Eager-Dew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,017

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-10 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% — —

Other

6% 100% +$0

Politics

3% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 368 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773673800	3	$331	331	327	+4	open	—	03-16 15:14
btc updown 5m 1773675000	19	$277	447	246	+202	open	—	03-16 15:35
btc updown 5m 1773685200	12	$271	230	230	+0	open	—	03-16 18:25
btc updown 5m 1773681300	14	$270	340	253	+87	open	—	03-16 17:19
btc updown 5m 1775128800	17	$255	273	267	+6	open	—	04-02 11:25
btc updown 5m 1773676800	8	$157	1,162	0	+1,162	open	—	03-16 16:05
btc updown 5m 1775122500	10	$144	140	136	+4	open	—	04-02 09:40
btc updown 5m 1773679500	3	$142	110	109	+1	open	—	03-16 16:49
btc updown 5m 1773685800	22	$141	300	100	+200	open	—	03-16 18:34
btc updown 5m 1773683400	16	$139	190	189	+1	open	—	03-16 17:55
us strikes iraq by march 7	7	$137	195	195	+0	open	—	03-06 09:15
btc updown 5m 1773682800	12	$137	312	112	+200	open	—	03-16 17:44
btc updown 5m 1773676500	30	$137	1,538	0	+1,538	open	—	03-16 15:58
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	10	$132	7,069	904	+6,165	open	—	03-23 09:15
btc updown 5m 1775133000	14	$125	170	115	+55	open	—	04-02 12:34
btc updown 5m 1773670500	18	$117	220	100	+120	open	—	03-16 14:19
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	9	$117	3,764	1,882	+1,882	open	—	03-04 02:40
btc updown 5m 1775132700	15	$109	120	88	+32	open	—	04-02 12:29
btc updown 5m 1773678600	24	$107	330	73	+257	open	—	03-16 16:34
btc updown 5m 1773668100	6	$106	90	90	+0	open	—	03-16 13:40
btc updown 5m 1773684600	23	$99	700	124	+576	open	—	03-16 18:14
btc updown 5m 1773670800	3	$98	327	0	+327	open	—	03-16 14:23
btc updown 5m 1774450800	15	$98	249	139	+110	open	—	03-25 15:04
btc updown 5m 1774449900	3	$97	80	80	+0	open	—	03-25 14:50
btc updown 5m 1773669900	7	$93	150	80	+70	open	—	03-16 14:08
btc updown 5m 1773676200	29	$93	1,901	0	+1,901	open	—	03-16 15:54
btc updown 5m 1773684900	14	$93	240	40	+200	open	—	03-16 18:19
btc updown 5m 1773672000	4	$92	200	123	+77	open	—	03-16 14:45
btc updown 5m 1773673500	7	$91	110	110	+0	open	—	03-16 15:11
btc updown 5m 1773678900	6	$90	110	110	+0	open	—	03-16 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 19:40:15	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7963ef…
06-02 02:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x944be8…
06-02 02:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4164af…
06-02 02:10:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8a9ee7…
05-13 01:49:56	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xafd413…
05-13 01:47:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x4579d6…
05-11 06:21:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xd9b54a…
05-11 02:01:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7230cd…
05-11 01:04:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xbd499f…
05-04 07:34:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x690113…
05-04 05:58:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x835f29…
04-30 12:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5e2a42…
04-30 03:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0xf96b4a…
04-30 03:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x87b85b…
04-30 03:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x581162…
04-30 03:01:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8bc578…
04-29 05:40:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa5256a…
04-28 03:48:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd26518…
04-26 23:31:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x0ef11d…
04-24 13:18:04	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x7993a2…
04-24 07:23:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdb71b0…
04-24 07:22:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x30bb13…
04-24 07:21:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5b6f3a…
04-24 07:20:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x195c1c…
04-24 07:16:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xf67a61…
04-24 07:01:56	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	565	2¢	$9	0xed5cd4…
04-24 06:30:50	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x763f4f…
04-23 01:50:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdac841…
04-23 01:49:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x4f0365…
04-22 03:24:26	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x70722f…
04-22 03:11:38	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x834af2…
04-22 03:03:30	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xf8bdbd…
04-22 03:03:30	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x7272e1…
04-22 02:53:36	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x81d64e…
04-22 02:13:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x6fd699…
04-22 02:02:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xac5527…
04-22 02:01:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0xd17f61…
04-22 01:59:32	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x7b9d87…
04-21 10:32:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xcb8114…
04-21 09:42:28	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe1371a…
04-20 05:10:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0xca6533…
