Determined-Making — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

295 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$3.46K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-06 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 6?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	11-06 02:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:50
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 03:54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 16:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:45
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 09:35
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 09:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:29
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:02
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:09
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:30
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 06:04
highest temperature in istanbul on april 2 2026 19corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 17:44
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 16c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 13:09
highest temperature in denver on april 1 2026 54 55f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 01:32
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:28
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c7af4…
11-03 16:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f940d…
11-02 14:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc7762…
11-01 09:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x572dde…
10-31 15:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8b521…
10-30 14:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x644287…
10-29 17:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x398ffa…
10-29 09:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf72d27…
10-28 07:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87d9d0…
10-27 08:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d57fb…
10-26 09:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x217dc5…
10-24 11:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29cc55…
10-22 10:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4f2b0…
10-20 07:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc6f31…
10-19 09:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7635c4…
10-18 09:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd83bcc…
10-17 14:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x528012…
10-16 09:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83e058…
10-15 09:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4171d1…
10-14 09:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10cdee…
10-13 14:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52563b…
10-13 09:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x341e36…
10-12 09:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e20f5…
10-11 08:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3a9e9…
10-08 09:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1caff0…
10-07 15:20:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c1f49…
10-06 08:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d2c8a…
10-04 15:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89bede…
10-03 08:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b32d5…
10-02 11:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb68cef…
10-01 08:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6847e0…
09-30 12:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57addf…
09-29 14:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x597795…
09-28 09:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0b8ea…
09-27 08:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98ee1b…
09-25 12:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x822e5d…
09-24 08:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13d0a0…
09-23 07:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f978c…
09-22 08:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7c48f…
09-21 09:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5c2b7…
09-20 05:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80ad1f…
09-19 08:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x900410…
09-18 06:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28532c…
09-17 04:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5be205…
09-16 08:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf82255…
09-15 09:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd64e26…
09-14 08:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc14e95…
09-12 16:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c2765…
09-11 07:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cb09f…
09-10 08:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6eb232…
09-09 09:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2d30c…
09-08 15:37:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dd50e…
09-08 06:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3256d1…
09-07 08:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3742f…
09-06 17:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1f2fa…
09-06 09:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cf9c9…
09-05 01:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x638420…
09-03 09:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x496c03…
09-02 07:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31696e…
08-30 08:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x782e31…
08-29 08:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85779f…
08-28 08:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83a5c3…
08-27 08:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x569a9f…
08-26 08:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fc690…
08-25 09:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51eca0…
08-24 09:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54e0c3…
08-23 14:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x059620…
08-22 08:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff400c…
08-21 07:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x623aa1…
08-20 08:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa511b3…
08-19 11:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf37bbf…
08-18 08:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70841c…
08-17 07:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x019ee7…
08-16 11:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd9e53…
08-15 09:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x426e4a…
08-14 06:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa140e0…
08-13 07:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac5ea2…
08-12 07:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d97d1…
08-11 06:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x079a19…
08-10 07:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x850bac…
08-09 01:24:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fa89e…
08-08 07:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72b8d9…
08-07 01:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc44e9…
08-06 06:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d4ba8…
08-05 07:54:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71ea99…
08-04 08:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacf052…
08-03 07:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47ce08…
08-02 01:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8243ec…
08-01 07:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x939cdc…
07-31 09:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfac342…
07-30 06:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadbd8a…
07-29 07:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x627bdc…
07-28 06:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e0585…
07-27 08:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x060100…
07-26 07:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34f462…
07-25 08:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x029864…
07-24 10:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd19b1…
07-23 08:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3954b6…
07-22 01:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16cfdd…
07-21 09:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1f82d…