Staid-Mud — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$176

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

165

964 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$91.0K

$747.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$776

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-10 01:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 132 days

Categories

Other

68% 93% -$632

Crypto

31% 86% +$1,382

Politics

1% 0% —

Sports

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	16	$17.7K	9,162	9,162	+0	No	-$45	04-23 01:58
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	12	$16.0K	8,001	8,001	+0	No	+$9	08-09 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	13	$15.0K	9,133	5,900	+3,233	No	+$32	05-10 12:32
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 11	16	$14.3K	7,161	7,155	+6	No	+$0	04-10 21:16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	25	$14.3K	7,211	7,211	+0	No	+$3	07-24 08:28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	82	$13.2K	7,131	6,131	+1,000	No	+$7	08-13 01:00
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	3	$12.3K	6,138	6,138	+0	No	+$6	07-27 07:08
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 31	16	$11.9K	6,084	5,784	+300	No	+$0	03-31 01:01
bitcoin above 62k on april 10	5	$11.8K	5,904	5,903	+1	Yes	+$3	04-09 15:00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	6	$11.1K	5,598	5,598	+0	No	+$28	08-10 14:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	9	$10.7K	5,366	5,366	+0	No	+$21	04-30 12:34
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	7	$10.4K	6,762	3,692	+3,070	No	+$14	07-28 11:49
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	5	$10.4K	5,226	5,226	+0	No	+$7	03-31 16:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$10.2K	5,270	5,264	+7	No	+$42	04-29 13:32
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	9	$10.2K	5,130	5,130	+0	No	+$15	07-23 09:02
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$10.0K	5,005	5,005	+0	No	+$0	05-07 13:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$10.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$5	08-19 18:22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	5	$9.2K	4,625	4,625	+0	No	-$18	08-07 10:57
bitcoin above 60k on april 1	7	$9.2K	4,605	4,605	+0	Yes	+$5	03-31 22:42
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	4	$9.1K	5,269	4,355	+914	Yes	+$2	04-16 14:02
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$9.0K	4,520	4,520	+0	No	+$0	05-10 12:29
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	25	$8.7K	5,012	5,002	+10	No	-$1,250	08-27 22:11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	9	$8.7K	4,386	4,386	+0	No	+$74	07-30 22:48
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$8.4K	4,230	4,230	+0	No	+$8	08-24 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$8.1K	8,152	0	+8,152	No	+$13	08-11 00:38
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	3	$7.6K	7,574	0	+7,574	No	+$17	04-07 12:23
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$7.4K	7,433	0	+7,433	No	+$8	07-26 11:57
bitcoin above 62k on july 22 2026	9	$7.4K	3,701	3,700	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 08:24
bitcoin above 82k on april 16	2	$7.1K	3,571	3,570	+1	No	+$4	04-15 15:55
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	2	$7.1K	3,570	3,569	+1	Yes	+$4	04-15 13:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 01:57:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x60cf62…
11-09 02:29:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0xb39ccb…
11-07 01:45:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb66602…
11-05 01:19:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4622c1…
11-03 07:39:49	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7b884a…
10-29 01:25:25	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdc0638…
10-27 07:45:44	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x74e7dc…
10-27 07:45:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x251e14…
10-26 05:18:14	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 26 2026	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x390c3c…
10-25 02:44:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x6b71c3…
10-22 23:36:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x2751b2…
10-21 05:07:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7fdc8f…
10-20 00:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x20ef56…
10-19 05:43:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x1b7e5f…
10-16 01:14:16	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xde8dec…
10-11 05:39:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd2f1e2…
10-09 02:10:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x819b7a…
10-08 08:08:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x94953d…
09-29 01:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa713b7…
09-27 12:14:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb6ef35…
09-26 04:07:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x85170a…
09-24 12:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xb19fe7…
09-22 13:20:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xa89d19…
09-21 02:47:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	SELL	119	98¢	$117	0xcc09a4…
09-20 12:37:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xbee2fa…
09-19 03:15:25	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$98	0x5331ef…
09-17 08:25:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	115	95¢	$109	0xd64afa…
09-17 05:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	115	90¢	$104	0x36fcca…
09-16 11:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x351651…
09-14 05:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xccdcb4…
09-11 05:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xf1f52d…
