Runny-Morbidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

598

Trades

662

lifetime

Volume

$120.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$182

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-21 05:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 97% +$137

Other

2% 77% -$255

Politics

1% 95% +$12

Sports

0% 71% +$5

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	05-08 05:37
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	04-29 07:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-08 06:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	2	$1.7K	841	841	+0	Yes	-$13	06-02 15:39
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	14	$1.1K	698	700	-2	No	+$1	02-02 12:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	1	$835	836	0	+836	No	+$1	05-29 20:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 29?	1	$830	831	0	+831	No	+$1	05-27 18:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	1	$830	831	0	+831	No	+$1	06-02 15:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	1	$820	824	0	+824	Yes	+$4	05-30 18:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	1	$820	821	0	+821	No	+$1	05-28 21:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	1	$820	821	0	+821	Yes	+$1	05-26 18:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	1	$820	821	0	+821	Yes	+$1	05-22 07:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	1	$730	731	0	+731	Yes	+$1	05-25 19:15
bitcoin above 80k on april 2	1	$600	601	0	+601	No	+$1	03-31 19:51
ethereum above 2700 on january 19	1	$599	600	0	+600	Yes	+$1	01-17 20:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 4?	1	$580	581	0	+581	No	+$1	06-02 15:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	2	$480	481	0	+481	No	+$1	05-22 19:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	1	$440	440	0	+440	No	+$0	05-13 18:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?	1	$440	440	0	+440	No	+$0	05-16 20:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?	1	$430	430	0	+430	No	+$0	05-17 21:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	1	$430	430	0	+430	Yes	+$0	05-11 19:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-24 21:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 25?	1	$420	421	0	+421	Yes	+$1	05-23 21:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 17?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-15 20:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 17?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-15 20:38
bitcoin above 64k on april 16	1	$420	420	0	+420	Yes	+$0	04-14 20:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	1	$420	420	0	+420	No	+$0	05-19 22:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$410	412	0	+412	Yes	+$2	05-23 21:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	1	$410	410	0	+410	No	+$0	05-19 22:09
bitcoin above 60k on april 13	1	$410	410	0	+410	Yes	+$0	04-11 20:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?	1	$410	410	0	+410	No	+$0	05-20 21:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	1	$410	410	0	+410	No	+$0	05-10 04:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	1	$410	410	0	+410	No	+$0	05-20 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 05:39:10	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe78586…
07-20 09:47:09	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6948b3…
07-19 12:59:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xecc1ea…
07-18 06:24:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc923a8…
07-17 07:13:16	dota2 ngx bb4 2026 07 16	BetBoom Team	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6a9b67…
07-16 09:50:20	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x275425…
07-15 09:14:34	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xc16204…
07-14 09:14:53	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xd87d25…
07-13 07:20:55	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x07b084…
07-12 12:47:35	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf124fe…
07-11 09:12:44	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa72926…
07-10 07:29:28	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x037d64…
07-09 06:55:53	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa7f27d…
07-08 08:30:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x839fdc…
07-07 06:39:25	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3d2725…
07-06 07:20:20	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x28555b…
07-05 04:44:41	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x42b512…
07-04 05:47:37	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4d8016…
07-03 06:33:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0b2911…
07-02 06:50:52	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x5596c6…
07-01 08:19:37	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x91b7d3…
06-30 05:39:05	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x898f83…
06-29 05:41:10	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x11114a…
06-28 04:37:38	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8e8dab…
06-27 05:12:07	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xcbf520…
06-26 06:05:38	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xecf810…
06-25 08:41:47	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x63d798…
06-24 06:20:43	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x06036b…
06-23 06:09:07	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x557340…
06-22 05:34:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd9bcd3…
06-21 04:34:44	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x59a68b…
06-20 08:23:23	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x7564c7…
06-19 06:03:05	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x99b511…
06-18 07:47:38	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x7c7fd3…
06-18 07:10:46	Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x0897e2…
06-17 06:08:55	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x56f498…
06-16 06:39:16	Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2a7100…
06-15 05:28:39	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xecd953…
06-14 14:30:34	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe04672…
06-13 04:00:07	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe6df16…
06-12 06:18:48	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7d0322…
06-11 06:06:51	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2248e8…
06-10 05:40:34	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfc92d8…
06-09 18:48:27	Will Argentina win the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xf59300…
06-09 05:24:46	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfe1d3b…
06-08 06:49:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x02906b…
06-07 13:14:39	cs2 mnte lgc 2026 06 07	Legacy	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfb6df8…
06-06 06:08:16	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06	Dplus KIA	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x45f9a0…
06-05 08:03:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa1ca96…
06-04 07:43:27	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04	FlyQuest	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xffc693…
06-03 04:24:12	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xff6ad9…
06-02 15:45:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xa2761d…
06-02 15:44:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	581	100¢	$580	0x0ce697…
06-02 15:39:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	841	98¢	$827	0xe3f61c…
06-02 15:18:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	831	100¢	$830	0xab29a2…
06-02 10:00:04	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc14eab…
06-01 17:10:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	841	100¢	$840	0xbed64b…
06-01 08:50:17	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdc1ae8…
05-31 08:10:26	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x803cec…
05-30 18:59:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	824	100¢	$820	0x20ee11…
05-30 07:06:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x36f2d4…
05-29 20:37:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	836	100¢	$835	0x8c2497…
05-29 07:16:09	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa85c6d…
05-28 21:18:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	821	100¢	$820	0xfaa6e9…
05-28 06:34:50	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xce32c5…
05-27 18:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	831	100¢	$830	0x78786c…
05-27 12:27:51	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0213b1…
05-26 18:17:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	821	100¢	$820	0xed1723…
05-26 06:23:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa0cbe4…
05-25 19:15:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	731	100¢	$730	0xa3f973…
05-25 19:15:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x370e82…
05-25 19:14:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3b7e58…
05-25 06:37:53	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xde6619…
05-24 21:34:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xc4a0a1…
05-24 21:34:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0x760937…
05-24 06:51:47	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcffd16…
05-23 21:29:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	412	100¢	$410	0x4d7bc5…
05-23 21:28:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	421	100¢	$420	0xe23a69…
05-23 09:44:02	LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7e3eb5…
05-22 19:03:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xd88b80…
05-22 19:02:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9c0540…
05-22 19:02:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 24?	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0xb2afbb…
05-22 10:56:21	LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	JD Gaming	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x74a910…
05-22 07:42:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	821	100¢	$820	0xddac84…
05-21 06:06:54	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdb2f98…
05-20 21:46:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0xa4621c…
05-20 21:46:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0x0a7164…
05-20 07:53:42	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8ad470…
05-19 22:09:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0xa60d45…
05-19 22:09:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0x2ec835…
05-19 08:24:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc12a6d…
05-18 18:23:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	405	100¢	$405	0x73275d…
05-18 18:23:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	406	100¢	$405	0xb8f65a…
05-18 09:06:05	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x376f2a…
05-17 21:04:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x48293e…
05-17 21:03:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?	No	BUY	430	100¢	$430	0x7e6988…
05-17 04:33:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4442fd…
05-16 20:04:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0x525bf4…
05-16 20:04:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 18?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$360	0x67098d…
05-16 06:15:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7580b0…