Earnest-Doorpost — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-30 09:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$2

Crypto

35% 96% +$0

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 60 79	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	03-12 04:31
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	2	$46	23	23	+0	No	+$0	08-23 03:56
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-30 16:05
xrp above 0pt5 on july 6 2026	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	07-05 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 11°C on November 1?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-30 09:53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on September 15?	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	09-14 04:28
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on September 14?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	09-14 04:28
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	09-14 04:29
will ethereum reach 2400 august 3 9 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	08-08 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 23?	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	08-23 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on August 24?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-23 03:55
highest temperature in paris on february 20 2026 14corhigher	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-20 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 14?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	09-14 04:28
xrp above 1pt8 on january 8	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	01-07 06:50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 9?	1	$22	23	0	+23	No	+$0	08-08 02:29
highest temperature in atlanta on february 16 2026 49forbelow	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	02-15 12:10
highest temperature in miami on april 5 2026 90 91f	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	04-05 03:21
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on january 11	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	01-10 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 48°C on April 28?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-27 10:10
bitcoin above 100k on january 30	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-28 06:24
will the price of solana be less than 90 on january 12	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-10 07:21
ethereum above 2300 on august 9 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-08 02:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 24?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-23 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 16?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-15 13:19
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 14?	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:14
xrp above 0pt6 on july 5 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	Yes	+$0	07-03 06:11
highest temperature in seattle on february 6 2026 60 61f	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	02-07 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on June 17?	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	06-15 13:20
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	01-23 06:48
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	01-07 06:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7f5deb…
09-14 04:29:54	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8b5a02…
09-14 04:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x077f9a…
09-14 04:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xce302c…
09-14 04:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x29c535…
08-30 16:05:10	Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8b83cb…
08-23 03:58:04	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd3041b…
08-23 03:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on August 23?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9084f3…
08-23 03:56:52	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1b49e5…
08-23 03:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x949e1a…
08-23 03:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 23?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x903808…
08-23 03:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on August 24?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa38ecd…
08-08 02:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xd41c49…
08-08 02:28:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x59c101…
08-08 02:27:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x16320c…
08-08 02:27:22	ethereum above 2300 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5dbd42…
08-08 02:24:36	will ethereum reach 2400 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9551e9…
08-08 02:21:18	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x75c434…
07-05 03:34:07	xrp above 0pt5 on july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0xf3275a…
07-03 06:12:13	xrp above 0pt5 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfb7f41…
07-03 06:11:55	xrp above 0pt6 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x007587…
07-03 06:11:41	xrp above 1pt4 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xff1cee…
06-15 13:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x91bc48…
06-15 13:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 16?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x35f471…
06-15 13:18:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x02a186…
05-12 03:14:49	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on May 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6f4b8f…
05-12 03:14:19	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x438662…
05-12 03:14:05	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x723261…
04-27 10:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 48°C on April 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0d46f5…
04-27 10:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x09dff1…
04-27 10:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 28?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x671e61…
04-05 03:21:21	highest temperature in miami on april 5 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa08eac…
04-05 03:20:29	will solana reach 110 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb71a0e…
04-05 03:20:09	will ethereum reach 2400 march 30 april 5	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0364c7…
03-12 04:31:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 60 79	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x3d7074…
02-20 11:58:12	highest temperature in paris on february 20 2026 14corhigher	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd2d556…
02-20 11:57:26	highest temperature in sao paulo on february 21 2026 23corbelow	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x267a99…
02-20 11:57:08	highest temperature in sao paulo on february 20 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5aa4fe…
02-15 12:10:51	highest temperature in atlanta on february 16 2026 49forbelow	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb938be…
02-15 12:10:25	highest temperature in paris on february 16 2026 5corbelow	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6f70b8…
02-15 12:10:11	highest temperature in paris on february 15 2026 2c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1e39cc…
02-07 05:06:15	highest temperature in seattle on february 6 2026 60 61f	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdda8f6…
02-07 05:05:11	highest temperature in seoul on february 8 2026 0corhigher	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xac10f6…
02-07 05:04:49	highest temperature in seoul on february 7 2026 neg 2corhigher	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x352766…
01-30 01:13:54	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xee7849…
01-28 06:24:59	bitcoin above 100k on january 30	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbd3e09…
01-28 06:24:33	bitcoin above 96k on january 29	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x690ac2…
01-28 06:24:17	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd9c335…
01-23 06:49:10	bitcoin above 104k on january 25	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x90f787…
01-23 06:48:46	bitcoin above 96k on january 23	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7aa860…
01-23 06:48:26	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9b09bf…
01-18 10:53:46	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 100 119	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96b53d…
01-18 10:53:30	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefb151…
01-18 10:53:14	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 420 439	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x247e70…
01-18 10:52:42	solana above 100 on january 20	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x916439…
01-14 02:17:54	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt70 on january 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7863f5…
01-14 02:17:46	will the price of xrp be between 1pt80 1pt90 on january 14	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdc4c0d…
01-14 02:17:28	xrp above 1pt6 on january 15	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x64c44e…
01-14 02:17:12	xrp above 1pt9 on january 14	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8f6a2f…
01-10 07:21:48	will the price of solana be less than 90 on january 12	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe3cd59…
01-10 07:21:38	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on january 11	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x719426…
01-07 06:50:47	xrp above 1pt8 on january 8	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x059b17…
01-07 06:49:25	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xccfec3…
01-07 06:48:27	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x521b49…