Amusing-Amber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$124

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

164

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$6.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$156

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 11-03 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

70% 23% +$254

Sports

15% 32% -$56

Crypto

7% 38% -$47

Tech

6% — —

Politics

2% 33% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	+185	$61	32¢	$60	-$1	11-03 10:48
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+204	-$81	28¢	$57	+$137	10-26 12:42
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+309	$83	12¢	$36	-$48	07-24 19:46
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+822	$85	0¢	$4	-$81	08-30 19:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	3	$521	369	369	+0	Yes	+$216	06-24 20:57
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	15	$420	829	625	+204	open	—	10-26 12:42
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	6	$349	665	665	+0	Yes	-$68	07-15 20:35
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	2	$339	208	208	+0	Yes	+$77	07-11 21:49
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$248	150	150	+0	Yes	+$51	06-20 22:19
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	2	$199	141	141	+0	Argentina	+$83	06-22 19:14
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	3	$197	172	172	+0	Yes	+$147	07-24 16:02
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	3	$166	124	124	+0	No	+$83	06-14 14:53
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	2	$146	103	103	+0	Yes	+$58	07-05 21:43
f1 british grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 07 05	3	$141	106	106	+0	Yes	+$57	07-05 19:44
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?	2	$133	104	104	+0	Yes	+$55	06-14 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$117	67	67	+0	Up	+$17	10-21 19:20
fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	2	$103	66	66	+0	Senegal	+$27	06-26 20:27
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals harry kane gte2	2	$100	86	86	+0	Yes	+$71	06-17 21:39
mlb det hou 2026 06 16	1	$88	144	0	+144	Houston Astros	+$56	06-16 22:20
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$85	822	0	+822	open	—	08-30 19:42
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?	2	$84	75	75	+0	Yes	+$66	06-15 21:28
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$83	309	0	+309	open	—	07-24 19:46
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	1	$81	172	0	+172	No	-$81	06-19 20:36
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	2	$78	59	59	+0	Yes	+$38	06-23 17:43
Norway to score first vs. England?	2	$74	54	54	+0	Yes	+$32	07-11 21:39
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$71	206	206	+0	Yes	+$14	07-13 08:01
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	1	$70	206	0	+206	Yes	+$136	07-06 16:44
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 3pt5	1	$70	205	0	+205	Spain	+$135	06-21 14:57
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	2	$68	208	208	+0	open	—	09-29 07:52
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 goals raul jimenez gte1	1	$65	197	0	+197	No	-$65	06-19 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$62	66	66	+0	Up	+$12	10-21 19:12
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	1	$61	185	0	+185	open	—	11-03 10:48
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	1	$58	154	0	+154	Yes	+$95	07-05 21:45
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	1	$58	483	0	+483	No	-$58	07-09 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 10:48:01	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	185	33¢	$61	0xff9d6e…
10-30 13:50:31	Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xd5106e…
10-26 12:42:21	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	42¢	$85	0x9c0fa6…
10-21 19:52:42	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xcc52ec…
10-21 19:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x457cf3…
10-21 19:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x1ca0cb…
10-21 19:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xcdb857…
10-21 19:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa7cdf3…
10-21 19:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe195c7…
10-21 19:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	66	56¢	$37	0x76e45e…
10-21 19:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xc6ebe6…
10-21 19:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x45d92d…
10-21 18:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	62	37¢	$23	0xd934fa…
10-21 18:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x9ff8a6…
10-21 18:52:39	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xb88389…
10-21 18:50:03	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x19a018…
10-21 18:49:47	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb92559…
10-21 07:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xe0e3a1…
10-15 17:50:50	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	625	40¢	$250	0xc45723…
09-29 07:53:03	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xfc2236…
09-29 07:52:41	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	SELL	208	9¢	$18	0x9105b0…
08-30 19:42:13	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	270	7¢	$19	0x57d91b…
08-30 08:31:36	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xccd564…
08-12 06:03:10	will enes kanter freedom be drafted 2027 wnba draft	Yes	BUY	263	7¢	$18	0xe58844…
07-29 20:40:48	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xd51448…
07-26 20:24:18	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	552	12¢	$66	0x9844d1…
07-24 19:47:45	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	59	27¢	$16	0x219599…
07-24 19:46:48	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	309	27¢	$83	0x7a8259…
07-24 16:02:22	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xa03552…
07-17 13:55:30	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	794	4¢	$29	0x2c4c06…
07-16 07:51:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	72	27¢	$19	0x028ea8…
07-16 07:31:32	Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 The Open Championship?	Yes	BUY	131	5¢	$6	0x94872e…
