Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on September 15?
No won
Total volume
$369
Trades
27
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-09-15
First seen
2026-09-13
last 09-15 14:44
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $43
vs crowd: 0% YES on $279)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $0 | $122 | $122 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | $60 | $59 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $68 | $68 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | $29 | $29 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $0 | $42 | $42 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 5 | — | $107 | $107 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $110 | $110 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | +80 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-14 04:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 09-14 02:45 |
| Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 09-14 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | +48 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 09-14 09:01 |
| Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 09-14 15:31 |
| Upright-Lambkin 0xae79…5322 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 09-13 23:43 |
| Earnest-Doorpost 0x230f…51e0 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 09-14 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x8271…320c | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 09-14 05:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x2609…a847 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-14 09:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x59fd…74c8 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-13 17:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xebf7…aa53 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-14 00:22 |
| Crafty-Pace 0x474d…6b5f | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 09-14 02:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xe812…e44c | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-14 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-14 15:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:44:22 | Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x97a3bf… |
| 09-15 14:44:22 | (anonymous) 0x2d11…a043 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x97a3bf… |
| 09-14 15:31:16 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x589118… |
| 09-14 15:31:16 | Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0x589118… |
| 09-14 15:31:16 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x589118… |
| 09-14 13:00:00 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xcecbb1… |
| 09-14 13:00:00 | Pleasant-Blind 0x6191…9e5e | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xcecbb1… |
| 09-14 09:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x2609…a847 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6b32c… |
| 09-14 09:01:25 | (anonymous) 0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6b32c… |
| 09-14 09:01:25 | Rare-Azimuth 0x4868…a1c1 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xf6b32c… |
| 09-14 09:01:25 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xf6b32c… |
| 09-14 05:04:51 | (anonymous) 0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xedf149… |
| 09-14 05:04:51 | (anonymous) 0x8271…320c | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xedf149… |
| 09-14 04:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc408f… |
| 09-14 04:51:57 | (anonymous) 0xe812…e44c | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xcc408f… |
| 09-14 04:49:10 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x185ea8… |
| 09-14 04:49:10 | Powerless-Loss 0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | BUY | 80 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x185ea8… |
| 09-14 04:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x29c535… |
| 09-14 04:28:19 | Earnest-Doorpost 0x230f…51e0 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x29c535… |
| 09-14 02:45:09 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71d0f5… |
| 09-14 02:45:09 | Crafty-Pace 0x474d…6b5f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x71d0f5… |
| 09-14 00:22:31 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdcf0b0… |
| 09-14 00:22:31 | (anonymous) 0xebf7…aa53 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xdcf0b0… |
| 09-13 23:43:03 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe457be… |
| 09-13 23:43:03 | Upright-Lambkin 0xae79…5322 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe457be… |
| 09-13 17:57:40 | (anonymous) 0x2d11…a043 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x92e637… |
| 09-13 17:57:40 | (anonymous) 0x59fd…74c8 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x92e637… |