Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

173

Trades

191

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-14 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 50% -$48

Politics

14% 82% +$56

Other

3% 50% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		-22	-$8	34¢	$-7	+$1	05-04 11:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$76	78	78	+0	Up	-$4	04-29 23:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	2	$55	41	41	+0	No	+$25	04-29 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$40	87	0	+87	Up	-$40	04-29 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$40	102	0	+102	Up	-$40	04-29 23:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	2	$38	28	28	+0	No	+$16	04-27 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$30	44	0	+44	Up	+$14	04-29 23:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$30	56	0	+56	Down	-$30	04-29 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 17:00 UTC	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	04-24 17:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$22	16	16	+0	No	+$2	04-30 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$20	45	0	+45	Down	+$25	04-29 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$20	43	0	+43	Down	$0	04-29 16:56
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	04-28 07:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	04-29 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$10	31	0	+31	Down	-$10	04-29 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$10	40	0	+40	Down	-$10	04-29 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	04-29 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	Up	-$10	04-29 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	-$10	04-29 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	Down	+$18	04-29 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Up	-$10	04-29 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Up	-$10	04-29 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	-$10	04-29 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	04-29 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	04-30 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	-$10	04-29 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	+$13	04-29 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	04-29 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	Up	-$10	04-29 23:11
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	1	$10	38	0	+38	Yes	-$10	04-26 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	-$10	04-30 04:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 13:05:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xff0f8c…
05-14 13:04:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x38231f…
05-14 13:04:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x30ac95…
05-12 08:59:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe70f23…
05-04 11:57:06	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0xcff8ba…
05-04 04:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x956da1…
05-04 04:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc28c26…
05-03 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8c4ac3…
05-03 13:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6fb213…
05-03 13:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x52cace…
05-03 13:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6e8363…
05-03 12:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf82fa5…
05-03 12:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x84a844…
05-03 12:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeee9c4…
05-03 12:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x21772e…
05-03 12:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x87ed77…
05-03 12:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x00fc38…
05-03 12:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2944c1…
05-03 12:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f276b…
05-03 12:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf81c12…
05-03 09:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x383b44…
05-03 09:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x42ae85…
05-03 09:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0c5dc9…
05-03 09:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3dee25…
05-03 09:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc3f082…
05-03 09:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5c2746…
05-03 09:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5e8b7b…
05-01 09:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd82a38…
05-01 08:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa74cea…
05-01 08:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcdbca2…
04-30 17:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4a58a9…
04-30 17:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xebba86…
04-30 16:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2d4ecd…
04-30 16:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x76b8f2…
04-30 16:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7dfbf9…
04-30 16:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x579944…
04-30 16:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc162ad…
04-30 16:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3602f7…
04-30 16:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x850669…
04-30 16:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9f50a2…
04-30 16:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd29f7f…
04-30 15:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe26ba6…
04-30 15:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe40099…
04-30 15:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4fe095…
04-30 15:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xee83d4…
04-30 15:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe0a6eb…
04-30 15:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf5b691…
04-30 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x015e26…
04-30 14:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa5d4f0…
04-30 14:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa7755a…
04-30 14:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x677950…
04-30 14:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6125ec…
04-30 14:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb518ee…
04-30 14:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x5cc0d4…
04-30 14:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1092a4…
04-30 13:57:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0x634e2c…
04-30 06:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x419b27…
04-30 06:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe42b8f…
04-30 06:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x43eae0…
04-30 06:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2b2991…
04-30 06:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9731df…
04-30 06:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x629f86…
04-30 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x8618c1…
04-30 05:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb7d5e0…
04-30 05:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1bc548…
04-30 05:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb5113e…
04-30 05:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe42cf5…
04-30 05:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x222de1…
04-30 05:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x75d69c…
04-30 05:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6d6d4c…
04-30 04:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x774201…
04-30 04:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf89e2e…
04-30 04:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8ba5d0…
04-30 00:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x49df30…
04-30 00:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x26856d…
04-30 00:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfbaf87…
04-30 00:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x310137…
04-30 00:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x149303…
04-30 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb01418…
04-29 23:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x969a14…
04-29 23:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x65e429…
04-29 23:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xd7267d…
04-29 23:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	78	46¢	$36	0xeb6887…
04-29 23:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x0d0b64…
04-29 23:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	102	39¢	$40	0x32aa64…
04-29 23:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x57be08…
04-29 23:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1c6802…
04-29 23:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x556d24…
04-29 23:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x501640…
04-29 23:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1c6728…
04-29 23:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x15e42b…
04-29 22:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1a6fc7…
04-29 22:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xcbe819…
04-29 22:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc90248…
04-29 22:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1380a9…
04-29 22:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x1227a5…
04-29 22:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xce6202…
04-29 22:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xf33335…
04-29 22:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xac41d3…
04-29 22:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x893f17…