Compassionate-Speaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$315

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

25.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,409

lifetime

Volume

$29.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-02-01

last 07-22 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 31% $-315

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 582 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes		-200	$-22	10¢	$-20	+$2	07-22 21:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	116	$1.2K	2,122	0	+2,122	Down	$-31	05-06 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	98	$970	1,855	0	+1,855	Down	$-16	05-06 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	102	$883	1,451	0	+1,451	open	—	04-29 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	133	$830	1,738	0	+1,738	open	—	05-15 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	122	$770	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	04-29 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	106	$754	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	05-20 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	111	$753	1,461	0	+1,461	open	—	05-18 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	84	$664	1,098	0	+1,098	open	—	05-21 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	88	$659	1,110	0	+1,110	open	—	05-19 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	92	$581	1,269	0	+1,269	open	—	05-15 01:44
btc updown 15m 1775545200	99	$576	1,195	0	+1,195	open	—	04-07 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	59	$568	858	0	+858	open	—	04-29 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	60	$565	821	0	+821	open	—	05-19 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	69	$557	869	0	+869	open	—	05-19 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	96	$551	1,227	0	+1,227	open	—	05-20 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	52	$545	829	0	+829	open	—	04-29 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	72	$510	1,010	754	+256	Up	+$49	05-14 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	85	$477	989	0	+989	open	—	05-19 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	45	$470	739	0	+739	open	—	05-15 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	92	$464	948	0	+948	open	—	05-19 10:14
btc updown 15m 1776074400	59	$450	914	0	+914	open	—	04-13 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	68	$442	1,211	0	+1,211	open	—	05-14 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	42	$427	463	58	+406	open	—	04-29 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	78	$425	952	0	+952	open	—	05-15 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	72	$415	916	0	+916	Down	$-58	05-06 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	39	$406	620	0	+620	Down	$-10	05-07 03:12
btc updown 15m 1776069000	44	$402	653	0	+653	open	—	04-13 08:41
btc updown 15m 1775547900	48	$397	610	0	+610	open	—	04-07 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	61	$393	619	0	+619	open	—	05-18 07:54
btc updown 15m 1776073500	58	$388	722	0	+722	open	—	04-13 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 21:17:45	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	SELL	72	11¢	$8	0x744af3…
07-18 01:11:21	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x625150…
07-16 18:07:07	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	SELL	123	11¢	$14	0x8d8b74…
07-13 11:18:19	btc updown 15m 1783941300	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb7f8a0…
07-13 11:17:19	btc updown 15m 1783941300	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x05c5eb…
07-13 11:17:10	btc updown 15m 1783941300	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x925348…
07-13 10:21:10	btc updown 15m 1783937700	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe09fa5…
07-07 08:37:32	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xee6012…
07-07 06:35:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xaf3530…
07-07 06:35:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x356742…
07-07 04:44:20	mlb col lad 2026 07 06	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xae46de…
07-06 07:09:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x2538e0…
07-06 06:48:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x02c895…
07-06 06:35:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xd7fd2f…
07-06 06:30:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe9302b…
07-06 06:21:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xe850ad…
07-06 02:37:29	btc updown 15m 1783305000	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa6576d…
07-06 02:37:28	btc updown 15m 1783305000	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5ba90a…
07-06 02:31:47	btc updown 15m 1783305000	Down	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xddaae5…
07-06 02:31:47	btc updown 15m 1783305000	Down	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0xb1370a…
07-06 02:31:46	btc updown 15m 1783305000	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x152459…
07-06 02:09:16	btc updown 15m 1783303200	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xfb0222…
07-06 01:42:49	btc updown 15m 1783301400	Up	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xf3a825…
07-06 01:42:49	btc updown 15m 1783301400	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0xed1476…
07-06 01:42:22	btc updown 15m 1783301400	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe18a8d…
07-03 06:34:34	btc updown 15m 1783060200	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xdf8d03…
07-03 06:34:34	btc updown 15m 1783060200	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9db655…
07-03 06:34:32	btc updown 15m 1783060200	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x52bb55…
07-03 06:28:32	btc updown 15m 1783059300	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xeaf5f0…
07-03 06:28:32	btc updown 15m 1783059300	Up	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x9576c1…
07-03 05:55:13	btc updown 15m 1783057500	Down	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x8ba95a…
07-03 05:55:13	btc updown 15m 1783057500	Down	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x2db765…
07-03 05:43:05	btc updown 15m 1783056600	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x9ef6b0…
07-03 05:42:44	btc updown 15m 1783056600	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xbeeddc…
