Minor-Hat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

150

lifetime

Volume

$159

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-21 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-1

Politics

18% 0% $-0

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?	11	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	02-02 03:15
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	11	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	01-15 02:12
highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	7	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-19 02:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-18 06:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-23 02:50
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-24 02:32
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-14 09:07
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 01:51
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 02:29
will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-14 05:38
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 07:44
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 06:35
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 07:56
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 09:07
meta close above 630 on march 11 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 07:37
will turkiye join the board of peace	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-22 07:27
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 08:18
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 07:37
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 01:43
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-23 05:54
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-19 08:43
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-24 02:32
will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 01:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-08 06:34
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 00:50
Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-01 07:56
nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-20 03:44
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-12 07:23
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-03 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 00:50:46	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x11bd68…
05-21 00:48:58	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0f9e83…
05-19 08:43:37	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8c763f…
05-19 08:42:43	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $5.00 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbad78c…
05-15 07:44:12	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc8c74c…
05-15 07:43:42	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x6be821…
05-15 07:42:39	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1e91a3…
05-15 07:38:18	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9359a8…
05-14 03:08:38	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x063d5d…
05-14 03:07:34	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa0a869…
05-14 03:05:50	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf83772…
05-14 03:04:07	Will Trump say "Silk Road" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x036e63…
05-06 02:47:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa8c07b…
05-06 02:47:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 6?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x297003…
04-27 01:51:20	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x645581…
04-27 01:51:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7f01a8…
04-27 01:46:46	Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweeny	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf11ab0…
04-27 01:42:30	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x801703…
04-24 02:20:56	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8a2f07…
04-15 02:06:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa42a12…
04-13 02:29:37	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x9565ec…
04-13 02:28:29	val eterna bjk 2026 04 13	Eternal Fire Passion	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x988a31…
04-08 06:35:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x40a9ae…
04-08 06:34:51	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x8b1871…
04-08 06:34:05	dota2 pari gl 2026 04 08	PARIVISION	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x63c367…
04-08 06:33:39	dota2 pari gl 2026 04 08	PARIVISION	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x37f4fa…
04-08 06:33:01	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3245af…
04-07 06:59:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7bc766…
04-01 07:56:47	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd253a1…
04-01 07:56:17	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf5373d…
04-01 07:55:15	Fed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xadc59b…
04-01 07:54:09	EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb46429…
03-31 01:44:29	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedeac7…
03-31 01:43:05	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd343b9…
03-31 01:42:09	will bitcoin reach 82k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd4576f…
03-31 01:32:47	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3578c9…
03-28 02:19:23	will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x16a7a6…
03-28 02:18:45	will the dhs shutdown last 44 days or more 544	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x28f303…
03-27 01:51:25	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x13fc0f…
03-27 01:47:17	will claude by anthropic be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 27	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4058c0…
03-24 02:32:33	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfa82f9…
03-24 02:32:23	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x542809…
03-24 02:31:35	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d5936…
03-24 02:28:55	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa730ee…
03-23 08:18:19	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xaf3871…
03-23 08:18:07	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8da3ec…
03-23 08:17:31	will jamie be said 3 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcd5247…
03-23 08:16:01	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6132cc…
03-23 02:50:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbf0815…
03-23 02:50:21	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc8521d…
03-23 02:48:31	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0c22f1…
03-23 02:47:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8c225a…
03-21 04:13:01	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xab6692…
03-21 04:12:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xde118f…
03-21 04:12:37	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb29466…
03-21 04:11:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe047f6…
03-21 04:11:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f253e…
03-20 03:45:09	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x52d1d4…
03-20 03:44:35	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6e52fa…
03-20 03:43:55	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x65b837…
03-20 03:41:29	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 31 2026 0pt29	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2e7a87…
03-19 02:07:31	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xbe0410…
03-19 02:03:13	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9329ce…
03-19 02:02:49	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x59e266…
03-19 02:00:15	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x4bb9ef…
03-19 01:50:49	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8ea661…
03-19 01:49:45	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe27b02…
03-19 01:47:57	highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x76528e…
03-14 09:07:43	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7c5d2f…
03-14 09:07:35	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe24c16…
03-14 09:06:33	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6eac64…
03-14 09:04:17	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe22904…
03-11 07:37:23	meta close above 630 on march 11 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x70b05c…
03-11 07:37:01	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe73345…
03-11 07:36:23	meta close above 630 on march 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x92bf94…
03-11 07:35:33	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ebc7d…
03-09 06:42:55	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x37c3ff…
03-09 06:42:23	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xa73211…
03-09 06:42:07	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6cb571…
03-09 06:40:19	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xec7b85…
03-05 10:16:05	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x763785…
03-05 10:14:15	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xc22896…
02-27 07:38:27	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x1e31a6…
02-27 07:36:19	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3e0821…
02-23 05:54:34	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x47d2c0…
02-23 05:54:04	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfbbabf…
02-23 05:51:22	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xbacdd7…
02-23 05:46:26	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x930fa9…
02-18 06:38:36	will debi tirar mas fotos by bad bunny be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of february 28	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa9f678…
02-18 06:38:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x35bbe3…
02-18 06:36:26	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbedfcf…
02-18 06:34:42	will debi tirar mas fotos by bad bunny be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of february 28	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf5e052…
02-12 07:23:49	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x78ae4b…
02-12 07:23:43	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xab9a51…
02-12 07:23:21	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc00425…
02-12 07:23:09	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2c82d5…
02-12 07:20:55	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x319bd4…
02-09 06:18:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x822417…
02-09 06:17:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5efc5d…
02-03 02:25:32	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by 777	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd8d87b…