Flickering-Commuter — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$840

Unrealized P&L

+$187

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

35 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.82K

$4.82K lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

$242

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$840

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down		+500	$10	48¢	$238	+$228	05-06 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down		+500	$45	1¢	$5	$-40	05-06 02:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$549	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$451	05-05 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$531	1,000	+1,000	Down	+$469	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$528	1,000	+1,000	Up	+$472	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$403	1,000	+1,000	Up	$-403	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$357	563	+563	open	—	05-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$269	500	+500	Up	+$231	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$266	500	+500	Up	$-266	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$246	500	+500	open	—	05-05 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$244	500	+500	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$240	375	+375	Down	+$135	05-05 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$237	500	+500	Up	$-237	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	3	$173	630	+630	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$129	578	+578	Up	$-129	05-05 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$120	202	+202	Up	+$83	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	1	$112	290	+290	open	—	05-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$96	136	+136	open	—	05-05 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$57	105	+105	Down	$-57	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$49	201	+201	open	—	05-05 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$46	131	+131	Up	+$85	05-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$45	500	+500	open	—	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$39	65	+65	Up	+$26	05-05 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$29	46	+46	open	—	05-05 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$22	519	+519	Up	$-22	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$13	20	+20	Up	+$8	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$10	500	+500	open	—	05-06 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	500	+500	Up	$-5	05-04 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 03:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x23344b…
05-06 02:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x3336bf…
05-05 08:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	201	24¢	$49	0xceaa99…
05-05 08:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	290	39¢	$112	0xfa98cd…
05-05 08:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	64¢	$319	0x486ba7…
05-05 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	63	61¢	$38	0xb167b5…
05-05 08:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	46	64¢	$29	0x6e5669…
05-05 08:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	136	71¢	$96	0xe5aea2…
05-05 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	500	49¢	$246	0x8e6ac3…
05-05 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	49¢	$244	0x323d55…
05-05 06:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	500	29¢	$143	0x036b79…
05-05 06:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xa78eb2…
05-05 06:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xa60929…
05-05 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	105	54¢	$57	0x0c86f8…
05-05 03:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	23¢	$113	0x567cbb…
05-05 03:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	78	21¢	$16	0x29d777…
05-05 02:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0xd81f97…
05-05 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	54¢	$268	0xaa3b77…
05-05 02:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	47¢	$237	0x615595…
05-05 02:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0x5087eb…
05-05 02:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	375	64¢	$240	0xf53fb5…
05-05 01:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0xb7285d…
05-05 01:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	55¢	$277	0x322659…
05-05 01:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	54¢	$272	0x59bed7…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	41¢	$203	0x1386c2…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xad7dad…
05-05 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	202	59¢	$120	0xff7007…
05-05 00:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	131	35¢	$46	0x39d1b3…
05-05 00:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0xf93b8a…
05-05 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	500	52¢	$261	0xc1d9d4…
05-04 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	53¢	$266	0xbce8fb…
05-04 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	500	54¢	$269	0x8e0e1c…
05-04 23:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x7b7a34…
05-04 23:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x301cb6…
05-04 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	4¢	$22	0xb7fc86…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	25	$2.59K	113	05-06 03:04
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	20	$1.87K	98	05-06 03:04
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	18	$761	60	05-06 03:04
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	18	$739	57	05-06 03:04
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	17	$614	35	05-06 03:04
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	16	$2.75K	37	05-06 02:49
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	14	$1.09K	20	05-05 08:45
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	13	$834	67	05-05 08:46