Realized P&L
+$193
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
75.5%
Resolved
255
Trades
544
lifetime
Volume
$3.87K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$166
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 11-01 19:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 92 days
Categories
Other
82% 63% +$139
Crypto
6% 73% +$48
Tech
6% 50% -$3
Politics
4% 60% +$49
Sports
2% 60% -$39
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +78 $40 57¢ $44 +$4 10-23 02:25
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +250 $32 8¢ $20 -$12 10-30 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $15 90¢ $18 +$4 10-08 00:08
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +22 $0 74¢ $16 +$16 10-07 15:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +24 $17 66¢ $16 -$1 10-12 19:37
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $10 70¢ $11 +$1 10-04 18:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +18 $9 44¢ $8 -$1 07-20 11:51
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +18 $5 44¢ $8 +$3 07-29 03:14
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +83 $19 8¢ $6 -$13 10-11 18:38
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 92¢ $5 $0 10-30 17:02
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 Yes +18 $10 26¢ $5 -$5 08-17 14:10
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +112 $21 4¢ $4 -$17 09-22 08:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +8 $2 36¢ $3 +$1 10-27 17:45
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +150 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 09-12 19:35