Bony-Spud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-21 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

55% 100% +$1

Crypto

35% 80% -$4

Politics

10% 75% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	05-13 08:59
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$82	83	+83	No	+$0	05-24 09:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	1	$82	83	+83	Yes	+$0	05-11 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-07 03:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-25 07:34
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-20 08:41
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-14 08:19
ethereum above 2400 on april 6	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-06 06:15
bitcoin above 62k on march 29	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	03-29 08:32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	05-17 03:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	04-29 03:18
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 300 319	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	01-12 04:00
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	1	$82	82	+82	No	+$0	03-24 03:48
ethereum above 2000 on march 17	1	$82	82	+82	Yes	+$0	03-17 03:48
bitcoin above 56k on june 13 2026	1	$81	81	+81	Yes	+$0	06-12 06:46
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	1	$80	81	+81	No	+$0	05-28 11:21
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	02-13 02:11
bitcoin above 90k on february 6	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	02-05 04:00
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	02-01 07:03
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	01-28 07:12
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	01-25 01:44
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	01-19 09:29
Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	09-18 13:03
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	07-17 07:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	08-25 05:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	10-21 15:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$3	4	+4	Yes	-$3	10-21 15:24
will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	1	$3	90	+90	No	-$3	01-18 11:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	1	$2	1,080	+1,080	Yes	-$2	05-28 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 15:25:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7de549…
10-21 15:24:30	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x6a58cc…
09-18 13:03:32	Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x521ff2…
08-25 05:24:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa2e74b…
07-17 07:06:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2b1579…
06-12 06:46:28	bitcoin above 56k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xde9482…
05-28 11:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$80	0x65a959…
05-28 11:10:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0xc22c4d…
05-24 09:18:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0xd518db…
05-17 03:55:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xd8f926…
05-13 08:59:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xd94d22…
05-11 06:45:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$82	0xfa8c92…
05-07 03:43:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xc4fd8d…
04-29 03:18:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xe48c86…
04-25 07:34:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x9cf918…
04-20 08:41:16	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x266694…
04-14 08:19:59	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 540 559	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x4b0043…
04-06 06:15:49	ethereum above 2400 on april 6	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xc75638…
03-29 08:32:46	bitcoin above 62k on march 29	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x59efd7…
03-24 03:48:03	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x3e516e…
03-17 03:48:25	ethereum above 2000 on march 17	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x2d53b8…
02-13 02:11:23	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3d30cd…
02-05 04:00:31	bitcoin above 90k on february 6	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x92fcd8…
02-01 07:03:52	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x92f3c8…
01-28 07:12:39	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb7df13…
01-25 01:44:18	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 140 159	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb84eb0…
01-19 09:29:32	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 0 19	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2082da…
01-18 11:11:54	will bitcoin reach 98k january 12 18	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0x3c8a8f…
01-12 04:00:40	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 300 319	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xb75f1d…