Bad-Cold — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$23

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

41 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$192

$192 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (5)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	+10	$5	82¢	$8	+$3	05-05 21:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	+5	$2	98¢	$5	+$3	05-05 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	+10	$5	1¢	$0	$-5	05-05 22:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	+10	$5	1¢	$0	$-5	05-05 21:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	+5	$2	0¢	$0	$-2	05-05 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x321830…
05-05 22:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x914611…
05-05 21:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x612866…
05-05 21:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf877b7…
05-05 21:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x268651…
05-05 21:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbfc0bc…
05-05 21:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xcc46e2…
05-05 21:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2f387f…
05-05 21:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc4ca8c…
05-05 20:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x979a06…
05-05 20:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x356297…
05-05 20:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa0b5b9…
05-05 18:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9c84e9…
05-05 18:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8a312e…
05-05 17:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x83226c…
05-05 06:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcb3d9f…
05-05 06:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2bef98…
05-05 06:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcd9d93…
05-05 06:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x588c67…
05-05 05:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2c4ea0…
05-05 05:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x00b564…
05-05 05:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x687d49…
05-05 05:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc82f7e…
05-05 04:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x287f66…
05-05 04:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x4c4cc9…
05-05 04:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3310d5…
05-05 03:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7017d2…
05-05 03:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf7bd9f…
05-05 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x771665…
05-05 02:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8c681a…
05-05 02:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf8f95c…
05-05 02:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc41f64…
05-05 02:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x054bdf…
05-05 02:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xeb7f67…
05-05 02:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x076ac0…
05-05 02:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xba0d1a…
05-05 01:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6eb593…
05-05 00:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcd2818…
05-04 23:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x031638…
05-04 23:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xa0b777…
05-04 23:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4203e0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	35	$782	165	05-05 22:10
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	18	$594	29	05-05 21:30
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	12	$1.26K	47	05-05 21:44
Thirsty-Adjustment 0x2f32…ada6	8	$571	83	05-05 21:45
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	4	$659	4	05-05 20:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$7	14	+14	Up	+$7	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$6	14	+14	Down	$-6	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$6	14	+14	Down	+$8	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	1	$6	14	+14	Down	+$8	05-04 23:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 00:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 04:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 05:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 06:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 06:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 03:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 21:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 22:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 06:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 05:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 05:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 20:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 18:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 05:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 21:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 01:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Down	+$5	05-05 06:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	$-5	05-05 02:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 02:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 21:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 21:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 21:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 17:55