General-Convection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$861

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-07 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 33% $-79

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	6	$195	130	130	+0	Down	$-5	05-06 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$82	87	87	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$79	42	42	+0	Down	$-1	05-06 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$76	50	50	+0	Down	+$23	05-06 04:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$74	49	49	+0	Up	+$24	05-06 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$73	48	48	+0	Down	+$23	05-06 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$50	86	0	+86	Up	$-50	05-06 03:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	4	$40	103	0	+103	Down	+$63	05-06 03:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$28	55	0	+55	Up	$-28	05-06 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$26	52	0	+52	Up	$-26	05-06 07:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$26	51	0	+51	Down	$-26	05-06 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$25	50	0	+50	Up	$-25	05-06 03:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	4	$25	50	0	+50	Down	$-25	05-06 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	1	$25	48	0	+48	Up	$-25	05-06 03:42
nba atl dal 2026 03 18	1	$14	18	0	+18	open	—	03-18 06:20
will union progressiste pour le renouveau upr win the most seats in the 2026 benin parliamentary election	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-21 07:39
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 13:36
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	1	$2	20	0	+20	No	$-2	05-07 02:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 02:03:26	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x82df22…
05-06 07:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x106bac…
05-06 07:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x4c0af8…
05-06 07:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x71cdfd…
05-06 07:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x6d6d57…
05-06 07:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	87	48¢	$42	0x95da8f…
05-06 07:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x3a6944…
05-06 05:56:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xdc036b…
05-06 05:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x95e0d2…
05-06 05:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4130dd…
05-06 05:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xca1c5d…
05-06 05:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x99a346…
05-06 05:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x6cd849…
05-06 05:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x253abd…
05-06 04:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xabcca9…
05-06 04:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0c84e9…
05-06 04:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1cb61c…
05-06 04:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xd86375…
05-06 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x48a212…
05-06 03:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x212c1c…
05-06 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xde7d17…
05-06 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xbb4b9b…
05-06 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x663f12…
05-06 03:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xc86a57…
05-06 03:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	69	69¢	$48	0x22442d…
05-06 03:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x8bc9b4…
05-06 03:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x271561…
05-06 03:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	61	78¢	$47	0x71d153…
05-06 03:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x4460d7…
05-06 03:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xa74582…
05-06 03:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x540e3c…
05-06 03:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x933ad7…
05-06 03:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcd4512…
05-06 03:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x719cba…
05-06 03:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1382bf…
05-06 03:03:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x1ee025…
04-27 13:36:06	Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondar	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x4aeee4…
03-18 06:20:37	nba atl dal 2026 03 18	Hawks	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xeab6ac…
01-21 07:39:42	will union progressiste pour le renouveau upr win the most seats in the 2026 benin parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xbc7edf…