Realized P&L
-$55
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
51.0%
Resolved
47
Trades
159
lifetime
Volume
$352
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$62
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 10-04 12:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 36% -$8
Other
27% 17% -$38
Politics
23% 50% -$9
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +589 $30 6¢ $35 +$5 10-04 12:11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +143 $10 6¢ $8 -$2 10-04 12:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +14 $5 46¢ $6 +$1 10-04 12:18
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +118 $5 4¢ $5 +$0 10-04 12:16
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +11 $5 43¢ $5 $0 10-04 12:19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +24 $10 14¢ $3 -$7 10-04 12:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +20 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 10-04 12:21