Realized P&L
+$420
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
64.1%
Resolved
394
Trades
522
lifetime
Volume
$14.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$28
Open exposure
$250
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-18
last 11-02 09:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
83% 38% -$289
Politics
15% 42% +$567
Sports
2% 50% +$105
Tech
0% 100% +$24
Crypto
0% 50% +$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? No +833 $100 12¢ $96 -$4 11-02 09:28
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +667 $100 12¢ $83 -$17 09-04 12:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +81 $30 31¢ $25 -$5 11-01 12:24
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +135 $20 15¢ $20 +$0 10-11 06:38
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06? Yes +49 $20 42¢ $20 +$0 10-31 16:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +187 $20 3¢ $6 -$14 07-20 20:03