Cuddly-Altar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$131

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

31.7%

Resolved

Trades

233

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$170

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 07-01 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

53% 23% -$143

Crypto

19% 50% +$1

Sports

15% 50% +$11

Tech

13% — —

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+140	$85	95¢	$133	+$48	06-23 22:25
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	+11	$8	96¢	$10	+$2	06-22 14:55
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	+10	$6	98¢	$10	+$4	06-22 12:49
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+10	$7	95¢	$10	+$3	06-19 17:26
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	+140	$50	5¢	$7	-$43	06-23 22:23
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$3	5¢	$1	-$2	06-19 17:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?	2	$160	120	120	+0	Yes	-$9	06-21 23:26
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$117	104	104	+0	open	—	06-18 11:38
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$87	142	2	+140	open	—	06-23 22:25
will 9 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228794	1	$84	101	0	+101	No	+$16	06-23 16:11
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	2	$70	317	317	+0	open	—	06-18 11:38
Game 5: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	21	$61	121	0	+121	cancelled	$0	05-29 06:56
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$50	140	0	+140	open	—	06-23 22:23
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5	5	$44	90	90	+0	Over	-$3	06-02 09:32
Games Total: O/U 4.5	24	$44	119	5	+114	Under	-$41	05-29 06:58
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	15	$41	83	0	+83	Yes	-$41	05-29 06:57
Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria?	1	$40	52	0	+52	No	+$11	06-23 04:45
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	6	$31	194	194	+0	Over	-$16	06-02 09:32
will florian wirtz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$30	50	0	+50	No	-$30	06-23 09:28
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	15	$30	75	0	+75	No	-$30	05-29 06:57
will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	1	$24	30	0	+30	No	+$6	06-23 15:51
City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$23	30	12	+18	open	—	06-19 07:37
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	3	$22	23	23	+0	Under	$0	06-02 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?	3	$22	20	10	+10	No	+$3	07-01 22:55
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score	3	$20	18	18	+0	Yes	-$1	06-02 09:32
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	06-23 19:52
will florian wirtz score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145452360	2	$19	51	0	+51	No	+$32	06-23 09:28
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5	2	$17	11	11	+0	Under	$0	06-02 09:32
will erling haaland score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419437	1	$16	30	0	+30	Yes	+$14	06-21 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 2?	2	$15	21	0	+21	No	+$6	07-01 22:02
Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	06-17 15:33
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	-$14	06-17 16:56
Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	2	$14	20	0	+20	Yes	+$6	07-01 22:54
will erling haaland score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419438	1	$14	31	0	+31	Yes	-$14	06-21 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 1?	2	$13	21	0	+21	No	+$7	07-01 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?	4	$13	27	7	+20	No	-$10	07-01 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 23:00:13	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x321445…
07-01 22:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x6f85a2…
07-01 22:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x3f4b44…
07-01 22:54:44	Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x3e9159…
07-01 22:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 1?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xee3d50…
07-01 22:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xe4de12…
07-01 22:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xbf1795…
07-01 22:02:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 2?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x203269…
07-01 21:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x0c9bfe…
07-01 21:53:52	Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1fa423…
07-01 21:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x2d5194…
07-01 21:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0xe1e29a…
07-01 21:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 1?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xb85a95…
07-01 21:22:49	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on July 1?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x104360…
07-01 21:19:25	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x830828…
07-01 20:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 2?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x177c56…
07-01 20:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe26e5a…
07-01 19:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 2?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x324e48…
07-01 12:22:53	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x46eee2…
06-30 19:26:23	will christian pulisic score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649592	No	BUY	3	46¢	$2	0x9c9b0f…
06-30 18:30:02	will christian pulisic score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150649592	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0xea7a20…
06-30 17:24:43	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x4b85b4…
06-30 17:24:38	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-01 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdc273a…
06-24 07:29:19	Tuyo FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xd0eb23…
06-24 07:29:19	Tuyo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x2ade18…
06-23 22:25:58	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb0253d…
06-23 22:23:10	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	61¢	$25	0xd557eb…
06-23 22:23:10	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x53d539…
06-23 22:20:07	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	61¢	$61	0x08eae2…
06-23 22:20:05	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x0fd6cd…
06-23 19:52:58	Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xa02b99…
06-23 19:47:14	Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xf29fba…
06-23 19:47:14	Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x1f5e04…
06-23 16:11:55	will 8 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228793	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0xbe6762…
