Cumbersome-Elongation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

51.7%

Resolved

3,197

Trades

7,513

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-29 16:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Other

56% 46% -$6

Crypto

24% 43% -$72

Sports

20% 43% -$83

Politics

0% 25% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes		+10	$3	97¢	$10	+$7	07-01 23:07
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes		-9	-$5	42¢	$-4	+$1	10-05 02:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	11	$104	130	38	+92	Yes	-$63	04-17 12:27
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 17c	9	$57	70	39	+31	Yes	-$17	04-15 11:58
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	12	$47	45	45	+0	Knicks	-$1	06-13 11:38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$46	59	59	+0	No	-$1	07-14 20:03
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 16c	5	$45	70	0	+70	No	+$15	04-15 11:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 21c	2	$44	50	0	+50	No	+$6	04-16 00:04
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 19c	1	$40	50	0	+50	No	+$10	04-17 09:16
highest temperature in moscow on april 11 2026 7corhigher	11	$39	89	0	+89	No	+$49	04-09 17:11
highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 20c	9	$39	55	37	+18	No	$0	04-14 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 19c	1	$37	50	0	+50	No	+$13	04-15 06:59
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 20c	2	$37	50	0	+50	No	+$13	04-15 18:01
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 19c	3	$34	50	0	+50	Yes	-$34	04-15 07:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 16 2026 30c	1	$34	50	0	+50	No	+$16	04-15 11:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	5	$33	50	0	+50	No	+$1	04-15 06:38
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$33	24	20	+4	Yes	+$1	06-21 00:06
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	6	$32	28	26	+2	Jakub Mensik	+$2	05-27 13:23
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 22c	8	$32	58	0	+58	No	+$25	04-17 17:39
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	13	$32	60	0	+60	Yes	-$4	04-14 10:31
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 19c	3	$32	50	0	+50	No	+$18	04-16 03:55
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$32	36	31	+5	Yes	+$4	06-15 06:43
highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 19c	17	$30	75	55	+21	No	$0	04-14 15:58
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	8	$29	34	34	+0	Knicks	-$1	06-04 02:16
highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 21corhigher	11	$29	76	19	+57	Yes	+$41	04-14 15:59
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 21c	2	$28	50	0	+50	Yes	-$28	04-15 07:39
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	2	$28	50	0	+50	Yes	-$28	04-15 07:06
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 16c	11	$28	61	0	+61	No	+$30	04-14 10:36
lol blg t1 2026 07 04	6	$28	29	23	+5	Bilibili Gaming	-$3	07-04 05:17
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 23c	15	$28	102	0	+102	Yes	+$28	04-14 05:42
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	3	$28	20	13	+7	No	+$5	06-07 13:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	2	$27	50	0	+50	Yes	-$27	04-16 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xa9db8e…
10-29 16:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb7509d…
10-29 04:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x226407…
10-28 21:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6d2c20…
10-26 23:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xdf372b…
10-17 15:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0xc0801d…
10-17 14:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9244b3…
10-15 09:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc50b01…
10-12 16:34:27	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbcbb5d…
10-05 02:17:22	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xc330b0…
10-05 01:37:49	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcf0a7f…
10-02 10:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0x878fe9…
10-01 11:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x40a82e…
09-30 07:01:11	bitcoin up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xceef01…
09-29 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa713cf…
09-28 11:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x37b8d0…
09-23 13:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xba00a1…
09-23 06:49:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x225846…
09-23 06:40:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x943ad9…
09-23 05:36:38	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x771693…
09-23 01:54:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf60598…
09-23 01:40:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x6be45a…
09-22 01:24:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x413839…
09-22 01:13:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x5c0a5c…
09-22 01:13:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4dea27…
09-21 18:49:25	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x68eadd…
09-21 18:49:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x6e32b4…
09-20 14:05:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x6d4ec9…
09-20 04:07:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7b777d…
09-19 23:43:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xbca482…
09-19 23:12:51	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd826f6…
09-18 15:12:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x04259d…
09-18 09:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 20?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf83f81…
09-18 09:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 20?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x9af07e…
09-17 03:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x314bbe…
09-17 01:58:46	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa14bbd…
09-15 00:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x85f6ed…
09-12 06:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa3bbbe…
09-12 06:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x79a966…
09-11 18:07:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x6560ec…
09-11 18:07:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa1a143…
09-11 00:07:18	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xcdfbb3…
09-10 18:33:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa5e6b0…
09-10 17:40:12	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x31f827…
09-10 16:39:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf24ede…
09-10 16:37:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xb7eb6b…
09-10 10:25:30	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x8ed6a7…
09-10 09:43:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5d51f4…
09-09 14:27:07	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xc0bd5f…
09-09 14:27:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb7df01…
09-09 13:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xa0db8d…
09-09 13:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x30d6d1…
09-08 01:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 8?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xbe1d48…
09-08 00:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0bb730…
09-07 23:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 8?	No	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x825ed0…
09-07 22:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x835f73…
09-07 21:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6e40b6…
09-07 04:17:16	itf richard kitthac 2026 09 07	Lleyton Richards	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x932705…
09-07 04:02:16	itf richard kitthac 2026 09 07	Lleyton Richards	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0ae31a…
09-07 03:48:58	Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Washington Nationals	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x90d3c7…
09-07 03:29:03	Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Washington Nationals	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa976a6…
09-06 01:26:54	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-05?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x290652…
09-06 00:04:15	US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x2eedd8…
09-06 00:03:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xb3372c…
09-06 00:03:00	US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbec282…
09-06 00:02:21	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1aba14…
09-06 00:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa5b095…
09-05 03:42:46	Will Shaanxi Union FC win on 2026-09-05?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x23bc97…
09-05 03:35:37	Will FC Juárez win on 2026-09-04?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xeb34ca…
09-05 03:31:55	New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres	New York Yankees	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xe646d1…
09-05 03:21:27	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x2fd5ee…
09-05 03:10:30	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x4bf58f…
09-05 03:09:22	Will Shaanxi Union FC win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3eb943…
09-05 03:08:55	New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres	New York Yankees	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe24937…
09-05 03:08:43	Will FC Juárez win on 2026-09-04?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x97e190…
09-05 03:08:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb10da3…
09-05 03:07:42	XRP Up or Down - September 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x96eaac…
09-05 00:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xea35cd…
09-04 11:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3ca9f9…
09-04 06:56:06	itf danil laro 2026 09 04	Maayan Laron	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x0156c3…
09-04 06:08:01	itf danil laro 2026 09 04	Maayan Laron	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd3f8ef…
09-04 05:12:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xe95287…
09-04 05:11:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x78dfd6…
09-04 02:06:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd4f29d…
09-04 01:09:46	atp bergs jong 2026 09 03	Zizou Bergs	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x62132e…
09-04 00:20:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6e90c0…
09-04 00:09:16	US Open ATP: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x310227…
09-04 00:09:00	US Open ATP: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x51e373…
09-04 00:00:30	atp bergs jong 2026 09 03	Zizou Bergs	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3b3ee2…
09-03 22:09:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x9e8c86…
09-03 21:45:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3fb007…
09-03 00:50:18	Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf94814…
09-02 12:28:16	US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro	Jesper de Jong	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x8e85aa…
09-02 05:35:18	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xec1bb9…
09-02 05:31:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x99c632…
09-02 05:21:07	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego	Alexander Zverev	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x1cb3bc…
09-02 05:18:55	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Sonego	Alexander Zverev	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xcda8e6…
09-02 05:01:27	US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro	Jesper de Jong	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x357fb4…
09-02 04:59:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x16d16c…
09-02 04:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 2?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x396011…