Icy-Flat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$144

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-15 23:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 90% +$5

Other

7% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$15	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-15 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-07 09:44
btc updown 5m 1775860800	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 22:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-10 23:44
btc updown 5m 1775858700	2	$5	5	4	+0	open	—	04-10 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 23:29
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-08 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-11 18:44
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-07 13:00
fr2 clf asn 2026 04 10 draw	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-10 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$4	26	0	+26	open	—	04-24 23:20
sol updown 5m 1777048800	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-24 16:45
btc updown 5m 1777044300	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-24 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 23:10
btc updown 5m 1777047900	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-24 16:29
btc updown 5m 1777045200	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-24 15:44
btc updown 5m 1777047000	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-24 16:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-13 21:44
btc updown 5m 1775904900	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	04-11 11:00
btc updown 5m 1775860200	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-10 22:32
btc updown 5m 1775904300	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-11 10:49
btc updown 5m 1777043700	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-24 15:19
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-10 23:14
btc updown 5m 1777041900	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-24 14:49
xrp updown 5m 1777030800	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-24 11:40
btc updown 5m 1775860500	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-10 22:37
btc updown 5m 1777039500	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-24 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-12 00:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-10 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 23:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,500	1¢	$15	0xa4b258…
05-15 23:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3e799d…
05-12 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8f9d30…
05-11 19:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5347b2…
05-11 18:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa7e210…
05-11 18:05:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x376ae9…
05-10 23:53:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x05c4b1…
05-10 23:49:18	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8a581d…
05-10 23:48:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x13963a…
05-10 23:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4854eb…
05-10 23:38:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1e1915…
05-10 23:38:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xab5d7e…
05-10 23:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7b1b3…
05-10 23:23:17	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x59c451…
05-10 23:22:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x958c68…
05-10 23:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x696fe3…
05-10 23:14:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2bc74f…
05-10 23:14:44	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9d1fa7…
05-10 23:14:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7784ec…
05-08 21:54:47	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf0bd03…
05-07 13:00:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x121f47…
05-07 09:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x24be0f…
05-07 09:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb60450…
04-24 23:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7f8f95…
04-24 23:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3e0305…
04-24 23:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x265786…
04-24 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x9887c2…
04-24 23:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7bd83b…
04-24 23:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xcbc657…
04-24 16:45:00	sol updown 5m 1777048800	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0842fc…
04-24 16:29:30	btc updown 5m 1777047900	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x4f90a0…
04-24 16:14:38	btc updown 5m 1777047000	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x434f73…
04-24 15:44:36	btc updown 5m 1777045200	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xe7abf5…
04-24 15:30:02	btc updown 5m 1777044300	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1792de…
04-24 15:19:16	btc updown 5m 1777043700	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2b349d…
04-24 14:49:48	btc updown 5m 1777041900	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4f132f…
04-24 14:09:24	btc updown 5m 1777039500	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3b7a35…
04-24 11:40:38	xrp updown 5m 1777030800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5fe226…
04-24 11:40:32	xrp updown 5m 1777030800	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x865f57…
04-24 11:32:16	btc updown 5m 1777030200	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8a2444…
04-24 11:20:12	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x216a96…
04-24 11:15:56	btc updown 5m 1777029300	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc02245…
04-13 21:53:21	btc updown 5m 1776117000	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8965ad…
04-13 21:44:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f0636…
04-11 11:08:13	btc updown 5m 1775905500	Down	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x3c8128…
04-11 11:00:29	btc updown 5m 1775904900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x193194…
04-11 10:55:51	btc updown 5m 1775904900	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0a953a…
04-11 10:52:29	btc updown 5m 1775904600	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8fb762…
04-11 10:49:35	btc updown 5m 1775904300	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x928ca2…
04-10 22:45:21	btc updown 5m 1775860800	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa8059a…
04-10 22:44:57	btc updown 5m 1775860800	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x2c8e3f…
04-10 22:37:29	btc updown 5m 1775860500	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x969276…
04-10 22:37:23	btc updown 5m 1775860500	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4cf8a2…
04-10 22:32:39	btc updown 5m 1775860200	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd47fa3…
04-10 22:12:03	btc updown 5m 1775858700	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa6d771…
04-10 22:07:25	btc updown 5m 1775858700	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe879ca…
04-10 22:03:47	btc updown 5m 1775858400	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8f5802…
04-10 21:39:45	fr2 clf asn 2026 04 10 draw	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xefae40…
04-09 16:18:55	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xb68013…
04-08 10:56:25	btc updown 5m 1775645700	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x085f96…
04-08 10:50:23	btc updown 5m 1775645400	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x389981…
04-08 10:25:03	fr2 clf asn 2026 04 10 draw	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x915173…
04-08 10:22:09	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x47a101…
04-08 10:18:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0ecd18…
04-08 10:16:09	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe422db…