Realized P&L
+$44
Unrealized P&L
-$155
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
284
Trades
450
lifetime
Volume
$197.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$438
Open exposure
$572
1 position
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-04 13:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Politics
50%
86%
+$6,953
Other
49%
91%
-$7,665
Sports
0%
100%
+$753
Pop-Culture
0%
100%
+$1
Crypto
0%
100%
+$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -22,870 | -$417 | 2¢ | $-572 | -$155 | 06-24 19:02 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 27 | $28.2K | 19,538 | 19,538 | +0 | Yes | +$2,259 | 03-01 05:17 |
| dota2 ty liquid 2026 03 15 | 13 | $16.1K | 18,081 | 7,775 | +10,306 | Team Yandex | -$5,902 | 03-15 21:34 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 16 | $16.1K | 12,183 | 12,183 | +0 | Yes | +$1,685 | 03-02 20:16 |
| us forces enter iran by march 7 | 3 | $6.4K | 7,513 | 0 | +7,513 | No | +$1,113 | 03-05 10:03 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 6 | $6.3K | 3,724 | 3,724 | +0 | No | +$334 | 03-13 17:00 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637 | 6 | $6.2K | 3,723 | 3,722 | +0 | Yes | -$229 | 03-03 16:17 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 6 | $5.8K | 3,314 | 3,314 | +0 | Yes | -$185 | 03-15 12:44 |
| dota2 ty liquid 2026 03 15 game4 | 2 | $5.1K | 2,860 | 2,860 | +0 | Team Liquid | +$543 | 03-15 20:13 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026 | 3 | $5.0K | 5,103 | 0 | +5,103 | Yes | +$103 | 03-01 14:50 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 2 | 8 | $4.9K | 5,211 | 0 | +5,211 | No | +$311 | 03-01 13:42 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757 | 6 | $4.3K | 2,366 | 2,366 | +0 | Yes | -$99 | 03-03 16:18 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | 3 | $4.0K | 2,111 | 2,111 | +0 | No | +$204 | 03-14 04:31 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 6 | $3.9K | 2,439 | 2,439 | +0 | Yes | +$954 | 04-05 09:55 |
| us seizes an iran linked oil tanker by march 7 | 6 | $3.2K | 3,497 | 0 | +3,497 | No | +$332 | 03-04 19:29 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 4 | $2.9K | 1,884 | 1,884 | +0 | No | -$82 | 03-15 12:44 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026 | 5 | $2.5K | 1,595 | 1,064 | +532 | Yes | +$43 | 02-28 17:33 |
| will bahrain strike iran by march 31 | 5 | $2.3K | 1,647 | 1,647 | +0 | No | +$77 | 03-13 17:04 |
| cl up or down on march 2 2026 | 2 | $2.1K | 1,064 | 1,064 | +0 | Up | +$55 | 03-02 16:12 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 3 | $2.0K | 1,017 | 1,017 | +0 | No | +$9 | 03-20 09:53 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 6 | 2 | $2.0K | 1,053 | 1,053 | +0 | No | +$2 | 03-03 16:17 |
| will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575 | 1 | $2.0K | 2,106 | 0 | +2,106 | No | +$106 | 03-04 15:51 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | 5 | $1.9K | 4,339 | 4,339 | +0 | No | -$1,066 | 04-09 10:14 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749 | 3 | $1.9K | 1,042 | 1,042 | +0 | No | -$141 | 03-09 20:05 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692 | 3 | $1.8K | 958 | 958 | +0 | No | +$6 | 03-13 17:04 |
| khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166 | 4 | $1.8K | 1,957 | 0 | +1,957 | No | +$157 | 02-28 20:10 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 5 | $1.8K | 5,140 | 5,140 | +0 | No | -$837 | 05-01 17:55 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31 | 3 | $1.5K | 5,999 | 5,999 | +0 | No | -$281 | 03-26 14:38 |
| iran leadership change by march 31 | 3 | $1.4K | 909 | 909 | +0 | No | +$105 | 03-20 09:27 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 4 | $1.3K | 3,478 | 3,478 | +0 | No | -$278 | 03-27 03:05 |
| will jensen huang attend the 2026 state of the union address | 1 | $1.1K | 1,144 | 0 | +1,144 | No | +$44 | 02-22 11:58 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||