Lean-Theater — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$3.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-20 16:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 50% $-17

Other

27% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772571600	3	$239	143	142	+1	open	—	03-03 21:06
wta swiatek sakkari 2026 02 12	4	$182	503	503	+0	open	—	02-12 16:02
cs2 furia vit 2026 02 08	3	$138	88	88	+0	open	—	02-08 20:27
wta kalinsk svitoli 2026 02 11	3	$102	98	98	+0	open	—	02-11 21:06
wta zhen rybakin 2026 02 11	4	$97	128	128	+0	open	—	02-11 18:09
wta sakkari muchova 2026 02 13	4	$87	94	94	+0	open	—	02-13 17:54
lol g2 kc 2026 03 01	2	$75	48	48	+0	open	—	03-01 18:34
wta grachev sakkari 2026 02 11	2	$72	43	43	+0	open	—	02-11 11:34
wta ostapen mboko 2026 02 13	2	$68	91	91	+0	open	—	02-13 15:11
btc updown 15m 1772908200	2	$61	36	36	+0	open	—	03-07 18:40
btc updown 15m 1773522000	3	$48	31	30	+0	open	—	03-14 21:07
btc updown 15m 1772552700	2	$48	40	39	+1	open	—	03-03 15:47
btc updown 15m 1773518400	3	$47	29	29	+0	open	—	03-14 20:13
btc updown 15m 1773572400	2	$47	30	30	+0	open	—	03-15 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$46	28	28	+0	open	—	05-26 15:21
btc updown 15m 1772568000	4	$44	36	35	+0	open	—	03-03 20:13
btc updown 15m 1772723700	2	$43	42	41	+1	open	—	03-05 15:20
btc updown 15m 1781793900	2	$43	46	46	+0	open	—	06-18 14:58
btc updown 15m 1773207000	4	$38	33	33	+0	open	—	03-11 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$33	28	16	+11	open	—	06-02 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$33	0	50	-50	Down	$-18	05-08 15:21
btc updown 15m 1771410600	2	$30	21	20	+0	open	—	02-18 10:44
atp minaur humbert 2026 02 14	1	$30	94	0	+94	open	—	02-14 08:35
atp bublik augeral 2026 02 14	1	$30	83	0	+83	open	—	02-14 08:36
btc updown 5m 1773002400	1	$30	46	0	+46	open	—	03-08 20:41
btc updown 15m 1771358400	3	$30	36	19	+17	open	—	02-17 20:03
btc updown 15m 1772462700	2	$30	22	21	+0	open	—	03-02 14:51
btc updown 15m 1773077400	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	03-09 17:41
btc updown 15m 1772805600	2	$29	20	19	+0	open	—	03-06 14:15
btc updown 15m 1772463600	2	$28	22	21	+0	open	—	03-02 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 16:14:14	btc updown 15m 1781971200	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xae7232…
06-20 16:01:56	btc updown 15m 1781971200	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0ee138…
06-20 15:53:04	btc updown 15m 1781970300	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9c1cc1…
06-20 15:25:59	btc updown 15m 1781968500	Up	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xd77c8d…
06-20 15:15:49	btc updown 15m 1781968500	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xf9a882…
06-20 15:14:23	btc updown 15m 1781967600	Up	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0x00eb18…
06-20 15:04:25	btc updown 15m 1781967600	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7f1e65…
06-20 15:02:05	btc updown 5m 1781967600	Down	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x4d71d3…
06-20 15:01:22	btc updown 5m 1781967600	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x74970d…
06-20 14:56:46	btc updown 5m 1781967300	Up	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x0b317f…
06-20 14:55:28	btc updown 5m 1781967300	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbb97af…
06-20 10:36:58	btc updown 15m 1781951400	Down	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0xf255e3…
06-20 10:33:08	btc updown 15m 1781951400	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xbc1dde…
06-19 13:34:55	btc updown 15m 1781875800	Up	SELL	18	60¢	$11	0xad5e87…
06-19 13:30:50	btc updown 15m 1781875800	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf149f0…
06-18 15:20:08	btc updown 15m 1781795700	Down	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x7dbdd9…
06-18 15:16:58	btc updown 15m 1781795700	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x75a626…
06-18 14:58:37	btc updown 15m 1781793900	Up	SELL	46	50¢	$23	0x6f45b7…
06-18 14:58:26	btc updown 15m 1781793900	Up	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x612aef…
06-17 18:55:46	btc updown 15m 1781721900	Down	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0x8373fd…
06-17 18:47:08	btc updown 15m 1781721900	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1ed278…
06-17 12:53:28	btc updown 15m 1781700300	Up	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x52c0a2…
06-17 12:45:28	btc updown 15m 1781700300	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x29403e…
06-17 12:30:55	btc updown 15m 1781699400	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfee32f…
06-17 11:06:43	btc updown 15m 1781694000	Down	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x6b5283…
06-17 11:01:17	btc updown 15m 1781694000	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc1ef1d…
06-15 04:58:45	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x46ab7a…
06-14 14:49:22	btc updown 15m 1781448300	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x76c369…
06-13 22:06:33	btc updown 15m 1781388000	Down	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0xe36fe5…
06-13 22:00:54	btc updown 15m 1781388000	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x9277e4…
06-13 21:51:21	btc updown 15m 1781387100	Down	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x828486…
06-13 21:47:49	btc updown 15m 1781387100	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xeeb5e3…
06-13 16:50:36	btc updown 15m 1781369100	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x683b00…
06-13 16:28:34	btc updown 15m 1781367300	Down	SELL	15	89¢	$14	0x155a13…
