Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$857

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

113

Trades

503

lifetime

Volume

$7.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 03-08 19:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

60% 14% +$72

Other

25% 8% -$700

Crypto

14% 22% -$118

Sports

1% 0% -$111

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	11	$1.3K	950	950	+0	Yes	+$582	01-30 12:49
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$1.1K	4,700	4,700	+0	Yes	-$414	01-31 22:09
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$553	650	650	+0	No	+$149	01-30 20:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$363	2,100	2,100	+0	No	-$274	03-05 10:05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$310	200	200	+0	No	+$70	01-23 19:42
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$289	600	600	+0	No	-$286	01-31 22:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$219	200	200	+0	Yes	+$159	02-28 19:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$194	350	350	+0	No	+$73	01-30 20:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 21:45 UTC	2	$175	150	149	+1	Up	+$122	02-04 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 20:20 UTC	1	$160	200	0	+200	Down	-$160	02-19 20:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$160	200	200	+0	Yes	-$4	03-05 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:30 UTC	2	$151	100	100	+0	Up	+$47	02-18 21:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 20:30 UTC	4	$144	100	99	+1	Up	+$53	02-04 20:45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$131	200	200	+0	Yes	+$110	03-04 19:56
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	2	$129	100	100	+0	No	+$67	01-23 19:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$126	300	300	+0	Yes	-$12	03-05 09:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$123	350	350	+0	No	-$21	03-05 09:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 17:15 UTC	3	$123	150	150	+0	Up	+$99	02-05 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:45 UTC	10	$102	250	0	+250	Down	-$102	02-03 21:48
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	7	$98	400	400	+0	No	-$35	03-01 12:47
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	3	$97	850	850	+0	No	-$93	01-31 22:28
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	3	$93	300	300	+0	No	-$93	02-20 16:34
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	17	$81	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$81	01-18 13:07
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	18	$78	600	600	+0	No	-$77	01-31 22:13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	11	$75	491	500	-9	No	-$13	02-18 12:45
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$71	300	300	+0	No	-$53	03-05 07:56
will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	9	$70	208	208	+0	No	+$12	03-05 09:19
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 19:45 UTC	1	$61	200	0	+200	Down	-$61	02-05 19:51
trump deploys active duty troops to minnesota by jan 31 472	3	$54	300	300	+0	No	-$54	01-31 22:29
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$50	900	0	+900	Yes	-$50	01-13 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-08 19:47:55	will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x838f7c…
03-06 13:18:39	Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xac7a04…
03-05 10:05:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,974	2¢	$41	0x98cc4c…
03-05 10:01:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$3	0xb0ab22…
03-05 09:20:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xaef7fb…
03-05 09:20:27	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	350	15¢	$51	0x1135c9…
03-05 09:19:49	will wunmi mosaku win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	208	20¢	$41	0x2f3636…
03-05 09:19:33	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x392d0a…
03-05 09:19:15	will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x6b6d49…
03-05 09:18:23	pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$9	0x24cc11…
03-05 09:10:01	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xe7bb22…
03-05 09:09:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	19¢	$57	0x009725…
03-05 07:57:15	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x984fec…
03-05 07:56:47	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0xc0dca6…
03-05 07:56:17	will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x8a9146…
03-05 07:54:35	will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x47f885…
03-05 07:54:23	will sinners win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0xd0dbd5…
03-05 07:53:57	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0x997f91…
03-05 07:53:55	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0x819177…
03-05 07:52:27	venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$7	0xa3fecf…
03-05 07:51:15	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$5	0xed3149…
03-05 07:51:09	will sinners win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xbce7cf…
03-05 07:50:43	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xc544a6…
03-05 07:50:29	Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x55ddc2…
03-05 07:50:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	550	0¢	$3	0x403e65…
03-05 07:50:15	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0x719a24…
03-05 07:49:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x8fa365…
03-05 07:49:41	will inga ibsdotter lilleaas win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x3e3020…
03-05 07:49:27	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x967767…
03-05 07:49:23	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x59aa90…
03-05 07:49:15	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x5b0726…
03-05 07:49:07	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xa3fc9c…
03-05 07:49:01	Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0xdd251e…
03-05 07:48:39	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	300	0¢	$0	0xd1411d…
03-05 07:48:23	will avcce win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0x431f65…
03-05 07:47:59	Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xc5dd43…
03-04 19:56:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	60¢	$121	0xd01305…
03-03 22:53:59	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x0ee418…
03-02 11:05:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	180	5¢	$10	0xd78350…
03-02 09:45:15	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x819e61…
03-02 08:32:21	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcbdf17…
03-02 08:32:21	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0x7764d5…
03-02 08:32:21	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x56429a…
03-02 08:32:21	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$1	0x49c3fc…
03-02 08:32:21	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x24df4d…
03-02 08:31:39	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6ebdc0…
03-02 08:31:39	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2bf38f…
03-02 08:31:39	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x0d4b40…
03-02 08:30:29	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x8b4f4a…
03-02 08:30:27	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x985e2e…
03-02 08:30:27	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x954208…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe51564…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xcac723…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb5e274…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1d5c5…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x5302c8…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4e8c62…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x48b75f…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$0	0x447154…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x3af3f0…
03-02 08:28:53	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x313626…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xec00b2…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe9165a…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xe09ff5…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc1654a…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa2e5f0…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x7c0526…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x7498a0…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x57c37e…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x4801d3…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x4379dc…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x274d74…
03-02 08:24:41	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x01df10…
03-02 08:23:37	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	170	2¢	$4	0x525b8d…
03-02 08:23:05	Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0xe89fd9…
03-02 08:22:29	Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xe2560c…
03-02 08:21:43	Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0xf7971c…
03-02 08:21:15	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9f799c…
03-02 08:21:11	Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8e6a8c…
03-02 08:20:33	Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x10ec1d…
03-02 08:20:11	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0xdaa9ba…
03-02 08:20:09	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xa4310f…
03-02 08:19:57	Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xcb65d9…
03-02 08:19:29	Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x1d92bb…
03-02 08:19:03	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x90faf6…
03-02 08:19:03	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3637e1…
03-02 08:19:01	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0xb5a928…
03-02 08:13:49	Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x83748c…
03-02 08:12:45	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xae59dd…
03-02 08:12:41	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$1	0x2ba9fd…
03-02 08:12:41	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	28	24¢	$7	0x247eb8…
03-02 08:12:11	Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$1	0xb2f09b…
03-02 08:11:27	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x6f22c2…
03-02 08:11:07	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	56	24¢	$13	0xea79b1…
03-02 08:09:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x36073d…
03-01 12:47:27	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x8fde77…
03-01 09:38:33	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0xfe59d0…
03-01 09:32:45	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x907548…
03-01 09:32:43	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xa8a1e1…
03-01 09:26:39	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf1859f…