Unaware-Sardine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$390

Unrealized P&L

+$115

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

122

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$6.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$578

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-24 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

48% 35% -$478

Sports

28% 35% -$123

Politics

24% 81% +$212

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-1,685	-$402	17¢	$-292	+$109	06-11 01:41
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	+136	$100	91¢	$124	+$24	10-24 16:44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,305	$130	9¢	$119	-$11	09-12 01:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+135	$50	32¢	$43	-$7	10-24 16:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$802	943	2,629	-1,685	open	—	06-11 01:41
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	3	$413	236	235	+2	Michigan Wolverines	+$55	04-05 02:57
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$338	298	298	+0	No	+$38	03-07 15:34
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	3	$238	155	154	+1	Saint Louis Billikens	+$19	03-20 03:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$228	375	132	+244	No	-$72	05-23 02:36
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	2	$177	127	147	-20	Yes	-$44	02-27 02:35
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$174	125	125	+0	Cavaliers	+$34	05-18 01:22
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$174	390	390	+0	No	-$26	05-18 00:40
cbb tx gnzg 2026 03 21	3	$139	100	100	+0	Texas Longhorns	+$60	03-22 04:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$130	1,305	0	+1,305	open	—	09-12 01:39
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$117	67	383	-316	No	+$57	06-11 01:40
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	2	$105	58	58	+0	Yes	+$5	06-30 02:58
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$100	400	0	+400	Yes	+$300	02-27 15:35
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	1	$100	136	0	+136	open	—	10-24 16:44
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	1	$100	345	0	+345	No	-$100	02-18 16:18
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$100	370	0	+370	Yes	-$100	01-26 22:20
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	1	$100	133	0	+133	St. John's Red Storm	+$33	03-22 21:45
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	1	$100	106	0	+106	Yes	+$6	06-11 20:17
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$100	104	0	+104	Spurs	+$4	05-16 02:34
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$98	99	99	+0	Spurs	-$2	05-31 02:35
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	1	$90	238	0	+238	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$90	03-28 22:51
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	2	$90	60	60	+0	Yes	+$30	06-13 05:11
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$90	60	60	+0	Yes	+$30	03-15 23:23
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	2	$82	62	62	+0	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$42	03-27 01:42
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	1	$80	649	0	+649	open	—	10-22 04:47
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$72	48	48	+0	Knicks	+$12	06-11 01:38
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$71	98	98	+0	Yes	-$29	05-23 13:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$60	273	0	+273	No	-$60	05-23 02:36
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	2	$60	97	97	+0	No	$0	07-01 17:00
cbb stjoe cah 2026 03 22	2	$60	56	55	+1	Saint Joseph's Hawks	+$51	03-23 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:45:03	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xf0c7d8…
10-24 16:44:02	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x1647ed…
10-22 04:47:02	Will Anthony Edwards win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	649	12¢	$80	0x7b5a80…
09-12 01:39:57	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x06721f…
09-12 01:37:27	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x773d7b…
07-12 01:11:14	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xca526d…
07-12 01:11:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb28bf0…
07-11 15:58:34	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x27bd4b…
07-11 15:58:22	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x30a640…
07-06 03:06:55	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5a4eb8…
07-06 02:26:38	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xe4646a…
07-06 01:12:04	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa8f589…
07-05 21:57:40	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xacf7f9…
07-05 21:57:11	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x44a88a…
07-05 20:00:58	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xfcf9e9…
07-05 20:00:47	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc99c8f…
07-03 21:35:17	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x658a32…
07-03 00:19:38	Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xadee22…
07-02 23:11:43	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xdae9fe…
07-02 01:25:17	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x7bebf6…
07-01 17:32:34	Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x2a2082…
07-01 17:00:38	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	97	31¢	$30	0x97fb90…
07-01 16:24:07	Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xa2d109…
06-30 02:58:14	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x459f28…
06-30 02:54:37	Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x76888a…
06-29 17:43:47	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x6caf2d…
06-23 21:50:11	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc17c3d…
06-23 21:50:01	Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x809f13…
