Mean-Peony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$755

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-11 03:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1780694700	3	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	06-05 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$36	37	0	+37	open	—	05-16 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$21	15	14	+1	open	—	04-24 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	05-24 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-24 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$17	20	10	+10	open	—	05-18 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$16	30	0	+30	open	—	04-25 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 00:23
btc updown 5m 1780614000	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	06-04 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	3	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$14	15	14	+1	open	—	04-24 22:09
btc updown 5m 1781147700	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	06-11 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 08:26
btc updown 5m 1777032300	1	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	04-24 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 01:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 03:17:34	btc updown 5m 1781147700	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x2da2d0…
06-11 03:14:37	btc updown 5m 1781147700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x939dda…
06-11 03:05:42	btc updown 5m 1781147100	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd0dba6…
06-11 02:49:45	btc updown 5m 1781146200	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf694a4…
06-05 21:28:40	btc updown 5m 1780694700	Down	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x8f9701…
06-05 21:25:06	btc updown 5m 1780694700	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe50ba7…
06-05 21:25:03	btc updown 5m 1780694700	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x782b40…
06-04 23:00:42	btc updown 5m 1780614000	Up	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x1906bf…
06-04 22:59:57	btc updown 5m 1780614000	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xd7e599…
06-04 15:20:24	btc updown 5m 1780586400	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x4ac37a…
06-04 15:19:58	btc updown 5m 1780586400	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb27f23…
06-03 03:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xfe502f…
06-03 03:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x624d1b…
06-03 03:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x8d0aea…
05-25 00:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xa88155…
05-25 00:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x973c28…
05-24 14:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x421025…
05-24 14:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xb8b64b…
05-24 14:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x538a3d…
05-24 13:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xe9636a…
05-20 22:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x04b275…
05-20 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xb033b0…
05-20 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x0572c7…
05-20 08:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x1dd140…
05-20 08:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xb5f4f5…
05-20 08:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x4836f3…
05-20 07:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x69c6f7…
05-20 07:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x5d0b2a…
05-20 07:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x14b1a3…
05-20 07:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x3548e5…
05-20 07:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb0afc1…
05-20 03:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x4088b3…
05-20 03:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc674fc…
05-20 02:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xaa350d…
05-20 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb29bc4…
05-20 02:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x390b81…
05-20 02:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xd73de2…
05-20 02:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x7807e3…
05-20 02:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x65a2cd…
05-20 02:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x4b05ee…
05-20 02:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x47e6d6…
05-18 11:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xca0baa…
05-18 11:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x82f04e…
05-18 10:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x3312dc…
05-18 10:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd973cc…
05-18 03:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xa3e1f9…
05-18 03:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x5624c0…
05-18 03:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xd64441…
05-18 02:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x3e3852…
05-18 02:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf7fc3c…
05-18 02:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xbfc405…
05-18 02:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4057de…
05-18 02:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x9c1fe1…
05-18 02:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x1f971d…
05-18 01:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xabd456…
05-18 01:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x81f4a1…
05-18 01:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb4e3eb…
05-18 01:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x91f7b8…
05-18 01:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x2b96a2…
05-18 01:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x62e209…
05-18 01:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x4886ff…
05-18 01:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xd4b364…
05-18 01:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf556ca…
05-18 01:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x45cdf8…
05-18 01:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3daf0e…
05-18 01:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xc72e56…
05-18 01:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xba86a2…
05-17 23:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x52ef20…
05-17 23:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe0c2b9…
05-17 23:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x31b475…
05-17 23:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x471a36…
05-17 21:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xd56edf…
05-17 21:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x150486…
05-16 19:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x45848d…
05-15 02:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x010657…
05-15 02:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x317a40…
05-15 01:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x922001…
05-15 01:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x01dc6b…
05-15 01:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2e9aac…
05-13 23:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc90a6e…
05-13 22:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8baffc…
05-13 22:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x01ceb8…
05-13 22:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xbd6492…
05-13 22:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x8b801f…
05-13 00:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x688be8…
05-13 00:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x0cece7…
05-13 00:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x9cecd3…
05-13 00:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xf0bc2c…
05-12 22:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xbef658…
05-12 22:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x8fa70c…
05-11 01:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe6e906…
05-11 01:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdf6171…
05-11 01:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xcd1cbb…
05-11 01:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe9006d…
05-06 01:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xccc67f…
05-06 01:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x69414e…
05-02 02:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x11abd3…
05-02 02:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x294c5e…
05-02 01:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe83bbb…
05-02 01:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2dad5e…