Flippant-Equal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 05-15 19:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% 50% $-5

Politics

35% 50% $-24

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
James Comey arrested by May 15?	13	$123	120	140	-20	open	—	04-29 18:43
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	22	$99	186	186	+0	open	—	04-24 19:05
tsla up or down on april 13 2026	10	$83	127	127	+0	open	—	04-13 16:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	7	$80	60	60	+0	open	—	04-12 21:36
James Comey arrested by April 28?	11	$71	320	20	+300	open	—	04-28 23:18
FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	5	$50	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 18:51
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$48	60	60	+0	open	—	04-23 21:22
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	4	$41	200	160	+40	open	—	04-26 15:06
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	3	$40	50	50	+0	open	—	04-27 01:00
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	8	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	$-5	04-20 19:15
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 27, 2026?	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-15 18:56
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?	3	$38	51	51	+0	open	—	04-19 19:29
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	15	$37	101	78	+23	open	—	04-26 21:48
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	7	$37	80	80	+0	open	—	04-21 19:38
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 07:58
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	11	$36	63	60	+3	open	—	04-26 01:13
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 16:06
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	8	$34	43	43	+0	open	—	04-26 10:53
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	5	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 18:19
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$32	40	40	+0	open	—	04-26 21:08
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	4	$30	40	40	+0	open	—	04-20 17:59
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	8	$29	40	40	+0	open	—	04-19 19:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	6	$28	40	40	+0	open	—	04-22 19:55
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	4	$28	35	55	-20	No	$-15	04-25 08:59
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	3	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 17:24
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 04:05
will nvda dip to 176 by april 13 2026	2	$24	29	29	+0	open	—	04-12 13:04
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	3	$24	50	50	+0	No	+$2	04-27 09:45
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	3	$23	30	50	-20	open	—	04-22 00:07
will coin dip to 157 50 by april 13 2026	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 19:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 19:11:08	Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x15bf41…
05-15 04:05:53	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x39779f…
05-14 04:40:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xff4d2d…
05-14 03:03:08	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	28	41¢	$12	0xefc8bd…
05-14 00:59:01	Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd70892…
05-13 22:26:50	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xe440c7…
05-13 18:57:37	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x6ac3ea…
05-13 18:23:16	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x4ef324…
05-13 16:43:31	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x5b4c8e…
05-12 22:25:42	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x04a94c…
05-12 16:52:55	Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0xf82f5e…
05-12 05:12:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xfa526d…
05-12 04:48:09	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0xcd5fe8…
05-12 04:47:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x6fec04…
05-12 03:32:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x867ad5…
05-12 01:09:52	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xfa953e…
05-12 01:09:15	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xae265d…
05-12 00:56:36	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x64e55e…
05-11 21:59:19	Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xd7b98a…
05-11 20:40:29	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x5930c4…
05-11 19:07:28	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xc0a278…
05-10 20:18:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc774e7…
05-10 20:08:42	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x16b88c…
05-10 20:06:01	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?	No	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0x9eabd5…
05-10 18:55:02	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf2b093…
05-10 14:29:46	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xfdef6d…
05-10 14:27:38	Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x182dad…
05-10 11:43:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xa1567e…
05-10 11:33:23	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0xb5ec84…
05-10 09:59:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x4e89d3…
05-10 09:49:14	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x0e75c8…
05-10 05:15:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xf756be…
05-10 04:58:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x4b948f…
05-10 04:19:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4d1d69…
05-10 04:09:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xaade64…
05-10 04:09:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4060aa…
05-10 04:03:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xc9f6c0…
05-10 04:03:42	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x8f2420…
05-10 04:03:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x3ecbc5…
05-10 04:03:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4d8781…
05-10 03:54:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 10, 2026?	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xa02122…
05-10 00:02:08	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x56ea36…
05-09 22:45:35	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x84f1f4…
05-09 21:44:21	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x462571…
05-09 21:29:52	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xf31b23…
05-01 17:24:48	Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x7408ae…
05-01 16:44:50	Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0xea5642…
04-30 18:48:58	Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd9a028…
04-30 01:03:14	Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x4065d2…
04-29 18:43:32	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x8d58d2…
04-29 18:30:14	Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x2f3b8f…
04-29 18:29:10	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb2e689…
04-29 18:17:14	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x4620b2…
04-29 13:00:12	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa392fb…
04-29 07:20:16	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa4550e…
04-29 00:10:50	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xd2824f…
04-28 23:42:46	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x96ee7a…
04-28 23:35:06	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x7301fd…
04-28 23:26:50	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x9c2fba…
04-28 23:20:28	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe027b5…
04-28 23:18:02	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xcaa16b…
04-28 23:17:24	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x8062c0…
04-28 23:11:00	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x34d976…
04-28 23:10:18	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xa7d400…
04-28 23:07:20	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x4904b4…
04-28 23:07:14	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x549098…
04-28 23:05:12	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x52eec2…
04-28 23:03:26	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xcb109f…
04-28 23:02:08	James Comey arrested by April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe325c3…
04-28 23:00:52	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x66f0d6…
04-28 22:59:02	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x0702e7…
04-28 22:59:02	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x0702e7…
04-28 22:58:18	James Comey arrested by April 28?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x7dc0ed…
04-28 22:46:14	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x982e16…
04-28 22:45:02	James Comey arrested by April 28?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x12167b…
04-28 07:54:58	Will Trump say "Trump Was Right About Everything" in April?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xf09e0b…
04-27 22:17:42	Will the DHS shutdown end between April 27-May 3 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb3de1c…
04-27 09:59:52	Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x37057f…
04-27 09:45:50	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x5a0dc7…
04-27 02:36:34	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x8f68ce…
04-27 02:36:34	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x7df1a1…
04-27 02:36:34	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x357049…
04-27 02:36:34	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x129b5d…
04-27 01:31:38	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xd242a1…
04-27 01:00:46	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x67dc25…
04-26 23:28:14	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x84421c…
04-26 22:46:04	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x2283f6…
04-26 21:48:04	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x66b700…
04-26 21:08:16	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x8c1b5f…
04-26 20:32:32	Will Trump say "Trump Was Right About Everything" in April?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x246ece…
04-26 18:50:56	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf6ff75…
04-26 18:50:54	Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x9926da…
04-26 18:17:24	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x981c87…
04-26 18:17:24	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x3abeaa…
04-26 18:16:28	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x497226…
04-26 18:10:14	Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb98341…
04-26 18:06:34	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xbe8479…
04-26 18:03:48	Will Estral Esports win CD 2026 Split 1?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x98c322…
04-26 17:53:52	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x45179b…
04-26 17:16:06	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x905ed8…