09-10 10:52:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa4494…
08-29 03:18:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	974	100¢	$972	0x11d12e…
08-29 03:18:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe767e0…
08-28 01:18:52	will bitcoin reach 81k on august 27 2026	Yes	SELL	300	88¢	$264	0x9ea963…
08-27 22:12:21	will bitcoin reach 81k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xc8a2fa…
08-27 22:12:21	will bitcoin reach 81k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0x65e7a3…
08-27 22:11:54	will bitcoin reach 82k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	800	5¢	$38	0xddc2d8…
08-27 22:11:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7fa855…
08-27 08:45:03	will bitcoin reach 84k august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	529	22¢	$116	0xdea124…
08-27 08:44:07	will bitcoin reach 90k august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,490	2¢	$30	0x1ab4ae…
08-27 08:43:54	will bitcoin reach 81k on august 27 2026	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x459a30…
08-27 06:39:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	338	62¢	$208	0x12fea0…
08-27 06:39:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	343	62¢	$211	0x6a601e…
08-27 06:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	292	62¢	$180	0x057509…
08-27 06:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x7a6125…
08-27 06:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x5bd74a…
08-27 06:21:03	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	468	66¢	$311	0x839840…
08-27 06:12:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	95	66¢	$63	0xbfe749…
08-27 06:12:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	66	66¢	$44	0x132d9e…
08-27 06:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	132	66¢	$88	0x7e8638…
08-27 06:12:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	148	66¢	$98	0x7d44d3…
08-27 06:12:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x9adb4f…
08-27 06:11:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x3579c6…
08-27 06:11:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	51	67¢	$34	0x6a5748…
08-27 03:21:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	88	81¢	$71	0x005b51…
08-27 02:49:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	1,412	80¢	$1,131	0xdac843…
08-27 02:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	412	80¢	$331	0x98a241…
08-27 02:17:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	88	80¢	$71	0x2059c3…
08-27 01:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	94	82¢	$77	0xd1a14e…
08-27 01:44:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	759	82¢	$624	0xd132e8…
08-27 01:23:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	105	83¢	$88	0xb2adb5…
08-27 01:15:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	26	84¢	$22	0x189117…
08-27 00:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x6131f2…
08-27 00:31:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x4f9269…
08-26 14:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,724	100¢	$2,721	0x7fb47f…
08-26 09:54:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	1,003	96¢	$963	0xa1bbc8…
08-26 09:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5,002	99¢	$4,962	0xc781ae…
08-25 05:57:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	473	99¢	$468	0x97b5d4…
08-25 05:22:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	2,544	100¢	$2,539	0x4e967d…
08-25 00:45:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xd8dcf3…
08-25 00:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x7cf676…
08-25 00:43:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0xf04f30…
08-25 00:42:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	112	96¢	$107	0x14b63f…
08-25 00:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x9b753a…
08-25 00:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,023	99¢	$1,016	0xf72184…
08-25 00:41:31	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1,521	99¢	$1,509	0xbf1884…
08-25 00:40:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7b32f0…
08-24 15:01:19	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	4,230	100¢	$4,226	0xccec35…
08-24 15:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,497	0x7ae38f…
08-24 15:00:18	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	874	100¢	$873	0x58bb1e…
08-24 07:43:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x1c1f18…
08-24 07:42:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xb8fa1a…
08-23 05:16:04	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	4,230	100¢	$4,217	0xdb7de3…
08-22 14:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2,004	100¢	$2,000	0x601702…
08-22 09:52:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x43b8f3…
08-21 00:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	37	83¢	$31	0xaf84f4…
08-20 12:06:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	4,001	100¢	$3,985	0x7fa165…
08-20 05:50:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	1,351	98¢	$1,320	0xf16559…
08-20 05:45:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb626a0…
08-20 05:45:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x30065b…
08-20 05:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xf19509…
08-20 05:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd9df1e…
08-20 05:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xceb658…
08-20 05:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5dc813…
08-20 05:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x5695c5…
08-20 05:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x285385…
08-20 05:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x9d1cfc…
08-20 05:45:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4fe610…
08-20 05:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xbf330f…