Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

88.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$31

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-02 18:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

65% 53% +$58

Other

32% 27% -$11

Tech

3% 25% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes		+295	$43	11¢	$31	-$12	09-12 08:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	9	$351	182	182	+0	No	+$10	05-15 06:07
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$289	153	153	+0	Yes	+$14	04-14 18:16
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$232	119	119	+0	No	+$2	04-13 01:10
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$115	73	73	+0	Yes	+$15	04-15 09:42
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$100	139	0	+139	Yes	+$39	05-27 21:33
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	2	$64	64	64	+0	No	-$6	04-15 10:41
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	4	$43	295	0	+295	open	—	09-12 08:06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$36	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$36	09-22 06:41
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$0	04-13 01:11
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$0	04-13 13:09
dota2 ave ngx 2026 04 13	1	$15	25	0	+25	ALIS VENTORUS	-$15	04-13 13:26
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	09-29 19:47
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	2	$9	16	16	+0	Yes	+$5	09-28 11:32
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	09-28 14:05
trump renames ai by september 30	3	$8	15	5	+10	Yes	-$1	09-29 14:34
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	09-29 18:35
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	10-01 11:52
trump renames ai by december 31	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	09-29 04:58
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$1	09-28 13:44
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-02 10:57
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-02 10:57
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?	2	$5	9	9	+0	Yes	+$1	09-30 18:34
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	8	8	+0	open	—	09-29 12:27
Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?	2	$4	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 07:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	10-02 18:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	10-02 18:32
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	10-02 10:57
Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	2	$3	6	6	+0	Yes	-$1	09-30 23:44
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	10-01 18:10
Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	2	$2	7	7	+0	No	-$2	10-01 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 18:32:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xf4e4eb…
10-02 18:32:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xc99960…
10-02 12:26:18	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xc3827e…
10-02 12:26:18	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x204e12…
10-02 10:57:12	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x1ef435…
10-02 10:57:12	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x183b92…
10-02 10:57:11	Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xe5e259…
10-01 19:54:03	Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x35750e…
10-01 18:10:47	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x3d8e18…
10-01 11:52:30	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x31ce51…
10-01 02:02:44	Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x0ae848…
09-30 23:44:24	Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	No	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x029b5e…
09-30 18:34:12	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xb10543…
09-30 15:12:32	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf5a069…
09-30 13:03:02	Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x67bd4e…
09-29 19:47:27	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x1d33c2…
09-29 18:35:51	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x2b648d…
09-29 18:29:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xf358da…
09-29 18:28:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x11811c…
09-29 17:45:53	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x21b806…
09-29 17:42:33	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5d72b7…
09-29 14:55:20	trump renames ai by october 31	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2e166a…
09-29 14:34:57	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa23cca…
09-29 12:27:08	Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x99aec5…
09-29 12:24:29	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x64dbd8…
09-29 12:23:38	Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfa9cf8…
09-29 07:43:33	EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?	No	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf7f119…
09-29 07:20:41	Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x2b0586…
09-29 04:58:54	trump renames ai by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$4	0xb242ee…
09-29 04:38:08	Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcc2d63…
09-29 04:38:06	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc7a010…
09-29 04:38:06	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x561f4c…
09-29 04:38:06	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x08ac52…
09-29 04:38:05	Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x35b26e…
09-28 19:49:29	Will Urban Granström be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x353afc…
09-28 18:30:12	Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa12d12…
09-28 18:09:59	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x86981f…
09-28 18:09:59	trump renames ai by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3eb05a…
09-28 17:34:03	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xe468d2…
09-28 17:33:48	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x04bf3c…
09-28 15:11:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x15a092…
09-28 14:05:30	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x721b5a…
09-28 13:44:41	trump renames ai by september 30	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xe9d189…
09-28 13:44:41	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x093ce4…
09-28 13:44:08	Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe5638a…
09-28 11:51:27	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa3e358…
09-28 11:50:51	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xbb28f9…
09-28 11:32:48	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	SELL	16	40¢	$7	0x2fe83a…
09-28 11:19:20	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 15	No	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xf1081f…
09-28 11:18:30	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xe73c1e…
09-28 02:00:41	Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7eb117…
09-27 20:21:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x3204d2…
09-27 20:21:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x917760…
09-22 06:41:54	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x125a45…
09-12 16:35:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xfb6467…
09-12 08:06:54	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x2fe0e1…
09-10 04:15:27	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	127	15¢	$19	0x1efd73…
09-10 04:10:15	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	132	14¢	$18	0x3dc3f0…
09-10 04:08:52	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	13¢	$4	0x4d9025…
09-09 02:48:15	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$19	0x94b574…
09-09 02:47:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xc8a436…
05-27 21:33:56	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xb670bc…
05-15 06:07:13	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xadb620…
05-15 06:07:06	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$112	0x354138…
05-14 03:04:56	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf959d6…
05-14 03:04:56	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x5bcf1c…
04-20 00:03:10	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xc310e9…
04-17 04:51:28	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa5b4ba…
04-16 05:25:18	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	BUY	77	93¢	$72	0xec9f06…
04-16 01:35:42	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd475bf…
04-16 01:30:22	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x029b76…
04-15 10:41:34	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	64	46¢	$29	0x3dd0f8…
04-15 09:42:00	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	52	90¢	$47	0x7fa1a8…
04-15 09:40:42	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0x68712d…
04-14 19:34:34	Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	64	55¢	$35	0x40cd6b…
04-14 19:18:42	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x68dab4…
04-14 18:16:18	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	153	99¢	$151	0xb46868…
04-13 13:26:09	dota2 ave ngx 2026 04 13	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xef75b8…
04-13 13:09:07	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xc0f85c…
04-13 01:11:37	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x63087e…
04-13 01:11:23	Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xdf44e6…
04-13 01:10:35	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	90¢	$117	0x6e6127…
04-13 01:10:17	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	119	98¢	$117	0xa5326d…
04-13 01:08:01	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xa05553…
04-13 00:33:45	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xcc51bd…
04-11 23:47:51	Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x6daee1…
04-11 23:47:41	Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xf70753…
04-11 23:46:51	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xd46eea…