Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$202

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

641

Trades

1,923

lifetime

Volume

$7.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-22

last 10-29 11:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

98% 32% -$166

Tech

1% 20% -$19

Crypto

1% 22% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+10	$2	20¢	$2	$0	10-10 21:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+25	$1	4¢	$1	$0	09-22 00:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+10	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	10-16 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 23?	2	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	08-23 11:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 21?	10	$184	111	111	+0	Yes	+$7	09-21 01:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	16	$159	147	147	+0	Yes	-$70	08-24 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 24?	15	$111	150	20	+130	Yes	+$9	10-25 02:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 22?	3	$110	60	60	+0	No	+$9	08-22 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?	9	$108	66	66	+0	No	+$5	09-30 07:28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	6	$107	103	26	+77	Yes	+$21	09-30 02:37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 21?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	08-20 16:42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	4	$89	99	25	+74	No	-$13	08-25 01:34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	10	$80	67	35	+31	Yes	+$22	09-27 04:34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 17?	2	$79	80	0	+80	No	+$1	10-16 16:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 25?	2	$78	40	40	+0	Yes	+$1	09-25 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?	7	$77	61	61	+0	Yes	+$23	08-09 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 24?	1	$75	78	0	+78	No	+$2	08-24 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 8?	6	$74	58	58	+0	Yes	+$3	08-08 06:59
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?	8	$67	65	35	+30	No	-$18	10-01 21:42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 1?	4	$66	42	42	+0	No	-$1	10-01 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 20?	8	$63	39	39	+0	Yes	+$8	10-20 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?	5	$62	43	43	+0	Yes	+$8	09-26 04:54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 26?	5	$60	32	32	-0	No	+$1	09-26 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 12?	1	$59	60	0	+60	No	+$1	08-12 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 8?	6	$54	118	118	+0	No	-$4	08-08 05:19
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 16?	2	$52	30	30	+0	No	+$6	08-16 05:28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	5	$44	50	50	+0	No	-$26	09-22 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	6	$44	40	40	+0	Yes	+$27	08-14 03:49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 24?	4	$42	30	30	+0	Yes	+$17	10-24 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23?	5	$42	60	60	+0	No	-$2	09-23 02:33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9?	5	$42	30	30	-0	Yes	+$18	10-09 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	4	$41	50	10	+40	No	-$1	08-25 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 23?	4	$41	40	40	+0	Yes	+$39	10-25 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:54:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xef3bda…
10-29 05:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x64142d…
10-29 05:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0xcef185…
10-29 05:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa09674…
10-29 05:14:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x406c9e…
10-29 04:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x73a875…
10-29 03:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x8e12a2…
10-29 03:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xec20a9…
10-29 02:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xa32aae…
10-29 02:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x986dfd…
10-29 02:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x724da6…
10-29 02:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8af6dd…
10-29 02:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0482c0…
10-29 02:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5cb5a7…
10-29 01:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xca8d81…
10-29 01:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4ce165…
10-28 22:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4c6207…
10-28 21:05:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x282581…
10-28 19:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xed3779…
10-28 19:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x75f267…
10-28 19:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x55eed4…
10-28 19:06:59	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x5a927e…
10-28 19:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xc107ab…
10-28 18:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x745e47…
10-28 18:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0x736289…
10-28 18:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf50aba…
10-28 18:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x797eae…
10-28 18:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x87cbe1…
10-28 17:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x0d03a3…
10-28 17:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x5a2136…
10-28 17:26:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xa0a57d…
10-28 17:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 28?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x958aca…
10-28 17:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x46a6fa…
10-28 16:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x6a518c…
10-28 16:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbd8f52…
10-28 16:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xede72f…
10-28 16:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xddffe0…
10-28 16:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xbaee07…
10-28 16:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x5815fd…
10-28 16:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x87b751…
10-28 15:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x9ea1d6…
10-28 15:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x621759…
10-28 15:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x565d83…
10-28 15:51:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x51d6bd…
10-28 15:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x7119c1…
10-28 15:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xde78f1…
10-28 15:05:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0d1259…
10-28 14:49:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x28592b…
10-28 14:48:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaa251b…
10-28 14:48:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x652e49…
10-28 14:32:20	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x738f82…
10-28 14:24:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3cec01…
10-28 14:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xcd81d0…
10-28 14:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xb7460e…
10-28 14:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x99188a…
10-28 13:59:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x14b9bb…
10-28 12:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x46adf2…
10-28 11:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x57d096…
10-28 10:47:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6c43f2…
10-28 10:17:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x8e7260…
10-28 10:15:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd5efc5…
10-28 10:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbde190…
10-28 10:12:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe4a933…
10-28 10:11:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x3440b8…
10-28 09:26:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x781013…
10-28 07:59:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc7607c…
10-28 07:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x34de4e…
10-28 07:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x00c38f…
10-28 06:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x0fe271…
10-28 06:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x27054e…
10-28 06:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x821c47…
10-28 06:41:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0be70b…
10-28 06:41:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xec940f…
10-28 06:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x368c3a…
10-28 06:40:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe3ba48…
10-28 06:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa90fb6…
10-28 06:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6f6501…
10-28 05:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xd6953f…
10-28 05:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5dd5d1…
10-28 05:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xf8e852…
10-28 03:48:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x757eb3…
10-28 03:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0xeebd6b…
10-28 03:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x2aa002…
10-28 03:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xa8ca42…
10-28 03:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xab1bc9…
10-28 00:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x9f9833…
10-27 22:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0xcb0aa0…
10-27 22:34:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe55f37…
10-27 22:34:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa6dc8f…
10-27 22:34:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x98346b…
10-27 22:34:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7b572d…
10-27 22:34:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0x734d27…
10-27 22:34:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x3f12d4…
10-27 21:13:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x110aa0…
10-27 21:12:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0xebe914…
10-27 15:56:17	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x971da1…
10-27 15:56:17	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x2a98e5…
10-27 15:56:15	Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x348aea…
10-27 12:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xec9be3…
10-27 05:07:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x88f018…