General-Convection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-18 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 33% $-79

Sports

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	6	$195	130	130	+0	Down	$-5	05-06 03:39
btc updown 15m 1781785800	7	$185	166	118	+48	open	—	06-18 12:42
xrp updown 15m 1781794800	7	$157	153	103	+50	open	—	06-18 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$82	87	87	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$79	42	42	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$76	50	50	+0	Down	+$23	05-06 04:45
xrp updown 15m 1781790300	7	$74	50	50	+0	open	—	06-18 13:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$74	49	49	+0	Up	+$24	05-06 05:56
xrp updown 15m 1781788500	7	$73	49	49	+0	open	—	06-18 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$73	48	48	+0	Down	+$23	05-06 04:59
xrp updown 15m 1781792100	5	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	06-18 14:22
eth updown 15m 1781787600	6	$71	47	47	+0	open	—	06-18 13:14
eth updown 15m 1781792100	2	$71	47	47	+0	open	—	06-18 14:24
xrp updown 15m 1781789400	2	$69	46	46	+0	open	—	06-18 13:36
xrp updown 15m 1781793000	2	$68	47	47	+0	open	—	06-18 14:43
xrp updown 15m 1781793900	2	$66	45	45	+0	open	—	06-18 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$50	86	0	+86	Up	$-50	05-06 03:18
eth updown 15m 1781795700	2	$50	93	0	+93	open	—	06-18 15:14
btc updown 15m 1781786700	2	$49	66	66	+0	open	—	06-18 12:46
sol updown 15m 1781786700	2	$47	66	66	+0	open	—	06-18 12:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	4	$40	103	0	+103	Down	+$63	05-06 03:03
xrp updown 15m 1781791200	2	$30	61	0	+61	open	—	06-18 14:00
xrp updown 15m 1781778600	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	06-18 10:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$28	55	0	+55	Up	$-28	05-06 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$26	52	0	+52	Up	$-26	05-06 07:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$26	51	0	+51	Down	$-26	05-06 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$25	50	0	+50	Up	$-25	05-06 03:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$25	50	0	+50	Down	$-25	05-06 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Up	$-25	05-06 03:42
xrp updown 15m 1781787600	1	$25	47	0	+47	open	—	06-18 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 15:14:46	xrp updown 15m 1781795700	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xfcdc29…
06-18 15:14:35	eth updown 15m 1781795700	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x83b9d7…
06-18 15:12:44	eth updown 15m 1781795700	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x11ebee…
06-18 15:11:58	xrp updown 15m 1781794800	Down	SELL	50	73¢	$37	0x02b4c0…
06-18 15:11:13	xrp updown 15m 1781794800	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xeda45c…
06-18 15:10:02	xrp updown 15m 1781794800	Down	SELL	52	67¢	$35	0x6bed7e…
06-18 15:08:29	xrp updown 15m 1781794800	Down	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0xdebdd2…
06-18 15:08:14	xrp updown 15m 1781794800	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x679c86…
06-18 15:07:08	xrp updown 15m 1781794800	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8088bc…
06-18 14:59:53	xrp updown 15m 1781794800	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xe6b27c…
06-18 14:58:44	xrp updown 15m 1781793900	Up	SELL	45	90¢	$41	0x0f6a7e…
06-18 14:58:04	eth updown 15m 1781794800	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x3993cd…
06-18 14:44:11	xrp updown 15m 1781793900	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x29e169…
06-18 14:43:58	xrp updown 15m 1781793000	Down	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0x0f50d3…
06-18 14:25:40	xrp updown 15m 1781793000	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xf687b6…
06-18 14:25:07	eth updown 15m 1781793000	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x07089f…
06-18 14:24:02	eth updown 15m 1781792100	Up	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0xbfb9ee…
06-18 14:22:58	xrp updown 15m 1781792100	Up	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x027d81…
06-18 14:15:14	xrp updown 15m 1781792100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x61d3cf…
06-18 14:15:14	xrp updown 15m 1781792100	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x3aa466…
06-18 14:15:13	xrp updown 15m 1781792100	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6e09b0…
06-18 14:15:13	xrp updown 15m 1781792100	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x593655…
06-18 14:01:07	eth updown 15m 1781792100	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x5fb900…
06-18 14:00:46	xrp updown 15m 1781791200	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa3b340…
06-18 13:52:13	xrp updown 15m 1781790300	Up	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xcafe69…
06-18 13:47:35	xrp updown 15m 1781790300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe89e93…
06-18 13:47:35	xrp updown 15m 1781790300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8291cb…
06-18 13:47:35	xrp updown 15m 1781790300	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f179f…
06-18 13:47:35	xrp updown 15m 1781790300	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x24de28…
06-18 13:47:34	xrp updown 15m 1781790300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcd9acf…
06-18 13:47:34	xrp updown 15m 1781790300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x67bc1b…
06-18 13:41:13	eth updown 15m 1781791200	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xa507cc…
06-18 13:40:58	xrp updown 15m 1781791200	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x840230…