07-16 07:31:04	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x5483e0…
07-15 20:36:52	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	362	6¢	$23	0x83dcbf…
07-15 20:35:47	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	281	8¢	$21	0x80624c…
07-15 19:52:53	Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	79	20¢	$16	0xe7f07d…
07-15 19:52:07	Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	343	5¢	$17	0x891fc5…
07-15 18:57:16	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	68	34¢	$24	0x84d1a9…
07-15 18:56:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	80	31¢	$25	0x700867…
07-15 18:56:08	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	150	31¢	$47	0x739d69…
07-15 18:45:25	Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	343	7¢	$24	0xfbc303…
07-15 18:44:50	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x188a9d…
07-15 18:44:10	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	362	8¢	$29	0x7f9622…
07-15 18:42:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	211	31¢	$66	0x0f3090…
07-15 18:40:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	304	31¢	$94	0x4e0b77…
07-15 18:36:16	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	304	31¢	$95	0xd4ffb9…
07-14 13:34:14	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x0ccaa8…
07-13 21:49:31	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	322	2¢	$7	0xe3e2ee…
07-13 21:48:35	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	2,083	1¢	$25	0x7a99a1…
07-13 21:47:32	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x7fdeb5…
07-13 21:47:01	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	552	3¢	$16	0x8f111e…
07-13 08:01:41	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	206	21¢	$43	0x7d7db1…
07-11 21:49:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0xf92e53…
07-11 21:39:08	Norway to score first vs. England?	Yes	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x25ccd0…
07-11 18:24:20	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	117	16¢	$19	0xb6b7a5…
07-11 18:23:43	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x9aa4a7…
07-11 18:14:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	208	63¢	$131	0x8ab6eb…
07-11 18:14:02	Norway to score first vs. England?	Yes	BUY	54	39¢	$21	0xa4619e…
07-10 19:03:41	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	155	6¢	$10	0xc706c2…
07-09 19:19:16	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	483	12¢	$58	0x0ff08a…
07-08 14:04:23	Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0xd58608…
07-08 14:04:17	Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xb0433a…
07-07 08:40:32	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x59e548…
07-07 07:54:17	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x75df99…
07-07 07:51:58	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	207	27¢	$56	0x060d3e…
07-06 18:57:37	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xe7e308…
07-06 16:46:07	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xa52349…
07-06 16:44:31	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	206	34¢	$70	0xb65aae…
07-06 15:23:02	atp dimitro fery 2026 07 06 set handicap home 2pt5	Dimitrov	BUY	65	33¢	$21	0xce0e43…
07-05 21:45:50	Will England win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	154	38¢	$58	0x1a4d4a…
07-05 21:43:05	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x18f17b…
07-05 21:42:44	Norway to score first vs. Brazil?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf2b9ea…
07-05 21:40:10	Norway to score first vs. Brazil?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6c0a01…
07-05 20:02:07	Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	114	14¢	$16	0x92cc4c…
07-05 19:59:29	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	103	43¢	$44	0x0e2ace…
07-05 19:58:35	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	106	8¢	$8	0x24f9e7…
07-05 19:44:56	f1 british grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 07 05	Yes	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x8abee6…
07-05 15:38:07	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	107	12¢	$13	0x7f7022…
07-05 15:36:43	f1 british grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 07 05	Yes	SELL	53	89¢	$47	0x400a0b…
07-05 15:23:49	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Switzerland	BUY	124	10¢	$12	0x6bf78e…
07-05 14:36:29	f1 british grand prix driver podium hamilton 2026 07 05	Yes	BUY	106	40¢	$42	0x9c14a9…
07-04 19:12:59	Will Grigor Dimitrov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	289	4¢	$13	0xb6237e…
07-04 18:37:13	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	186	6¢	$11	0xba7773…
07-04 18:23:32	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x711ec8…
07-04 09:32:31	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	134	15¢	$20	0x25d06e…
07-04 09:31:13	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xb7eb4d…
07-04 09:29:59	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	214	12¢	$26	0xb8b5c6…
07-03 21:36:32	Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	469	0¢	$1	0x0439ce…
07-03 21:35:26	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	102	15¢	$15	0x4b11de…
07-03 21:34:02	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	121	2¢	$3	0x09cdb2…
07-03 21:33:35	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	209	2¢	$5	0xedbd18…
07-03 21:33:17	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x2efaed…
06-29 11:35:22	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	115	12¢	$14	0x783359…
06-29 11:31:23	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0x1c9746…
06-29 11:31:14	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	160	2¢	$3	0xe1f7f3…
06-29 10:48:40	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	No	SELL	37	13¢	$5	0x42e477…
06-29 10:48:11	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xe40253…
06-27 17:15:34	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 3pt5	England	BUY	88	26¢	$23	0x403909…
06-26 23:52:50	Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	120	7¢	$8	0x13bf34…
06-26 20:27:13	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0x10a32a…