Likable-Uncertainty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$619

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-09 05:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 42% $-9

Other

22% 100% +$1

Sports

4% 100% +$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776411000	2	$10	18	10	+8	open	—	04-17 07:33
btc updown 5m 1776737100	2	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	04-21 02:09
btc updown 5m 1776852900	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 10:19
btc updown 5m 1776613500	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-19 15:48
btc updown 5m 1776648000	2	$7	9	0	+9	open	—	04-20 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	Up	$-6	05-06 01:20
btc updown 5m 1776775200	3	$6	13	4	+9	open	—	04-21 12:40
btc updown 5m 1776411900	1	$5	547	0	+547	open	—	04-17 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	$-5	05-04 23:34
btc updown 5m 1776694800	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	04-20 14:20
btc updown 5m 1776614100	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-19 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 09:30
btc updown 5m 1776953700	3	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-23 14:16
btc updown 5m 1776439800	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 15:35
btc updown 5m 1776420000	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-17 10:06
btc updown 5m 1776738900	2	$5	12	11	+1	open	—	04-21 02:38
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-05 23:55
btc updown 5m 1777051200	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-24 17:20
btc updown 5m 1776445200	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 17:04
btc updown 5m 1776953100	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-23 14:06
fl1 rcl ang 2026 03 20 rcl	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	03-18 18:27
btc updown 5m 1776611700	2	$3	21	0	+21	open	—	04-19 15:17
btc updown 5m 1776739200	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-21 02:41
btc updown 5m 1776412500	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	04-17 07:59
btc updown 5m 1776739800	1	$3	9	0	+9	open	—	04-21 02:51
btc updown 5m 1776694500	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-20 14:15
btc updown 5m 1777050300	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	04-24 17:07
btc updown 5m 1776651900	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 02:26
btc updown 5m 1776740700	2	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-21 03:09
btc updown 5m 1777049700	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 05:04:40	wta vidmano fruhvir 2026 06 08	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa1045d…
06-07 20:08:03	mlb mil col 2026 06 07	Colorado Rockies	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x48b718…
06-07 20:06:51	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 07	Boston Red Sox	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x90770f…
06-06 00:02:22	mlb bal tor 2026 06 05	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x8c89ed…
06-05 23:55:24	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05	New York Yankees	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x139045…
06-05 23:53:37	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 05	New York Yankees	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x301873…
06-03 14:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9b87cd…
06-03 14:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdd4d4e…
06-03 14:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe1e751…
06-03 14:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbafd43…
06-01 11:46:50	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc58a98…
05-20 01:32:33	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x775c12…
05-20 00:18:44	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x38ab83…
05-19 07:09:10	Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur	Clement Tabur	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xecc4aa…
05-19 07:08:00	Istanbul (Doubles): Barton/Vrbensky vs Jecan/Pavel	Jecan/Pavel	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef6da0…
05-19 03:34:30	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2792d5…
05-18 23:51:18	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x76f350…
05-18 23:48:56	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x742055…
05-18 12:08:35	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima	Alycia Parks	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1d9d51…
05-18 12:08:05	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima	Moyuka Uchijima	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2682c3…
05-18 12:07:53	Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb181d9…
05-16 15:54:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Coco Gauff	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf1df3b…
05-16 15:52:40	Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2fc269…
05-16 15:52:21	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina	Coco Gauff	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xcfd5bc…
05-16 09:43:55	Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: McCartney Kessler vs Renata Zarazua	McCartney Kessler	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x77c532…
05-16 09:43:16	Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xde3aa0…
05-16 09:42:45	Geneva Open, Qualification: Edas Butvilas vs Alexandre Muller	Edas Butvilas	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1ea1e6…
05-16 01:26:30	Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago Cubs	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2a5f5e…
05-16 01:25:41	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x96cf86…
05-15 07:25:40	Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0eaaae…
05-15 07:22:14	Bordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbce245…
05-14 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x45b3d2…
05-14 08:35:41	Zagreb: Marco Cecchinato vs Andres Andrade	Marco Cecchinato	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf0e6e9…
05-11 15:18:47	Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko	Arthur Fery	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6702ac…
05-06 09:06:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa277e7…
05-06 01:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd07ffd…
05-06 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfde42d…
05-06 01:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9fb27f…
05-06 01:16:16	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd240cb…
05-06 01:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd011b8…
05-05 16:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x04ea29…
05-05 16:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7b0768…
05-05 16:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x60cb69…
05-05 16:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x92d4ff…
05-05 16:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x802721…
05-05 16:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xba977b…
05-05 15:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaf9cc4…
05-05 15:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0ba214…
05-05 15:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x417c13…
05-05 14:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xabf2e3…
05-05 07:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbfec22…
05-05 00:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf823ee…
05-05 00:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf9dd85…
05-05 00:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3b419f…
05-05 00:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa2e48c…
05-05 00:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd2357a…
05-05 00:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xae7bbb…
05-04 23:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb9c188…
05-04 23:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6aad3f…
05-04 23:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc4d90e…
05-04 23:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdddb76…
05-04 23:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xac2cca…
05-04 23:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x347a43…
05-04 02:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0247b3…
05-04 02:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb2fd18…
05-03 17:18:16	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xed43ab…
05-03 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x339baf…
05-03 13:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xef7ae8…
05-03 10:19:26	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6cd513…
05-03 10:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2b8d57…
05-03 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x94372b…
05-03 05:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1111ee…
05-03 05:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb6738a…
05-02 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6789bc…
05-02 09:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x513891…
05-02 09:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe5b211…
05-02 09:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x57eda2…
05-01 17:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe9e066…
05-01 17:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8da056…
05-01 17:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x26ad4b…
05-01 17:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1062a8…
05-01 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf78d35…
05-01 16:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd74547…
05-01 16:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbc6ee4…
05-01 12:47:54	KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe06249…
05-01 12:47:42	Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere	Laslo Djere	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x112f46…
05-01 07:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdf5f6a…
05-01 07:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1f756d…
05-01 07:13:18	Huzhou: Hanyu Guo vs Rada Zolotareva	Hanyu Guo	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb2dd5f…
05-01 06:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1b3050…
04-30 12:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x11fd71…
04-30 06:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0d93a5…
04-29 08:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xadc36f…
04-29 04:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x06c345…
04-28 18:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7984f0…
04-28 18:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7e89f4…
04-28 18:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9cf941…
04-28 18:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d09db…
04-28 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x094faa…
04-26 16:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0d9804…