Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

62.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$214

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-25 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

44% 57% -$393

Other

36% 73% -$323

Sports

15% 0% -$570

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+103	$102	100¢	$103	+$1	06-08 22:20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+100	$98	99¢	$99	+$1	06-08 22:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+12	$12	100¢	$12	+$0	10-25 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	21	$1.1K	0	2,193	-2,193	No	+$5	03-21 00:15
nba sac was 2026 02 01	1	$570	1,000	0	+1,000	Wizards	-$570	02-01 04:11
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	1	$196	700	0	+700	Alcaraz	-$196	02-01 04:26
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	1	$186	200	0	+200	No	+$14	02-26 23:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$182	200	0	+200	Yes	-$182	02-26 23:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$166	200	0	+200	Yes	-$166	02-26 23:17
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$156	200	0	+200	Yes	+$44	02-26 23:18
epl che lee 2026 02 10 che	1	$128	200	0	+200	No	-$128	02-10 18:48
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$102	103	0	+103	open	—	06-08 22:20
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-29 00:57
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-29 00:58
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-29 00:59
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-29 00:57
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-26 02:47
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-29 01:01
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	01-26 02:46
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 22:17
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$81	110	0	+110	No	-$81	02-10 18:50
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$76	100	0	+100	Yes	+$24	01-26 02:48
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	1	$50	100	0	+100	No	-$50	01-26 02:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	10-25 03:58
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	09-18 05:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-14 19:10
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-11 08:21
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-02 07:16
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-08 22:15
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-11 05:51
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-29 01:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$2	500	0	+500	No	-$2	03-29 01:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 03:58:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7fc106…
09-18 05:36:33	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x1e62f2…
08-14 19:10:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x196f73…
07-11 08:21:01	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x750b35…
06-08 22:20:58	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x3fbd46…
06-08 22:17:00	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x71543c…
06-08 22:15:57	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x483421…
05-02 07:16:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x643b58…
04-11 05:51:47	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf84678…
03-29 01:03:42	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddd6c6…
03-29 01:03:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x9d03ca…
03-29 01:01:16	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf0bb16…
03-29 00:59:06	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x39da7d…
03-29 00:58:26	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x983532…
03-29 00:57:32	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2ecc0c…
03-29 00:57:08	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc68f78…
03-21 00:15:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xddcc96…
03-20 23:03:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	596	82¢	$489	0xd3d533…
03-20 22:58:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	90	18¢	$16	0x22bec2…
03-20 22:49:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	96	18¢	$17	0xe62bdd…
03-20 22:48:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xd67cde…
03-20 22:48:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0xbd001e…
03-20 22:46:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xea67c1…
03-20 22:45:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x554c64…
03-20 22:45:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x240792…
03-20 22:45:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	167	18¢	$30	0x7b91bd…
03-20 22:44:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x69637c…
03-20 22:39:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xc6a548…
03-20 22:39:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x7a9415…
03-20 22:39:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	91	18¢	$16	0xfef366…
03-20 22:11:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	255	18¢	$46	0x2d1201…
03-20 22:08:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	53	18¢	$10	0x90a0a5…
03-20 22:08:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x08a336…
03-20 22:07:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	33	18¢	$6	0xdc1317…
03-20 22:07:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	45	18¢	$8	0x101f9b…
03-20 22:07:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	84	18¢	$15	0xbb1ee7…
03-20 22:06:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	500	83¢	$415	0xf16132…
02-26 23:18:44	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x2f6815…
02-26 23:17:32	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x7c2ac8…
02-26 23:16:52	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x04e26c…
02-26 23:15:28	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x86a35e…
02-10 18:50:29	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	110	74¢	$81	0x65b7c6…
02-10 18:48:23	epl che lee 2026 02 10 che	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x16118d…
02-01 04:26:16	atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	Djokovic	BUY	700	28¢	$196	0xa67e30…
02-01 04:11:14	nba sac was 2026 02 01	Kings	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0x74d1f5…
01-26 02:49:44	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5cb579…
01-26 02:48:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x1115e7…
01-26 02:47:44	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11c2e7…
01-26 02:46:06	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x131f66…