Actual-Autoimmunity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

293

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:25
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:59
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:06
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:12
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:42
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:37
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:25
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe284ee…
11-02 14:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb96556…
11-01 10:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5018a7…
10-31 15:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c18fd…
10-30 14:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10bb98…
10-29 17:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9df678…
10-29 09:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94c7d2…
10-28 07:44:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d1af5…
10-27 08:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdb6b1…
10-26 09:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c6d8f…
10-24 11:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e17c9…
10-22 10:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72aa52…
10-20 07:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcad7db…
10-19 09:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9423e3…
10-18 09:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x040a67…
10-17 15:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc321bf…
10-16 09:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51edda…
10-15 09:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb0278…
10-14 09:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12557d…
10-13 09:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2947b2…
10-12 09:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20178e…
10-11 08:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x080cb9…
10-08 09:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdebfdd…
10-07 15:24:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c1727…
10-06 08:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8de0ad…
10-05 01:59:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc82f27…
10-03 08:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57394d…
10-02 11:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5232b…
10-01 08:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9653d9…
09-30 12:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c41fe…
09-29 15:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7111d3…
09-28 09:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4f346…
09-27 08:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4ec65…
09-25 16:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3f6fe…
09-24 08:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x569d55…
09-23 07:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce40a2…
09-22 08:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4467cc…
09-21 09:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87e295…
09-20 05:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcffba2…
09-19 08:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd3cd8…
09-18 06:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d63c6…
09-17 04:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf5930…
09-16 08:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x930d99…
09-15 10:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a1842…
09-14 09:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04c7ce…
09-12 16:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb887d5…
09-11 07:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x274185…
09-10 08:20:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33a236…
09-09 09:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1d0e3…
09-08 15:44:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30981d…
09-08 06:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12e478…
09-07 08:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e0f6a…
09-06 17:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0184b2…
09-06 09:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c70bd…
09-05 01:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd795a8…
09-03 16:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10a32e…
09-02 07:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x606fc7…
08-30 09:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x953bc3…
08-29 09:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfb86f…
08-28 08:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x740928…
08-27 08:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00bf0d…
08-26 08:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f5e38…
08-25 09:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d85c4…
08-24 13:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf58d0…
08-23 14:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f4ebc…
08-22 08:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5ab31…
08-21 07:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdab0eb…
08-20 08:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bc0d4…
08-19 15:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4b2fb…
08-18 08:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x298f3f…
08-17 07:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8c1ff…
08-16 11:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fd1b9…
08-15 09:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5ff0f…
08-14 06:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbceef2…
08-13 08:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9766e…
08-12 07:58:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x454a74…
08-11 06:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x009be2…
08-10 07:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a89eb…
08-09 02:12:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a9c92…
08-08 07:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc643ec…
08-07 07:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae60ae…
08-06 06:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc19f9…
08-05 07:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4a6dc…
08-04 08:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc644d0…
08-03 07:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3755ec…
08-02 02:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0a348…
08-01 07:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24cdfe…
07-31 13:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fa970…
07-30 06:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf1b84…
07-29 07:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3aa1d…
07-28 06:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x507020…
07-27 08:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf94224…
07-26 07:20:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fb259…
07-25 08:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ba0ee…
07-24 10:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8394e1…
07-23 08:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf3fc1…
07-22 02:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1266f9…
07-21 09:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64bba7…
07-21 00:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0ef38…
07-20 07:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafc98a…