04-20 05:10:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x6c2c5e…
04-20 04:31:52	btc updown 5m 1776659400	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x8eb150…
04-20 04:30:46	btc updown 5m 1776659400	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x0add97…
04-19 05:16:26	btc updown 5m 1776575700	Up	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x823390…
04-19 05:15:58	btc updown 5m 1776575700	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x7ed6b7…
04-18 04:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x4502cf…
04-13 03:47:33	Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x6f8aa1…
04-13 01:57:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0xf1ae0f…
04-12 12:13:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0x7ee0cd…
04-09 09:07:29	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x64952f…
04-08 04:19:41	btc updown 15m 1775621700	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x66199e…
04-07 14:40:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x323ffc…
04-07 14:37:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x76d31d…
04-02 15:22:17	btc updown 5m 1775143200	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x6f9546…
04-02 15:22:17	btc updown 5m 1775143200	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x4243dc…
04-02 15:22:17	btc updown 5m 1775143200	Up	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x2fe931…
04-02 15:22:17	btc updown 5m 1775143200	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x2c0f8d…
04-02 13:11:57	btc updown 5m 1775135400	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xa2a68f…
04-02 13:11:21	btc updown 5m 1775135400	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xcdc8de…
04-02 13:11:13	btc updown 5m 1775135400	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x60b349…
04-02 13:09:55	btc updown 5m 1775135100	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x278d68…
04-02 13:06:13	btc updown 5m 1775135100	Down	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x02b624…
04-02 13:06:07	btc updown 5m 1775135100	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7bc973…
04-02 13:03:57	btc updown 5m 1775134800	Down	SELL	15	87¢	$13	0x366ece…
04-02 13:03:09	btc updown 5m 1775134800	Down	SELL	15	84¢	$12	0xbd81fe…
04-02 13:00:29	btc updown 5m 1775134800	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xfb9a12…
04-02 13:00:29	btc updown 5m 1775134800	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb1645e…
04-02 13:00:07	btc updown 5m 1775134800	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xef7129…
04-02 12:59:41	btc updown 5m 1775134500	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2034e1…
04-02 12:55:31	btc updown 5m 1775134500	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf91cad…
04-02 12:51:59	btc updown 5m 1775134200	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xb1eee5…
04-02 12:51:35	btc updown 5m 1775134200	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4df038…
04-02 12:47:51	btc updown 5m 1775133900	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd7491a…
04-02 12:47:19	btc updown 5m 1775133900	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb18c6e…
04-02 12:45:19	btc updown 5m 1775133900	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb249e3…
04-02 12:45:15	btc updown 5m 1775133900	Up	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0xbfa23a…
04-02 12:44:45	btc updown 5m 1775133600	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x543ca2…
04-02 12:43:55	btc updown 5m 1775133600	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xc2c6b1…
04-02 12:43:55	btc updown 5m 1775133600	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xb156ae…
04-02 12:43:55	btc updown 5m 1775133600	Up	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x4b3df2…
04-02 12:43:55	btc updown 5m 1775133600	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1ba6af…
04-02 12:41:19	btc updown 5m 1775133600	Up	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xe5a3c7…
04-02 12:38:33	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8a26f1…
04-02 12:38:33	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x139e1f…
04-02 12:38:31	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	46	36¢	$17	0xbabc72…
04-02 12:38:31	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1d8d56…
04-02 12:38:31	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0b6b8d…
04-02 12:38:21	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x67e41d…
04-02 12:38:19	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x6006c5…
04-02 12:38:17	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xcd3857…
04-02 12:38:17	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xb2f15b…
04-02 12:37:11	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x2d3c60…
04-02 12:36:51	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xf7ef64…
04-02 12:36:27	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x398d92…
04-02 12:36:25	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xfb4260…
04-02 12:36:25	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x606638…
04-02 12:36:25	btc updown 5m 1775133300	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x1b0066…
04-02 12:34:31	btc updown 5m 1775133000	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa4ad83…
04-02 12:34:25	btc updown 5m 1775133000	Up	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xe2b885…