06-18 13:36:20	xrp updown 15m 1781789400	Down	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x00e0a0…
06-18 13:29:32	xrp updown 15m 1781789400	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x429f5a…
06-18 13:29:16	xrp updown 15m 1781788500	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x74efb4…
06-18 13:29:16	xrp updown 15m 1781788500	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6e542f…
06-18 13:29:14	xrp updown 15m 1781788500	Up	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x5b5ffe…
06-18 13:29:14	xrp updown 15m 1781788500	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4104e3…
06-18 13:29:14	xrp updown 15m 1781788500	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1a8e61…
06-18 13:29:13	xrp updown 15m 1781788500	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x380035…
06-18 13:15:10	xrp updown 15m 1781788500	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb2d8fa…
06-18 13:14:58	eth updown 15m 1781788500	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x27b2dd…
06-18 13:14:55	eth updown 15m 1781787600	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6d9e12…
06-18 13:14:55	eth updown 15m 1781787600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3481ea…
06-18 13:14:55	eth updown 15m 1781787600	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x3037bf…
06-18 13:14:53	eth updown 15m 1781787600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2e161b…
06-18 13:14:53	eth updown 15m 1781787600	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x262b3c…
06-18 12:56:17	eth updown 15m 1781787600	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xbdd46f…
06-18 12:55:56	xrp updown 15m 1781787600	Down	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x0e7a53…
06-18 12:55:01	sol updown 15m 1781786700	Down	SELL	66	34¢	$22	0x7e5efe…
06-18 12:54:35	sol updown 15m 1781786700	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xaba58f…
06-18 12:46:41	btc updown 15m 1781786700	Down	SELL	66	37¢	$24	0x8860d5…
06-18 12:46:22	btc updown 15m 1781786700	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xab3040…
06-18 12:42:14	btc updown 15m 1781785800	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x4a0917…
06-18 12:39:59	btc updown 15m 1781785800	Down	SELL	35	81¢	$29	0x0d42cf…
06-18 12:39:35	btc updown 15m 1781785800	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x1653be…
06-18 12:38:52	btc updown 15m 1781785800	Down	SELL	39	68¢	$26	0xb752af…
06-18 12:38:25	btc updown 15m 1781785800	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xf40beb…
06-18 12:37:40	btc updown 15m 1781785800	Down	SELL	44	69¢	$30	0x6ddfaa…
06-18 12:37:16	btc updown 15m 1781785800	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x6b7dcb…
06-18 11:48:16	eth updown 15m 1781783100	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x07d054…
06-18 11:29:05	btc updown 15m 1781782200	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x8f7668…
06-18 10:40:50	xrp updown 15m 1781778600	Up	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0x48cb2e…
06-18 10:30:17	xrp updown 15m 1781778600	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb4439b…
06-18 10:28:14	sol updown 15m 1781778600	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8d5281…
05-07 02:03:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x82df22…
05-06 07:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x106bac…
05-06 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x4c0af8…
05-06 07:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x71cdfd…
05-06 07:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x6d6d57…
05-06 07:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	87	48¢	$42	0x95da8f…
05-06 07:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x3a6944…
05-06 05:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xdc036b…
05-06 05:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x95e0d2…
05-06 05:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4130dd…
05-06 05:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xca1c5d…
05-06 05:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x99a346…
05-06 05:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x6cd849…
05-06 05:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x253abd…
05-06 04:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xabcca9…
05-06 04:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0c84e9…
05-06 04:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1cb61c…
05-06 04:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd86375…
05-06 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x48a212…
05-06 03:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x212c1c…
05-06 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xde7d17…
05-06 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xbb4b9b…
05-06 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x663f12…
05-06 03:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xc86a57…
05-06 03:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	69	69¢	$48	0x22442d…
05-06 03:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x8bc9b4…
05-06 03:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x271561…
05-06 03:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	61	78¢	$47	0x71d153…
05-06 03:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x4460d7…
05-06 03:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xa74582…
05-06 03:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x540e3c…
05-06 03:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x933ad7…
05-06 03:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcd4512…
05-06 03:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x719cba…