Quiet-Parable — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

171

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-18 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

90% 94% -$34

Sports

10% 49% +$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in madrid on april 8 2026 14corhigher	2	$114	57	57	+0	Yes	+$1	04-08 09:34
highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	9	$70	652	15	+637	No	-$49	04-13 01:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 16?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-15 13:53
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-07 20:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-26 16:14
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 19?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-18 15:24
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 11?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-11 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 78°F or higher on June 30?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-30 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on July 4?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-04 04:26
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on July 14?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-13 17:28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 5?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-05 07:31
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 10?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-09 21:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 29?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-29 08:12
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on July 3?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-02 22:45
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 19?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-19 07:58
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-06 15:12
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 21?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-21 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on July 1?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-01 08:19
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 25?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-25 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 13?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-11 22:40
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 13?	2	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 14:40
highest temperature in ankara on march 25 2026 11c	2	$52	57	0	+57	Yes	+$5	03-25 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	2	$50	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 01:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?	2	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	05-25 12:24
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 20?	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	06-20 13:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 27?	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	04-27 09:41
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 13?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	05-14 01:46
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	1	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	04-17 12:37
Celtics vs. 76ers	2	$37	20	20	+0	Celtics	+$1	04-27 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 15:24:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 19?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x15afae…
07-15 13:53:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe5c55c…
07-13 17:28:13	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x522796…
07-11 22:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 13?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe81de7…
07-10 07:33:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x884121…
07-09 12:46:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3e0846…
07-09 04:40:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or below on July 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xff5e30…
07-07 20:48:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 8?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xfcfc49…
07-06 15:12:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc1fbd4…
07-05 07:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 5?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x7d7d65…
07-04 04:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on July 4?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x380c49…
07-02 22:45:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe4bb30…
07-01 08:19:16	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on July 1?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x2cf1cf…
06-30 07:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 78°F or higher on June 30?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x5c0636…
06-29 08:12:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on June 29?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x88f104…
06-26 16:14:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xadd272…
06-25 03:00:38	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 25?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6ab0ad…
06-21 05:28:55	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 21?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x963f68…
06-20 13:44:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x163205…
06-20 08:44:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x868e6f…
06-20 08:44:20	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd1e612…
06-19 07:58:59	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 19?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x24eefd…
06-11 09:14:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 11?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4f2edb…
06-09 21:48:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 10?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xcc1ea8…
06-08 22:24:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 9?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3b1c5d…
06-08 22:24:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7d2dcc…
06-04 23:17:16	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 5?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa90e59…
06-04 23:17:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe4f9ec…
05-30 22:13:18	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9b7e53…
05-30 22:13:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfc1e2f…
05-30 22:12:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4b9a9a…
05-30 22:11:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4c2915…
05-26 06:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf63be8…
05-25 12:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8aaacd…
05-25 12:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on May 25?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe20acf…
05-25 12:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x476295…
05-20 01:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 19?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xd6948e…
05-20 01:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3c5a0e…
05-20 01:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or higher on May 19?	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0xc57e64…
05-14 01:46:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 13?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xfb9aac…
05-13 18:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xce2d79…
05-13 14:40:12	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 13?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x03ae37…
05-13 12:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 80°F or higher on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75116e…
05-13 12:16:57	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x75cb31…
05-13 12:14:29	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 13?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x2ad3af…
05-10 12:07:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x59cebb…
05-10 07:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x302243…
05-10 06:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xb2937f…
05-10 01:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbf0e51…
05-10 01:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ac6c4…
05-10 01:23:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a7c31…
05-03 01:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x354eb1…
05-03 00:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd53494…
05-03 00:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58cbeb…
05-03 00:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on May 4?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2619df…
05-03 00:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd90b62…
04-27 16:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6ad18d…
04-27 09:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x30f93c…
04-27 08:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8620f0…
04-27 08:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3a2c42…
04-27 08:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a45b0…
04-27 03:59:10	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5	Over	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xac7082…
04-27 03:14:44	Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5	Over	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x2fd82c…
04-27 01:21:50	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc895b9…
04-27 01:20:56	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc6869c…
04-27 01:11:40	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa70f89…
04-27 01:01:46	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5	Under	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xdcb5a4…
04-27 01:01:46	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5	Under	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x046e42…
04-27 01:01:42	Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5	Under	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x66b914…
04-27 00:10:28	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x259bd1…
04-27 00:07:00	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x70861b…
04-17 12:37:50	highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x497e5f…
04-13 08:56:17	highest temperature in chicago on april 14 2026 58forhigher	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa11fde…
04-13 01:58:09	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5157e5…
04-13 01:58:07	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	296	0¢	$0	0x2da35a…
04-13 01:41:03	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5f3802…
04-13 01:41:01	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0xf1ccae…
04-13 01:41:01	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x878152…
04-13 01:08:23	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	166	2¢	$4	0xaf49ae…
04-13 01:00:51	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x946a4e…
04-13 00:49:05	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x5f7c9e…
04-12 11:36:37	highest temperature in dallas on april 12 2026 74forhigher	Yes	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xf168b2…
04-08 09:34:25	highest temperature in madrid on april 8 2026 14corhigher	Yes	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x465c71…
04-04 11:11:03	highest temperature in madrid on april 8 2026 14corhigher	Yes	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x8237c5…
04-01 23:43:27	highest temperature in beijing on april 3 2026 20c	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xc31cf5…
04-01 23:42:43	highest temperature in beijing on april 3 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	64	13¢	$8	0x90ebac…
04-01 23:41:31	highest temperature in beijing on april 3 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x6795f0…
04-01 23:40:17	highest temperature in beijing on april 2 2026 19c	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4123a3…
04-01 23:38:13	highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 19c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x876c69…
04-01 23:25:27	highest temperature in lucknow on april 2 2026 36c	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8ada32…
04-01 23:24:55	highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 34corbelow	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x41f365…
04-01 23:04:21	nba atl orl 2026 04 01 total 233pt5	Over	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7f3c5b…
04-01 23:04:11	nba phi was 2026 04 01 total 238pt5	Over	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x92e787…
04-01 22:38:41	highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 59forbelow	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4dc859…
03-25 13:37:25	highest temperature in ankara on march 25 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	47	92¢	$43	0x19a46c…
03-25 13:37:15	highest temperature in ankara on march 25 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0ba1a1…
03-18 00:13:51	nba mia cha 2026 03 17 spread home 4pt5	Hornets	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x03c95a…
03-18 00:10:13	nba phx min 2026 03 17 1h spread home 1pt5	Suns	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe3002d…
03-17 14:07:59	nba cle mil 2026 03 17 total 228pt5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeecd72…
03-17 14:07:53	nba mia cha 2026 03 17 total 233pt5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x781473…