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 0 99	2	$34	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 15:55
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-26 20:20
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-27 08:12
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-15 10:47
ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:23
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-01 09:45
Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-19 20:59
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	05-31 05:19
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	04-01 05:05
highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 16c	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-18 06:27
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 18:54
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 28c	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	03-16 13:04
Another Canada election called by June 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-25 12:11
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:04:27	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb33898…
07-28 06:16:25	will hyperliquid reach 88 in july	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xae78c6…
07-14 12:30:10	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9b2d1f…
07-14 04:04:08	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in June?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8a9c4a…
07-02 16:23:07	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xce099d…
06-25 13:23:23	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8e5491…
06-25 12:11:31	Another Canada election called by June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8682f3…
06-22 19:49:14	Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x790780…
06-15 10:47:37	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6efa85…
06-14 01:14:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0033b3…
06-08 21:06:22	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6a0463…
06-07 18:16:45	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xf4297b…
06-04 04:18:27	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6fd816…
06-02 06:50:29	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xfae6f4…
05-31 05:19:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x17f3b7…
05-30 18:14:15	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x3cf401…
05-29 15:58:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x3bd07a…
05-29 07:34:38	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9ae315…
05-26 20:20:52	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb5197a…
05-25 12:00:56	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x9d5f37…
05-21 06:49:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x59d131…
05-20 17:40:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x33ce61…
05-19 20:59:14	Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf237fb…
05-18 06:17:18	Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x792ef8…
05-16 03:13:05	Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be less than 16,500,000?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x5d641a…
05-12 12:48:35	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x91e5a3…
05-11 10:41:31	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in April?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc8dae4…
05-08 16:23:22	Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd987e3…
05-06 00:03:54	Will the Labour Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x846c60…
05-05 18:54:38	Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3fbd8d…
05-04 19:03:32	Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5d15cc…
05-01 09:45:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3f7ca4…
04-30 23:25:34	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x676ccc…
04-29 08:54:40	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x04cc3c…
04-24 10:30:58	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x98392d…
04-23 01:43:56	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x711111…
04-20 19:24:28	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x4ec16b…
04-19 02:49:00	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 37m and 40m	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x34cdeb…
04-14 18:53:42	will xo kitty season 3 be the 2 global netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa07909…
04-13 17:37:55	will xo kitty season 3 be the 2 global netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xcae954…
04-10 07:50:49	will mrbeasts latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3e2333…
04-09 22:17:55	will mrbeasts latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9ac4ac…
04-07 05:40:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x74bcd5…
04-06 20:26:27	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x703ab8…
04-05 10:31:21	will russia strike kyiv on march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8ef145…
04-02 12:17:53	will the us lose more than 150k jobs in march	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdd55e4…
04-01 05:05:53	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xced4db…
03-30 21:49:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 30 2026 933	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6f6c48…
03-30 08:45:56	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 30 2026 933	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xb8ced4…
03-30 03:58:26	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	No	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x26c91e…
03-30 00:16:32	ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x291be2…
03-29 03:32:08	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be greater than 13m	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xa0ef20…
03-29 00:54:52	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be greater than 13m	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x15e3e4…
03-27 08:12:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x863ed5…
03-26 22:33:39	will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x6b7c54…
03-26 17:19:53	will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 81 million views on day 6	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x1b627b…
03-25 15:05:09	will union party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x152a0d…
03-19 12:00:41	highest temperature in taipei on march 20 2026 19c	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x3c7850…
03-18 14:53:15	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 19 2026 23c	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x3e81c0…
03-18 06:27:07	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 16c	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x649fd5…
03-18 05:25:05	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe0a533…
03-17 15:55:47	andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 0 99	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x6dba74…
03-17 15:17:37	andrew tate of tweets march 10 march 17 2026 0 99	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x9c245e…
03-17 12:03:41	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 17 2026 26corhigher	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x55875b…
03-17 09:01:45	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xcb4ced…
03-16 22:32:41	will robert peters be the democratic nominee for il 02 717	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4c6d71…
03-16 21:05:03	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 26m and 29m	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf2481b…
03-16 16:50:53	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 17 2026 26corhigher	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xd9dee3…
03-16 13:04:17	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 28c	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x97d915…
03-16 09:11:01	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 30corhigher	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xf80d28…
03-16 03:38:05	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 28c	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xcba170…
03-16 03:38:03	highest temperature in seattle on march 16 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x680093…
03-16 01:04:51	will frankenstein win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x555f68…
03-16 00:18:33	will robert peters be the democratic nominee for il 02 717	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x34e588…
03-15 15:15:15	will hoppers 2nd weekend box office be between 26m and 29m	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xdc030e…
03-15 00:46:09	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x3e5a68…
03-14 13:50:21	will frankenstein win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x64a472…
03-13 13:41:49	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf93206…
03-13 06:21:47	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd4880c…
03-12 21:10:07	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfeb026…
03-12 12:58:33	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x51deca…
03-11 04:19:31	will mrbeasts next video get less than 59 million views on day 4	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcca61f…
03-10 19:13:11	will mrbeasts next video get less than 59 million views on day 4	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x38775b…
03-10 17:29:55	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in february 876 736 952 866	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcddb2e…
03-10 01:37:33	will annual inflation increase by 2pt7 in february 876 736 952 866	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaaa462…
03-09 07:20:11	will bridgerton season 4 be the 2 us netflix show this week 417	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe3ac56…
03-08 16:53:51	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfd88aa…
03-08 10:38:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 34 and 38 million views on day 2	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8ce793…
03-07 19:48:29	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x931b10…
03-06 16:22:11	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4e6dff…
03-06 13:31:13	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcfdd18…
03-06 00:13:03	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3a22fd…
03-05 06:18:31	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x53e9db…
03-04 00:00:53	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x12d49b…
03-03 17:26:03	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 3 2026 30c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaab890…
03-03 07:12:19	highest temperature in ankara on march 3 2026 14c	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x588fb6…
03-02 19:40:15	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 38 39f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc063dd…
03-02 12:03:43	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 3 2026 30c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4af87c…
03-02 12:03:43	highest temperature in ankara on march 3 2026 14c	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1ae523…
03-01 20:38:43	highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 38 39f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x948e56…