06-23 16:11:52	will 9 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228794	No	BUY	101	84¢	$84	0x5c80ff…
06-23 15:51:50	will 7 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228792	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xfb3316…
06-23 15:51:50	will 6 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228791	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x45501f…
06-23 09:28:44	will florian wirtz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x52ff70…
06-23 09:28:41	will florian wirtz score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145452360	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x75470f…
06-23 09:27:41	will florian wirtz score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xeff8a4…
06-23 09:27:40	will florian wirtz score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145452360	No	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x011e2b…
06-23 04:45:14	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	85	10¢	$8	0xe8d807…
06-23 04:45:14	Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 1 Algeria?	No	BUY	52	78¢	$40	0xd7b51e…
06-22 14:55:22	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x56b90e…
06-22 14:55:20	Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x70c686…
06-22 12:49:07	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x81158a…
06-22 12:49:05	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xad1505…
06-22 10:42:05	Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xbb0068…
06-22 10:42:05	Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x619e04…
06-22 10:14:49	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$0	0x73c2d7…
06-22 04:05:50	will julian alvarez score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411103	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x4b8c70…
06-22 04:05:50	will julian alvarez score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411104	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x1bfb1c…
06-21 23:26:19	Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?	No	SELL	120	63¢	$76	0xd30b92…
06-21 23:26:14	Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?	No	BUY	120	70¢	$84	0xc2cfbd…
06-21 07:19:07	Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x766062…
06-21 07:19:07	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x05701d…
06-21 06:47:02	will erling haaland score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419438	No	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0x2fb6ca…
06-21 06:47:02	will erling haaland score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419437	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x23af00…
06-19 17:26:19	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xb9b135…
06-19 17:26:19	Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x425f80…
06-19 10:13:25	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x47f8d2…
06-19 10:13:25	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3a3ce1…
06-19 07:37:04	City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	46¢	$5	0xfef063…
06-19 00:56:10	City Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x76a469…
06-19 00:56:08	City Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$18	0x767669…
06-18 11:38:25	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	104	55¢	$57	0x7ead96…
06-18 11:38:20	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	317	10¢	$32	0xd1f8b2…
06-18 11:18:05	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	317	12¢	$38	0xe43300…
06-18 11:18:04	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	57¢	$59	0x3b13c4…
06-17 16:56:55	Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0eaeec…
06-17 16:56:53	Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf288e0…
06-17 15:33:25	Tuyo FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x913867…
06-17 15:33:25	Tuyo FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x33be70…
06-15 08:00:52	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 shots on target giorgian de arrascaeta gte1	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0x445c36…
06-15 08:00:52	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 shots giorgian de arrascaeta gte1	Yes	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x059f49…
06-09 13:36:01	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 game3 round handicap mnte 3pt5	paiN	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xa67c48…
06-09 13:36:00	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9cf300…
06-09 13:01:45	cs2 vp oxuji 2026 06 09 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x87631a…
06-09 13:01:43	cs2 vp oxuji 2026 06 09 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xfd3674…
06-09 12:36:30	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 game3 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbe88f7…
06-09 12:36:30	cs2 mnte pain 2026 06 09 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x485217…
06-09 06:53:43	bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbe219b…
06-09 06:50:51	bitcoin above 56k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf18d58…
06-09 02:36:15	bkfr1 cho par 2026 06 09	Cholet	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x7e2c6d…
06-09 02:36:12	bkfr1 cho par 2026 06 09 spread away 8pt5	Cholet	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xe8b4ef…
06-08 20:54:22	Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xd6b1ae…
06-08 19:36:00	bkfr1 cho par 2026 06 09 spread away 8pt5	Cholet	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfb037a…
06-08 19:36:00	bkfr1 cho par 2026 06 09	Cholet	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xad27c2…
06-07 20:23:33	crict20blast ess ken 2026 06 09 completed match	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa7ddf0…
06-07 20:23:33	crict20blast ess ken 2026 06 09	Kent	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0xa6143a…
06-04 05:57:52	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x651094…
06-04 03:08:34	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set totals 3pt5	Under 3.5	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcb7ba4…
06-04 03:08:33	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc98c04…
06-02 09:32:59	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x92326f…
06-02 09:32:55	Spread: England (-1.5)	Panama	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x5e9a92…
06-02 09:32:52	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	England	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x49be01…
06-02 09:32:48	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x1de2c9…
06-02 09:32:46	Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x20e4a0…
06-02 09:32:45	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Cabo Verde	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x6485ca…
06-02 09:32:41	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	No	SELL	10	47¢	$4	0xe028f9…