Flippant-Equal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

424

Trades

794

lifetime

Volume

$2.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-21 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

62% 13% -$81

Politics

31% 41% -$43

Tech

3% 75% +$2

Pop-Culture

3% 25% -$10

Sports

1% 12% +$0

Crypto

0% 4% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes		-3	-$1	98¢	$-3	-$2	05-09 13:04
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?	No		-3	-$1	94¢	$-3	-$1	04-28 22:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
James Comey arrested by May 15?	13	$123	120	140	-20	Yes	+$7	04-29 18:43
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	22	$99	186	186	+0	No	+$0	04-24 19:05
tsla up or down on april 13 2026	10	$83	127	127	+0	Up	+$16	04-13 16:24
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	7	$80	60	60	+0	No	+$0	04-12 21:36
James Comey arrested by April 28?	11	$71	320	20	+300	No	-$37	04-28 23:18
FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	5	$50	100	100	+0	No	+$8	04-22 18:51
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$48	60	60	+0	Yes	+$2	04-23 21:22
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	7	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	10-13 12:09
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	6	$43	60	60	+0	open	—	04-29 18:32
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	4	$41	200	160	+40	No	-$15	04-26 15:06
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	3	$40	50	50	+0	No	-$2	04-27 01:00
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	8	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	-$5	04-20 19:15
Will Claude 4.7 be released on April 27, 2026?	4	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$1	04-15 18:56
Trump drops Powell investigation before Warsh is confirmed?	3	$38	51	51	+0	Yes	-$1	04-19 19:29
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	15	$37	101	78	+23	Yes	-$9	04-26 21:48
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	7	$37	80	80	+0	Yes	-$8	04-21 19:38
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$1	04-18 07:58
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?	11	$36	63	60	+3	No	+$1	04-26 01:13
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-17 16:06
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	8	$34	43	43	+0	Yes	+$1	04-26 10:53
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?	5	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	04-18 18:19
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	4	$32	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-26 21:08
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	4	$30	40	40	+0	No	-$2	04-20 17:59
Will Odyssey Therapeutics' market cap be between $0.8B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	2	$30	20	20	+0	No	+$8	05-08 19:54
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	8	$29	40	40	+0	Yes	-$3	04-19 19:42
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	05-09 10:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	6	$28	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-22 19:55
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	4	$28	35	55	-20	No	-$15	04-25 08:59
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 27-May 3 2026?	4	$28	72	72	+0	Yes	+$7	04-29 21:20
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?	3	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	05-01 17:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 03:14:35	Will Jerry Jiang win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x00335e…
10-13 13:58:53	will zacharia say legacy media during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4770ed…
10-13 13:58:26	will zacharia say si during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2d9bc2…
10-13 13:58:20	will zacharia say hormuz during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6cc3b2…
10-13 13:58:11	will zacharia say go ahead during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x81f2c1…
10-13 13:46:50	will zacharia say america first during the next white house press briefing 20261012	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x091a57…
10-13 12:09:34	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa1ea0f…
10-13 12:07:04	Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth <4%?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6b1241…
10-13 12:07:04	Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth <4%?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1212f1…
10-13 12:06:38	Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 8% to 10%?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfa32a4…
10-13 02:42:39	will no press briefing air by october 31 20261012	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x81f6d1…
09-13 13:56:22	Will Hull City qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8b033f…
09-03 16:12:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb6e308…
09-03 16:12:31	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8c2cb5…
09-03 15:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xeb25c4…
09-01 14:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x8a3962…
09-01 14:10:25	spy closes above 785 on september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x229682…
09-01 14:10:03	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf97d01…
09-01 14:09:04	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb710e8…
09-01 14:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x39f2c2…
09-01 13:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 3?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x7f8679…
09-01 13:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x708934…
09-01 13:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9c77e0…
09-01 13:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x6ee099…
09-01 13:26:42	setkamecz martin radek 2026 09 01 game totals 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbc7881…
09-01 13:26:42	setkamecz martin radek 2026 09 01 game handicap home 1pt5	Slunecko Radek	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2cf279…
09-01 13:22:25	setkamecz martin radek 2026 09 01 game totals 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x73858f…
09-01 13:22:18	setkamecz rulcluk vojtec 2026 09 01	Rulc Lukas	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4890f5…
09-01 13:15:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4026bf…
09-01 13:09:31	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by September 30?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xad1cb8…
09-01 13:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7c21dc…
09-01 13:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x2dc22d…
09-01 13:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x20abe2…
09-01 13:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x75f96d…
09-01 13:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9a7067…
09-01 13:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6ca4f6…
09-01 13:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1e0c2a…
09-01 13:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd464f9…
09-01 13:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8630f9…
09-01 13:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc94dfd…
09-01 13:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x70af51…
09-01 13:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x12e80c…
09-01 13:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa46bf4…
09-01 13:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x44df30…
09-01 13:00:22	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x72e40f…
09-01 12:55:48	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf1812c…
09-01 12:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 104°F or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xff05a2…
09-01 12:35:22	Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 22°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x41ee3e…
09-01 12:35:22	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3085bf…
09-01 12:35:21	Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 21°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4cbc43…
09-01 12:34:55	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 7°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf3b23d…
09-01 12:34:52	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a0da2…
09-01 12:34:52	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4cc052…
09-01 12:34:49	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5f9155…
09-01 12:34:49	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0d0a2d…
09-01 12:34:46	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfd7d67…
09-01 12:34:46	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcdc3d4…
09-01 12:34:46	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7b3743…
09-01 12:34:46	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x75a615…
09-01 12:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcf4c48…
09-01 12:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb44e0b…
09-01 12:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 8°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5373c7…
09-01 12:34:40	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 9°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb6f714…
09-01 12:34:39	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x261961…
09-01 12:34:37	Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 20°C or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1fc9dd…
09-01 12:34:34	Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa3e113…
09-01 12:34:34	Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 30°C or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6578d3…
09-01 12:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe99550…
09-01 12:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbdb6eb…
09-01 12:02:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1cc946…
09-01 12:02:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xac1973…
09-01 11:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x97a004…
09-01 11:55:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xfe878e…
09-01 11:41:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 102-103°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5eb2c8…
09-01 11:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 85°F or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xeef59c…
09-01 11:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 52-53°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xedaef1…
09-01 11:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x91d5de…
09-01 11:34:43	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x310dcb…
09-01 11:34:42	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 49°F or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6fb161…
09-01 11:33:42	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x460e08…
09-01 11:33:40	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf27fcb…
09-01 11:33:40	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe37fde…
09-01 11:33:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7d7976…
09-01 11:33:40	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x33d777…
09-01 11:33:40	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1c3d0e…
09-01 11:33:40	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x116ab6…
09-01 11:33:37	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x847eba…
09-01 11:30:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe1f24e…
09-01 11:30:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x15d20d…
09-01 11:30:19	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8ef487…
09-01 10:41:58	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be 67°F or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2e5584…
09-01 10:40:15	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xaecfc5…
09-01 10:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd78d0f…
09-01 10:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1a7409…
09-01 09:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xaa6366…
09-01 09:42:07	Cmil Marcel vs. Cervenka Miroslav	Cmil Marcel	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5fec8a…
09-01 09:42:07	setkamecz marcel miros 2026 09 01 game totals 4pt5	Over	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x05ba5b…
09-01 09:33:58	setkamecz marcel miros 2026 09 01 game totals 3pt5	Under	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x017def…
09-01 09:26:55	setkamecz marcel miros 2026 09 01 game handicap home 1pt5	Cmil Marcel	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0fd25c…
09-01 09:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 3?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x187f49…