06-23 17:41:58	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	302	1¢	$2	0x2d3857…
06-21 23:27:08	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x09c084…
06-21 22:39:59	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x35aac7…
06-20 18:28:41	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	169	12¢	$20	0xd2d9e0…
06-17 20:52:17	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x551522…
06-17 20:51:41	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x24c8c7…
06-17 18:16:52	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x0f496e…
06-16 22:41:22	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x608987…
06-16 22:41:10	Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xdfdee2…
06-16 22:40:23	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x1bfc2b…
06-16 22:34:34	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xcedd06…
06-16 22:34:13	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x886bc5…
06-16 22:31:41	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x2b956c…
06-16 02:34:45	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0x910a61…
06-16 02:34:43	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0x58daca…
06-16 02:24:21	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc99749…
06-16 01:55:25	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x2f72ef…
06-15 18:57:58	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x964dfb…
06-15 17:48:06	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd09407…
06-15 16:06:18	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x576c1d…
06-15 16:06:06	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x21d526…
06-13 05:11:57	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x7fbf5f…
06-11 20:18:37	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xfd57e0…
06-11 20:17:55	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x396f1a…
06-11 20:17:10	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xe51508…
06-11 01:41:40	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	194	15¢	$30	0xa55793…
06-11 01:41:12	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2,629	23¢	$602	0x314b58…
06-11 01:40:27	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	67	59¢	$39	0x4c7ff7…
06-11 01:38:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	48	87¢	$42	0x1b3e59…
06-11 01:07:40	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x553257…
06-11 01:07:04	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x2ac8cc…
06-11 01:07:00	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0x00a731…
06-11 01:03:52	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xb788d4…
06-02 22:15:31	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x0563af…
05-31 02:40:28	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0xb1b9f9…
05-31 02:35:22	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	37	10¢	$4	0x0bd7ef…
05-31 02:30:21	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbeca6c…
05-31 02:29:46	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	SELL	62	72¢	$44	0x3503e8…
05-31 00:40:20	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xe7ae08…
05-23 13:40:46	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	98	22¢	$21	0x5be931…
05-23 13:40:18	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	316	15¢	$47	0xa53b28…
05-23 02:36:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	273	22¢	$60	0x3970a5…
05-23 02:36:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x090e0d…
05-23 02:36:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	132	59¢	$78	0x887e40…
05-23 00:41:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x556681…
05-23 00:41:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x9e44b1…
05-23 00:41:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0ffd05…
05-23 00:41:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x9341bf…
05-23 00:40:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x00ab4d…
05-23 00:40:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xda04a7…
05-23 00:40:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3d5ccc…
05-23 00:39:54	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x69368b…
05-19 15:05:35	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x6aee7b…
05-18 01:22:59	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	125	83¢	$104	0xf6f578…
05-18 00:43:36	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x2f1aa7…
05-18 00:40:34	Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	390	19¢	$74	0x0dbffe…
05-16 02:34:57	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf5a987…
05-06 03:17:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0xc4a35a…
05-06 03:14:02	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	943	21¢	$200	0xe3308b…
04-27 04:31:44	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	199	15¢	$30	0x7ad9bc…
04-27 04:31:02	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	132	15¢	$20	0x28835b…
04-26 23:44:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x44da4c…
04-19 04:12:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	343	3¢	$10	0x48434b…
04-19 04:11:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x3b9515…
04-19 04:11:56	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb82505…
04-19 04:11:42	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xed40c5…
04-19 04:11:38	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xdaab80…
04-19 04:11:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa0b4f3…
04-19 04:11:28	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 20 2026	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb39311…
04-19 04:11:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4282e4…
04-09 23:51:49	nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	Celtics	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7df90f…
04-07 03:14:39	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x4a1694…