Runny-Morbidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

599

lifetime

Volume

$120.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$201

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-08 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$9

Other

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+1	$1	95¢	$1	+$0	06-08 06:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	2	$1.7K	841	841	+0	open	—	06-02 15:39
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?	14	$1.1K	698	700	-2	open	—	02-02 12:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	1	$835	836	0	+836	open	—	05-29 20:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 29?	1	$830	831	0	+831	open	—	05-27 18:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	1	$830	831	0	+831	open	—	06-02 15:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	1	$820	824	0	+824	open	—	05-30 18:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	1	$820	821	0	+821	open	—	05-28 21:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	1	$820	821	0	+821	open	—	05-26 18:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	1	$820	821	0	+821	open	—	05-22 07:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	1	$730	731	0	+731	open	—	05-25 19:15
bitcoin above 80k on april 2	1	$600	601	0	+601	open	—	03-31 19:51
ethereum above 2700 on january 19	1	$599	600	0	+600	open	—	01-17 20:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 4?	1	$580	581	0	+581	open	—	06-02 15:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	2	$480	481	0	+481	open	—	05-22 19:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?	1	$440	440	0	+440	open	—	05-16 20:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	1	$440	440	0	+440	open	—	05-13 18:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?	1	$430	430	0	+430	open	—	05-17 21:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	1	$430	430	0	+430	Yes	+$0	05-11 19:47
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	1	$420	420	0	+420	open	—	05-24 21:34
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 25?	1	$420	421	0	+421	open	—	05-23 21:28
bitcoin above 64k on april 16	1	$420	420	0	+420	open	—	04-14 20:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	1	$420	420	0	+420	open	—	05-19 22:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 17?	1	$420	420	0	+420	open	—	05-15 20:38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 17?	1	$420	420	0	+420	open	—	05-15 20:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$410	412	0	+412	open	—	05-23 21:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	1	$410	410	0	+410	open	—	05-19 22:09
bitcoin above 60k on april 13	1	$410	410	0	+410	open	—	04-11 20:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	1	$410	410	0	+410	open	—	05-20 21:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?	1	$410	410	0	+410	open	—	05-20 21:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	1	$410	410	0	+410	No	+$0	05-10 04:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 06:49:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x02906b…
06-07 13:14:39	cs2 mnte lgc 2026 06 07	Legacy	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfb6df8…
06-06 06:08:16	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06	Dplus KIA	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x45f9a0…
06-04 07:43:27	cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04	FlyQuest	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xffc693…
06-03 04:24:12	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xff6ad9…
06-02 15:45:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xa2761d…
06-02 15:44:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	581	100¢	$580	0x0ce697…
06-02 15:39:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	841	98¢	$827	0xe3f61c…
06-02 15:18:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	831	100¢	$830	0xab29a2…
06-02 10:00:04	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc14eab…
06-01 17:10:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	841	100¢	$840	0xbed64b…
06-01 08:50:17	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdc1ae8…
05-31 08:10:26	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x803cec…
05-30 18:59:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	824	100¢	$820	0x20ee11…
05-30 07:06:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x36f2d4…
05-29 20:37:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	836	100¢	$835	0x8c2497…
05-28 21:18:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	821	100¢	$820	0xfaa6e9…
05-28 06:34:50	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xce32c5…
05-27 18:34:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	831	100¢	$830	0x78786c…
05-26 18:17:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	821	100¢	$820	0xed1723…
05-25 19:15:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	731	100¢	$730	0xa3f973…
05-25 19:15:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x370e82…
05-25 19:14:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3b7e58…
05-24 21:34:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xc4a0a1…
05-24 21:34:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 26?	No	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0x760937…
05-23 21:29:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	412	100¢	$410	0x4d7bc5…
05-23 21:28:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	421	100¢	$420	0xe23a69…
05-23 09:44:02	LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7e3eb5…
05-22 19:03:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xd88b80…
05-22 19:02:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9c0540…
05-22 19:02:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 24?	No	BUY	340	100¢	$340	0xb2afbb…
05-22 10:56:21	LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	JD Gaming	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x74a910…
05-22 07:42:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	821	100¢	$820	0xddac84…
05-21 06:06:54	Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	paiN	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdb2f98…
05-20 21:46:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0xa4621c…
05-20 21:46:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0x0a7164…
05-20 07:53:42	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8ad470…
05-19 22:09:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0xa60d45…
05-19 22:09:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21?	No	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0x2ec835…
05-19 08:24:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc12a6d…
05-18 18:23:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	405	100¢	$405	0x73275d…
05-18 18:23:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	406	100¢	$405	0xb8f65a…
05-17 21:04:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x48293e…
05-17 21:03:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 19?	No	BUY	430	100¢	$430	0x7e6988…
05-17 04:33:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4442fd…
05-16 20:04:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0x525bf4…
05-16 20:04:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 18?	No	BUY	360	100¢	$360	0x67098d…
05-16 06:15:43	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7580b0…
05-15 20:38:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0x604850…
05-15 20:38:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 17?	No	BUY	420	100¢	$420	0xb517c0…
05-15 08:59:02	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0793ec…
05-14 19:52:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xc8fe4a…
05-14 19:51:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xc8ef01…
05-14 05:59:53	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x91f6d6…
05-13 18:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$440	0x9ddc65…
05-13 18:28:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x56dbe1…
05-12 20:29:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x4610fa…
05-12 20:29:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 14?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x16b31d…
05-11 19:47:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	430	100¢	$430	0x1517db…
05-11 19:47:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x796e2c…
05-11 07:49:47	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc7310d…
05-10 19:39:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xfd2288…
05-10 19:39:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xead996…
05-10 04:56:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	410	100¢	$410	0xb5bbf0…
05-10 04:56:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 11?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xd924c0…
05-08 20:18:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x8fffff…
05-08 20:18:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x7454f6…
05-07 19:02:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xa2a2c8…
05-07 19:02:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x9bfdcd…
05-06 18:40:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xe28670…
05-06 18:39:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6e2798…
05-06 18:39:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xa2d47b…
05-06 05:26:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xedf3d1…
05-05 18:54:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xd1ee54…
05-05 18:53:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x60a4e4…
05-04 19:35:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x16812e…
05-04 19:34:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 6?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x507d90…
05-04 19:34:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x7972e2…
05-04 08:24:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb4b688…
05-03 20:15:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xef3e8e…
05-03 20:14:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x7d95d2…
05-02 19:57:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x519468…
05-02 19:57:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 4?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x64b00b…
05-01 19:19:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x376352…
05-01 19:19:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 3?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xcf1485…
05-01 06:56:38	Will Trump say "Military" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2dc0b1…
04-30 21:15:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xfbb0d7…
04-30 21:15:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 2?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x5fcbbd…
04-30 09:12:14	LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcac5cf…
04-29 20:08:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x69a6ff…
04-29 20:08:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x7f6169…
04-28 20:04:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x6ce092…
04-28 20:04:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 30?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xfb2b99…
04-27 19:16:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x419362…
04-27 19:16:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xd0ea86…
04-27 08:43:50	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8ba364…
04-26 18:58:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xcae187…
04-26 18:58:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xfedaa0…
04-26 04:37:48	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7210c9…
04-25 21:03:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x931ac6…