Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$103

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-13 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 50% -$28

Other

13% 7% -$55

Politics

12% 29% -$6

Tech

4% 25% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-91	-$7	2¢	$-2	+$5	07-12 01:46
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	-29	-$2	4¢	$-1	+$1	07-12 01:46
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-40	-$1	2¢	$-1	$0	07-12 01:46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	-28	-$4	1¢	$-0	+$4	07-12 01:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on february 11	4	$276	314	314	+0	No	+$36	02-11 14:38
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$91	143	143	+0	No	+$31	02-24 03:51
xrp above 1pt4 on february 12	1	$60	123	0	+123	No	-$60	02-12 12:29
solana above 80 on february 23	2	$59	57	57	+0	No	-$21	02-23 15:45
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$52	299	298	+0	No	+$12	02-24 03:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 01:50 UTC	2	$50	89	0	+89	Up	-$50	07-12 01:50
ethereum above 1900 on february 23	2	$50	48	48	+0	No	-$10	02-23 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:00 UTC	2	$48	43	43	+1	Down	+$8	02-11 13:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 11	1	$40	62	0	+62	Yes	+$22	02-11 14:41
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	2	$38	45	45	+0	Yes	+$28	01-12 12:05
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	3	$32	129	129	+0	No	+$2	02-28 13:53
bitcoin above 66k on february 23	2	$30	30	30	+0	No	-$10	02-23 15:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	07-13 13:03
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$20	134	0	+134	No	-$20	02-24 03:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$17	40	40	+0	Yes	+$15	02-28 13:49
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	2	$15	53	53	+0	No	-$5	02-12 13:55
SHEIN IPO before 2027?	1	$12	0	23	-23	Yes	-$10	07-12 01:45
solana above 80 on february 13	1	$12	34	0	+34	Yes	+$22	02-13 01:08
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	2	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	01-12 12:24
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$11	23	23	+0	No	+$1	02-28 13:51
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$10	157	0	+157	No	-$10	02-28 13:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?	1	$10	65	0	+65	No	-$10	07-13 13:05
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$10	31	0	+31	No	-$10	02-28 13:50
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$10	83	0	+83	No	-$10	02-28 13:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 11	1	$8	73	0	+73	No	-$8	02-11 14:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$7	0	91	-91	open	—	07-12 01:46
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$6	90	90	+0	Yes	-$6	02-28 13:51
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 60 79	2	$6	2,940	0	+2,940	No	-$6	01-12 12:13
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$6	188	0	+188	No	-$6	01-06 12:14
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$5	128	128	+0	No	-$5	02-28 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 16:13:08	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4a094e…
07-13 16:08:05	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 13	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x20747b…
07-13 13:06:14	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 13	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x663ace…
07-13 13:05:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?	Yes	BUY	65	16¢	$10	0x35b9b1…
07-13 13:03:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14	81¢	$12	0x98310d…
07-12 01:53:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xf2ac8f…
07-12 01:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x5d5e40…
07-12 01:50:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 01:50 UTC	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x183c30…
07-12 01:46:17	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0x565a8d…
07-12 01:46:14	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x972cd1…
07-12 01:46:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0xe7b52b…
07-12 01:46:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	8¢	$7	0x10f610…
07-12 01:45:55	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	55¢	$12	0xc2f23f…
02-28 14:10:43	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x4333ef…
02-28 14:09:33	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe63dc7…
02-28 14:08:29	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0f8445…
02-28 14:03:07	will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xfd8fca…
02-28 14:02:19	will germany join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xc90477…
02-28 14:02:09	will finland join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xafad78…
02-28 14:01:59	will denmark join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc22dd3…
02-28 14:01:49	will france join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x39cca1…
02-28 14:01:47	will switzerland join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa41a8d…
02-28 14:01:29	will sweden join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x0468ca…
02-28 14:01:27	will the uk join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xbb29de…
02-28 14:01:21	will ukraine join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4f5b94…
02-28 14:01:11	will norway join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x6f7c99…
02-28 13:55:37	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	157	6¢	$10	0x882985…
02-28 13:54:37	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xb64af0…
02-28 13:53:01	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	129	13¢	$17	0x30ab72…
02-28 13:51:59	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	23	25¢	$6	0xaf5a51…
02-28 13:51:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x871185…
02-28 13:51:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0x57d4b5…
02-28 13:50:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x7c3b88…
02-28 13:49:53	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	128	0¢	$0	0xc98a00…
02-28 13:49:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0x272dcc…
02-24 03:58:30	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x1bc750…
