Realized P&L
-$44
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
30
Trades
43
lifetime
Volume
$1.61K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$35
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 09-29 02:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Sports
66% 42% -$4
Other
28% 10% -$71
Crypto
6% 100% +$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +74 $25 44¢ $33 +$8 09-25 11:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -114 -$17 2¢ $-2 +$15 05-12 07:46
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be $2.50T or more? Yes +121 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-29 02:27
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T? Yes +97 $12 0¢ $0 -$12 09-29 02:27