Ruddy-Beret — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

162

Trades

1,241

lifetime

Volume

$36.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-27 12:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

96% 27% +$342

Crypto

3% 50% -$51

Sports

0% 25% -$64

Politics

0% 0% -$38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	3	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Over	-$380	06-22 21:48
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	6	$2.4K	1,800	1,800	+0	Under	-$288	06-27 00:33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	19	$2.1K	1,457	1,457	+0	Yes	+$767	05-26 16:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$66	06-27 05:42
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	14	$1.8K	1,635	1,101	+534	Yes	+$408	01-20 16:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	3	$1.4K	1,005	1,000	+5	No	+$610	05-26 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$1,091	10-24 14:41
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	7	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	-$260	06-22 18:40
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,117	0	+1,117	No	+$11	05-25 15:20
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	25	$929	7,209	7,209	+0	No	-$598	01-22 03:39
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$785	831	0	+831	Yes	+$46	05-19 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	1	$776	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$776	07-02 15:35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	7	$765	1,186	0	+1,186	Yes	+$421	05-22 15:06
starmer out by june 22 2026	18	$700	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$700	06-21 08:45
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	40	$699	2,152	199	+1,953	Yes	-$203	10-26 15:34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	8	$624	1,315	0	+1,315	Yes	-$624	05-10 11:25
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	2	$619	328	328	+0	No	+$37	04-22 08:14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	5	$602	435	435	+0	Yes	+$30	05-06 05:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	5	$598	1,500	500	+1,000	No	+$62	05-05 13:25
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be less than 400m by january 31	15	$577	4,164	3,740	+424	Yes	-$405	01-22 09:06
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	2	$563	331	331	+0	No	+$99	06-29 11:38
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	2	$520	290	290	+0	No	+$59	04-21 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	4	$486	523	0	+523	No	+$26	10-26 15:36
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 0 39	4	$439	231	231	+0	No	+$22	04-20 07:17
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 115 139	17	$417	4,117	0	+4,117	No	-$417	01-21 13:02
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	10	$392	2,004	210	+1,794	No	-$326	06-27 12:44
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	2	$361	230	230	+0	Over	-$7	06-20 20:18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	6	$330	360	0	+360	No	+$30	06-26 10:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	9	$315	5,115	115	+5,000	Yes	-$92	06-08 15:30
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 215 239	40	$279	8,272	0	+8,272	No	-$279	01-10 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:13:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	1¢	$1	0xc637ba…
10-27 12:09:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	1¢	$1	0x202a51…
10-27 11:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x59ea36…
10-27 11:19:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xd6aab8…
10-27 10:58:39	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$2	0xbb287e…
10-26 15:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x0fad69…
10-26 15:34:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xd6a9cc…
10-26 15:34:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	70	97¢	$68	0x2ba14d…
10-26 15:31:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0xcba10f…
10-26 15:30:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	95¢	$102	0xa7923b…
10-26 15:29:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x38f932…
10-26 15:28:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0xe24bb7…
10-26 15:17:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	192	90¢	$173	0xb202f7…
10-26 15:15:23	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	500	13¢	$65	0x1b9357…
10-26 15:14:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	39	11¢	$4	0x0151d3…
10-26 15:14:02	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	160	11¢	$18	0x6d29b4…
10-26 15:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x55570b…
10-26 15:11:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	88¢	$64	0x77ed0f…
10-26 15:11:00	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0xf31582…
10-26 15:10:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xef54b7…
10-26 12:19:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xf43d93…
10-26 12:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1a7223…
10-26 12:16:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x07090f…
10-26 12:16:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x27eddd…
10-26 12:15:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x48456b…
10-26 12:14:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x30a9af…
10-26 12:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x761061…
10-26 12:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x45b804…
10-26 12:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x8f5e20…
10-26 12:09:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4b1d42…
10-26 12:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2b0b09…
10-26 12:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xf25f37…
10-26 12:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x7e0d9d…
10-26 12:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x5e4911…
10-26 12:03:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xd7c667…
10-26 12:02:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x97d5a5…
10-26 11:56:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xf92049…
10-26 11:46:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	99	16¢	$16	0x224a85…
10-26 11:38:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbb495a…
10-26 11:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xbd3f96…
10-26 11:21:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xada11a…
10-26 11:21:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xdd8f92…
10-26 11:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0x2a84bc…
10-26 11:17:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x4e7de2…
10-26 11:17:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x7f2af0…
10-26 11:17:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x67f58e…
10-26 11:17:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xba8003…
10-26 11:17:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xff44f2…
10-26 11:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0xde32a4…
10-24 14:41:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	100¢	$1,199	0xe09607…
10-24 13:42:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	1,200	9¢	$108	0xf97b51…
10-24 12:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xd24bec…
10-24 12:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0x6d38d1…
10-24 12:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	12¢	$9	0x3de05f…
10-24 12:44:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	12¢	$12	0x5e9b28…
10-24 12:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x655bbc…
10-24 12:21:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf161ad…
10-24 12:20:41	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xfd355d…
10-24 12:19:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x375bc1…
10-24 12:19:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	13¢	$11	0x2e2b48…
10-24 12:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0xf1ed48…
10-24 12:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	13¢	$30	0x20f683…
10-23 14:00:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x01081f…
10-23 14:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x7c14ec…
10-23 14:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x84240b…
10-23 13:59:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x5db85c…
10-23 13:59:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x5c6fbd…
10-23 13:30:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	1¢	$2	0xf5d7fc…
10-23 13:30:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	236	1¢	$3	0xd44bd2…
10-23 13:30:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,024	1¢	$12	0x869863…
10-23 13:29:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	1¢	$16	0x492347…
10-23 13:29:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x3630bb…
10-23 13:28:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	1¢	$3	0xf7e282…
10-23 13:10:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	2¢	$1	0x35df19…
10-23 13:10:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	874	2¢	$16	0x07856f…
10-23 13:10:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xcb8948…
10-23 13:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	566	2¢	$11	0xcd0db9…
10-23 12:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	315	2¢	$5	0x011a27…
10-23 12:22:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x62e796…
10-23 12:20:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xf2624b…
10-23 12:19:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9493c7…
10-23 12:17:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xfd81b1…
10-23 12:15:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8b6660…
10-23 12:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x668010…
10-23 12:10:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7d0717…
10-23 12:10:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0e1278…
10-23 12:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	610	2¢	$12	0x26d3b7…
10-23 12:09:47	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0xef4d24…
10-23 12:09:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x63129f…
10-23 12:09:35	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1266f4…
10-23 12:08:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x44ee70…
10-23 12:07:27	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x4fed7f…
10-23 12:07:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0xa685be…
10-23 12:06:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x13af0d…
10-23 12:06:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	2¢	$4	0xe81ca7…
10-23 12:05:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x329333…
10-23 12:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	219	2¢	$4	0x83fb97…
10-23 12:04:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x4550a9…
10-23 12:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xefe074…
10-23 12:03:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0xa722ef…