02-24 03:55:58	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0x2e7527…
02-24 03:54:50	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$1	0xade236…
02-24 03:54:14	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x743742…
02-24 03:53:32	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x625251…
02-24 03:52:44	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0x30fbf3…
02-24 03:52:34	will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x501608…
02-24 03:52:02	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	Yes	SELL	298	11¢	$32	0x94f884…
02-24 03:51:54	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	SELL	143	43¢	$61	0x6c131f…
02-23 15:56:58	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	Yes	BUY	299	7¢	$20	0x501016…
02-23 15:56:36	ethereum above 1900 on february 23	Yes	SELL	48	41¢	$20	0x345b28…
02-23 15:46:28	ethereum above 1900 on february 23	Yes	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0xda39bf…
02-23 15:45:44	bitcoin above 66k on february 23	Yes	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xb42887…
02-23 15:45:44	solana above 80 on february 23	Yes	SELL	57	34¢	$19	0xa5204a…
02-23 14:00:14	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe3e527…
02-23 13:59:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x9783ac…
02-23 13:57:32	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0xa49c41…
02-23 13:57:18	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfa236c…
02-23 13:57:08	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	634	1¢	$5	0x055fea…
02-23 13:57:02	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xd13b8a…
02-23 13:55:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x7b6b7e…
02-23 13:54:40	will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x01aace…
02-23 13:54:20	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x721681…
02-23 13:54:16	will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x083213…
02-23 13:53:50	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x350cfc…
02-23 13:53:46	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x1bbf21…
02-23 13:53:42	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xa073f4…
02-23 13:48:48	bitcoin above 66k on february 23	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xa87935…
02-23 13:44:22	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x89b16c…
02-23 13:42:38	solana above 80 on february 23	Yes	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x7b0536…
02-13 01:08:37	solana above 80 on february 13	Yes	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x8f28e4…
02-12 13:55:17	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0xa7c63a…
02-12 12:29:11	xrp above 1pt4 on february 12	Yes	BUY	123	49¢	$60	0x36bb11…
02-11 14:41:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 11	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x66e247…
02-11 14:40:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 11	Yes	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0x949251…
02-11 14:38:39	bitcoin above 68k on february 11	Yes	SELL	133	25¢	$33	0xc628ad…
02-11 14:17:11	bitcoin above 68k on february 11	Yes	BUY	133	60¢	$80	0x4c7f07…
02-11 14:11:05	bitcoin above 68k on february 11	Yes	SELL	182	67¢	$123	0x4553a0…
02-11 13:08:47	bitcoin above 68k on february 11	Yes	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0x129db2…
02-11 13:06:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	43	66¢	$28	0x464cdb…
02-11 13:04:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xfeab13…
02-01 12:11:36	will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	Yes	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0xce5daa…
01-12 12:24:14	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x1f586c…
01-12 12:22:44	odds of khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 over 50 by january 16	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbdf0df…
01-12 12:22:20	trump approval up or down this week 265	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa88cb7…
01-12 12:21:38	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 50 by march 31 794	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x6f5d2f…
01-12 12:18:36	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 20 39	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbc0c0b…
01-12 12:18:16	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 40 59	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc3cda3…
01-12 12:17:40	Will the US strike Venezuela next?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xb74257…
01-12 12:15:32	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	17	21¢	$4	0xba2596…
01-12 12:14:46	will the january 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xf837ba…
01-12 12:13:28	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 60 79	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x79518f…
01-12 12:12:40	elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 0 39	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xd9084a…
01-12 12:05:46	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	Yes	SELL	45	73¢	$33	0x0544c1…
01-10 11:31:16	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 200 219	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x6687e1…
01-10 11:30:58	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 120 139	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb4f0ce…
01-10 11:30:42	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 60 79	Yes	BUY	440	0¢	$1	0x522810…
01-10 11:29:40	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 65 89	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xae77e3…
01-10 11:29:32	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 40 64	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xdedc9a…
01-10 11:29:08	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xd5c72e…
01-09 13:46:22	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 0 39	Yes	BUY	1,094	0¢	$5	0x35c389…
01-06 12:27:29	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd03f01…
01-06 12:26:51	will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa00548…
01-06 12:22:33	us strike on somalia by january 31	No	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xd704d5…
01-06 12:19:59	will bitcoin dip to 90k january 5 11	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa4b7a7…