07-01 06:45:53	btc updown 15m 1782888300	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd3e689…
07-01 06:34:38	btc updown 15m 1782887400	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe864eb…
07-01 06:34:38	btc updown 15m 1782887400	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xcec0a5…
07-01 06:34:38	btc updown 15m 1782887400	Up	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x109e5d…
07-01 06:34:37	btc updown 15m 1782887400	Up	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0xab94a0…
07-01 06:34:37	btc updown 15m 1782887400	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x00b308…
06-30 01:31:08	btc updown 15m 1782783000	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x59d36d…
06-30 01:10:07	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xf93bfd…
06-30 01:09:28	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x087b22…
06-30 01:09:26	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xca6e10…
06-30 01:07:31	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x25dc94…
06-30 01:07:29	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa51763…
06-30 01:04:22	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf71e7d…
06-30 01:04:22	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0xc3ae35…
06-30 01:04:22	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x5f10a5…
06-30 01:03:10	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	1	66¢	$1	0x2e12a6…
06-30 01:03:10	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x1558c3…
06-30 01:00:17	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Up	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x6c8780…
06-29 02:15:58	btc updown 15m 1782699300	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x916da9…
06-29 02:15:37	btc updown 15m 1782699300	Up	BUY	24	54¢	$13	0x60fc3a…
06-29 02:15:35	btc updown 15m 1782699300	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xda6f9b…
06-29 01:57:01	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xd99a08…
06-29 01:57:01	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0xd5e2af…
06-29 01:56:59	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x87333e…
06-29 01:56:59	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x2592e7…
06-29 01:52:32	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x84813c…
06-29 01:52:32	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x4174be…
06-29 01:50:01	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x53eb61…
06-29 01:50:01	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Down	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x31fc1e…
06-29 01:45:26	btc updown 15m 1782697500	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x416924…
06-24 02:09:17	btc updown 15m 1782266400	Down	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x21380b…
06-24 02:09:16	btc updown 15m 1782266400	Down	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xd3f412…
06-24 02:09:16	btc updown 15m 1782266400	Down	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xa313e1…
06-24 02:09:16	btc updown 15m 1782266400	Down	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x04897b…
06-24 02:09:14	btc updown 15m 1782266400	Down	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x3079f8…
06-24 02:09:13	btc updown 15m 1782266400	Up	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xb5ec16…
06-24 02:09:13	btc updown 15m 1782266400	Up	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x42f1a1…
06-24 01:53:28	btc updown 15m 1782265500	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x73dc00…
06-24 01:41:50	btc updown 15m 1782264600	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x9e0d74…
06-24 01:41:50	btc updown 15m 1782264600	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x424ea9…
06-24 01:41:50	btc updown 15m 1782264600	Up	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x3c9597…
06-24 01:14:20	btc updown 15m 1782262800	Down	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x551d96…
06-24 01:14:19	btc updown 15m 1782262800	Down	BUY	30	88¢	$27	0x18d733…
06-24 01:14:17	btc updown 15m 1782262800	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf7d1f5…
06-24 01:12:44	btc updown 15m 1782262800	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x52e5db…
06-24 01:12:26	btc updown 15m 1782262800	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x7ec185…
06-24 01:12:25	btc updown 15m 1782262800	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xad9583…
06-19 07:02:23	btc updown 15m 1781852400	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x97ba03…
06-19 07:02:22	btc updown 15m 1781852400	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xdbfdaa…
06-19 07:02:22	btc updown 15m 1781852400	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x193ebb…
06-19 06:53:08	btc updown 15m 1781851500	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x08712d…
06-19 06:53:07	btc updown 15m 1781851500	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc78374…
06-19 06:53:07	btc updown 15m 1781851500	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x5058d3…
06-19 06:30:53	btc updown 15m 1781850600	Down	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0xae1d60…
06-19 06:30:53	btc updown 15m 1781850600	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9f18dc…
06-19 06:28:47	btc updown 15m 1781849700	Up	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x21bcee…
06-19 06:04:53	btc updown 15m 1781848800	Up	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x1e31c6…
06-19 05:44:29	btc updown 15m 1781847000	Up	SELL	90	95¢	$85	0xd6d1e8…
06-19 05:39:13	btc updown 15m 1781847000	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xebd6d9…
06-19 05:39:13	btc updown 15m 1781847000	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9d27fd…
06-19 05:39:13	btc updown 15m 1781847000	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6ec438…
06-19 05:39:13	btc updown 15m 1781847000	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4f39a1…
06-19 05:39:13	btc updown 15m 1781847000	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3cbd03…
06-19 05:39:13	btc updown 15m 1781847000	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x03babf…
06-19 05:39:10	btc updown 15m 1781847000	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x151060…
06-19 05:39:08	btc updown 15m 1781847000	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x2565e4…