Realized P&L
+$215
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
60
Trades
126
lifetime
Volume
$2.19K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$174
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
81% 54% +$214
Politics
13% 67% +$14
Sports
6% 50% -$7
Crypto
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +147 $70 54¢ $80 +$10 10-24 13:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +48 $30 66¢ $31 +$1 10-06 19:21
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +206 $0 14¢ $28 +$28 10-26 16:22
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +16 $10 72¢ $12 +$2 09-24 18:25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +61 $10 15¢ $9 -$1 09-24 16:50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +87 $10 9¢ $8 -$2 09-24 16:50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? No +43 $10 14¢ $6 -$4 09-05 09:01
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +45 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 10-23 17:22