06-13 16:15:31	btc updown 15m 1781367300	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc922a5…
06-08 13:43:15	btc updown 15m 1780925400	Down	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xb1d1cd…
06-08 13:33:51	btc updown 15m 1780925400	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3acdd3…
06-07 15:05:24	btc updown 15m 1780844400	Down	SELL	14	94¢	$14	0x661cfe…
06-07 15:01:36	btc updown 15m 1780844400	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2fef9c…
06-07 14:54:34	btc updown 15m 1780843500	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x99df86…
06-07 14:51:31	btc updown 15m 1780843500	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x73261b…
06-07 09:30:27	btc updown 15m 1780824600	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x4f9065…
06-05 20:09:40	btc updown 15m 1780689600	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x228057…
06-05 08:57:03	btc updown 15m 1780649100	Down	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x5ce06c…
06-05 08:53:09	btc updown 15m 1780649100	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc5e694…
06-04 17:34:24	btc updown 15m 1780594200	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x64e13e…
06-04 17:18:07	btc updown 15m 1780593300	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc9cd58…
06-03 13:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xafacd3…
06-02 22:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3d4e00…
06-02 22:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0xdc088e…
06-02 22:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x18991a…
06-02 22:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5d1a8d…
06-02 22:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1c093a…
06-02 12:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	94¢	$16	0xd2f0c9…
06-02 12:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x838bc3…
06-02 12:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x9a1307…
06-02 12:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x8c63cb…
06-02 11:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0x4d4c8a…
06-02 11:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x3958c4…
05-29 15:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	59¢	$10	0xc74b89…
05-29 15:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xdb7c5b…
05-29 15:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x4066dd…
05-29 15:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x24b8bc…
05-29 15:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xff2311…
05-27 14:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa719d7…
05-27 14:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc75ea8…
05-26 17:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0x732bef…
05-26 17:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3e4b10…
05-26 15:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	28	94¢	$26	0x062de6…
05-26 15:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x9bccac…
05-26 15:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x10c21e…
05-26 15:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xff614e…
05-26 14:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0f8d34…
05-24 12:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb0503e…
05-24 11:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0xecfdfa…
05-24 11:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x19b06e…
05-24 10:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0a4cba…
05-15 13:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	22	57¢	$12	0x1ec653…
05-15 13:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe8980a…
05-08 22:12:29	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb8c963…
05-08 22:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0xf9e06a…
05-08 22:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x57124a…
05-08 15:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	50	65¢	$33	0x62801a…
04-22 20:37:30	btc updown 15m 1776889800	Down	SELL	16	83¢	$13	0xb7462b…
04-22 20:34:26	btc updown 15m 1776889800	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x71d7e4…
04-14 13:56:23	btc updown 15m 1776174300	Up	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xf2ee22…
04-14 13:46:29	btc updown 15m 1776174300	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd04026…
04-11 19:01:27	btc updown 15m 1775933100	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb91841…
04-11 18:49:11	btc updown 15m 1775933100	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x1cc39a…
04-03 21:00:41	btc updown 15m 1775250000	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xce7ed2…
03-29 20:56:56	btc updown 15m 1774817100	Down	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x32eb59…
03-29 20:52:58	btc updown 15m 1774817100	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x804bb1…
03-26 20:24:31	btc updown 15m 1774556100	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xcf0e87…
03-26 20:24:19	btc updown 15m 1774556100	Up	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0xb64459…
03-26 20:17:35	btc updown 15m 1774556100	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x520e9a…
03-22 21:18:59	btc updown 15m 1774214100	Down	SELL	19	71¢	$14	0x80d165…
03-22 21:15:43	btc updown 15m 1774214100	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcc1fea…
03-15 12:15:55	btc updown 15m 1773576900	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x46c166…
03-15 11:09:15	btc updown 15m 1773572400	Down	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x8a8cb8…
03-15 11:03:03	btc updown 15m 1773572400	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xbfffeb…