Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

270

Trades

985

lifetime

Volume

$14.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$79

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-12

last 11-03 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

67% 34% -$1,480

Crypto

20% 54% +$36

Politics

12% 64% -$144

Sports

0% 100% +$15

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	+208	$28	20¢	$43	+$15	10-29 17:49
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+300	$33	11¢	$32	-$1	11-01 15:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+5	$4	88¢	$4	+$0	10-09 07:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 3pt5	7	$715	550	550	+0	Under	+$107	07-10 20:34
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	1	$600	759	0	+759	Cabo Verde	-$600	06-15 07:18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	9	$590	370	370	+0	Yes	-$4	10-19 00:58
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$500	900	0	+900	Spain	-$500	07-14 18:59
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread away 1pt5	4	$441	450	0	+450	Brazil	-$441	07-05 21:59
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	4	$412	357	357	+0	Yes	+$12	06-29 18:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	38	$412	9,000	9,000	+0	open	—	10-29 17:49
DR Congo leading at halftime?	4	$309	200	200	+0	Yes	+$11	07-01 17:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	12	$304	260	260	+0	open	—	10-28 03:15
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$300	349	0	+349	Germany	+$49	06-14 11:48
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	3	$298	500	0	+500	Yes	+$202	07-07 17:18
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	1	$288	300	0	+300	Under	+$12	07-03 19:56
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	2	$286	250	125	+125	Yes	+$56	07-02 00:47
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 7pt5	1	$273	300	0	+300	Under	+$27	07-06 02:38
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$249	300	0	+300	Yes	+$51	07-03 09:52
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	8	$228	300	0	+300	Yes	+$72	06-28 04:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$219	150	150	+0	Yes	+$33	10-16 05:46
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	3	$200	250	100	+150	No	-$60	07-05 21:20
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	1	$190	500	0	+500	No	-$190	07-06 20:07
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	2	$184	100	100	+0	Yes	+$14	10-20 19:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$182	100	100	+0	Yes	+$10	10-29 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:55 UTC	7	$151	200	200	+0	Down	+$25	06-25 09:59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	4	$147	87	87	+0	open	—	10-21 15:58
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	5	$145	110	110	+0	Yes	+$7	10-29 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:50 UTC	15	$124	200	100	+100	Down	-$28	06-25 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 13:15 UTC	2	$123	88	88	+0	Up	+$51	06-25 13:20
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	8	$122	444	235	+208	open	—	10-29 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:40 UTC	11	$114	200	100	+100	Up	-$26	06-25 09:42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	4	$111	200	0	+200	Yes	+$89	11-03 10:48
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$108	120	120	+0	No	-$59	10-27 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:48:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x505c88…
11-03 10:45:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x465b59…
11-03 10:03:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	39	55¢	$21	0x52e605…
11-03 09:03:31	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x7c184e…
11-03 05:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2b8c77…
11-03 05:13:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	19¢	$10	0x421df4…
11-03 05:13:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	19¢	$9	0xabfaf0…
11-03 05:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x4c64e1…
11-03 05:07:21	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xca9f41…
11-03 05:07:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$0	0x358fa3…
11-03 05:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xe15a97…
11-03 05:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$0	0xcc8656…
11-03 05:06:21	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$0	0x284eb7…
11-03 05:06:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x4d4d12…
11-03 05:05:51	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xce0bdb…
11-03 05:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x6d0a8d…
11-01 15:18:34	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x7a1386…
11-01 15:03:45	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	12¢	$6	0xfdc9c5…
11-01 15:03:31	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x80f795…
11-01 15:03:28	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xec510c…
11-01 15:01:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	18¢	$17	0x64c133…
11-01 15:01:07	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x3fb907…
11-01 15:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x6044f6…
10-29 17:50:10	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xefa43c…
10-29 17:50:08	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0xcb0efe…
10-29 17:50:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,500	1¢	$25	0x0d7745…
10-29 17:50:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xdf6e45…
10-29 17:50:02	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	58	69¢	$40	0xa4000c…
10-29 17:50:01	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0xc39818…
10-29 17:49:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	69¢	$76	0x557633…
10-29 17:49:58	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	235	20¢	$47	0x6e53e0…
10-29 17:49:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x5bfacc…
10-29 17:49:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,625	2¢	$145	0x0a8e52…
10-29 07:20:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x3d2ed1…
10-29 07:20:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xa06b1f…
10-29 07:19:58	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xbcc15b…
10-28 18:53:37	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x2ff6cb…
10-28 17:52:47	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x9907cb…
10-28 17:52:47	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	75	17¢	$13	0x5802c9…
10-28 17:51:34	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xe37456…
10-28 16:27:40	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0x0bd798…
10-28 15:24:35	Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	41	21¢	$9	0x892a18…
10-28 15:23:11	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xd39972…
10-28 15:01:47	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe5b6c6…
10-28 15:01:46	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	112	24¢	$27	0x5a24f9…
10-28 14:25:25	Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0xc3c829…
10-28 03:39:00	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0xdf491b…
10-28 03:15:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	91	50¢	$46	0xeeda66…
10-27 20:50:02	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xa7bc3f…
10-27 20:20:08	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x49b326…
10-27 20:19:24	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	90	21¢	$19	0xc99eb5…
10-27 20:18:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	68	21¢	$14	0xbe0ad6…
10-27 20:17:06	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0x6cc74e…
10-27 20:11:51	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0xe06e10…
10-27 20:11:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x9394f8…
10-27 20:11:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x2b9195…
10-27 20:11:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1deedd…
10-27 20:11:35	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x8b6d6e…
10-27 13:50:30	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xa1feee…
10-26 22:13:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	65	78¢	$50	0xaafbbe…
10-26 22:04:54	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x100d60…
10-26 22:04:29	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x5999dc…
10-26 21:10:03	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x1eae13…
10-26 16:21:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xc3d224…
10-26 15:03:36	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x770974…
10-26 13:47:26	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x9b8882…
10-26 13:42:48	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Mbappé	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xfd05fe…
10-26 09:26:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x2775a4…
10-26 09:26:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x2551a3…
10-26 05:12:21	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x09cdc1…
10-26 02:12:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	SELL	166	0¢	$1	0xf26c51…
10-26 01:28:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd0002c…
10-26 01:28:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x65d3cf…
10-26 01:28:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$7	0x43af2d…
10-26 01:28:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x8c61e0…
10-25 11:11:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$50	0xffaace…
10-25 09:50:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xfe5455…
10-25 09:50:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x780702…
10-25 09:41:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x0bd7cb…
10-25 09:12:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	3¢	$1	0xe261b8…
10-25 08:56:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xa5d9f5…
10-25 07:24:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	229	3¢	$6	0xc7eb4d…
10-25 07:24:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	3¢	$12	0xa231a1…
10-25 07:24:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x96123a…
10-25 06:11:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xf7693e…
10-25 05:33:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x54ebf0…
10-25 05:33:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x3bff6b…
10-25 00:55:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x569e2a…
10-24 21:30:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x74b003…
10-24 21:12:56	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	74	26¢	$19	0xc5f37d…
10-24 21:12:56	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0x3a38b2…
10-24 21:12:44	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x411bbd…
10-24 20:25:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x5ec5aa…
10-24 20:25:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0x0b9713…
10-24 20:24:50	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	173	3¢	$4	0x1bb55c…
10-24 16:39:38	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x7429bc…
10-24 12:00:20	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x654816…
10-24 10:19:29	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xdbd153…
10-22 18:32:23	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x6ac02e…
10-22 18:16:50	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa72699…