Timely-Policy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

22,121

Trades

276,699

lifetime

Volume

$1.15M

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-29 17:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$12,648

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 1930 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 13:15 UTC	379	$2.7K	2,473	1,519	+954	Up	-$335	03-06 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 18:15 UTC	437	$2.5K	2,714	2,330	+384	Up	+$136	03-07 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 11:00 UTC	232	$2.4K	1,962	1,452	+509	Up	+$14	03-09 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 14:15 UTC	351	$2.2K	2,126	1,910	+216	Up	-$222	03-02 14:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 14:30 UTC	339	$2.2K	2,000	1,615	+385	Down	+$176	03-06 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 07:15 UTC	310	$2.1K	2,100	2,079	+21	Up	-$22	03-09 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC	269	$2.1K	1,810	1,792	+18	Down	-$73	03-07 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 15:15 UTC	371	$2.0K	2,313	2,234	+79	Up	+$100	03-02 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 14:30 UTC	333	$2.0K	2,082	1,716	+366	Down	+$83	03-04 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 07:15 UTC	206	$1.9K	1,727	1,410	+317	Down	+$88	03-08 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 05:45 UTC	362	$1.9K	2,213	1,720	+494	Down	-$60	03-08 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 11:00 UTC	293	$1.9K	1,737	1,550	+187	Up	-$226	03-06 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 09:00 UTC	278	$1.9K	2,173	1,161	+1,012	Up	-$233	03-08 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 22:15 UTC	235	$1.9K	1,570	1,542	+28	Down	-$251	03-05 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 17:30 UTC	242	$1.8K	1,635	1,452	+183	Down	-$72	03-05 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 10:30 UTC	248	$1.8K	1,957	1,927	+30	Down	-$183	03-07 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 18:15 UTC	277	$1.8K	1,552	1,294	+258	Down	+$19	03-05 18:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 09:30 UTC	307	$1.8K	2,144	1,302	+842	Up	-$22	03-06 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 09:15 UTC	347	$1.8K	2,229	1,516	+713	Up	-$75	03-08 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 11:30 UTC	161	$1.7K	1,329	1,311	+18	Up	+$119	03-09 11:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 18:45 UTC	280	$1.7K	1,682	1,529	+153	Up	-$195	03-05 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 18:30 UTC	203	$1.7K	1,464	1,458	+6	Up	-$14	03-07 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 09:45 UTC	318	$1.7K	1,991	1,929	+62	Up	+$81	03-06 09:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 09:00 UTC	336	$1.7K	2,029	1,597	+432	Up	+$143	03-04 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 11:45 UTC	225	$1.7K	1,827	1,799	+28	Up	-$531	03-10 11:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 15:00 UTC	277	$1.7K	1,651	1,107	+544	Up	-$24	03-06 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 01:00 UTC	170	$1.6K	1,355	1,341	+14	Up	-$45	03-08 01:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 06:00 UTC	231	$1.6K	1,492	1,471	+21	Down	-$47	03-04 06:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 20:45 UTC	316	$1.6K	1,837	1,576	+261	Down	+$137	03-07 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 16:00 UTC	291	$1.6K	1,589	1,241	+349	Down	-$54	03-09 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcc2165…
10-29 17:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x009199…
10-29 17:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x00f3c6…
10-29 17:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x00f3c6…
10-29 17:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x055d63…
10-29 17:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8098f5…
10-29 17:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe9ba09…
10-29 17:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdd2b54…
10-29 17:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x633e88…
10-29 17:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x633e88…
10-29 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x1a77ee…
10-29 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x049e49…
10-29 17:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcc321a…
10-29 17:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xcc321a…
10-29 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe14769…
10-29 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x6137b8…
10-29 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x18c07f…
10-29 17:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe88698…
10-29 17:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe3fd1f…
10-29 17:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5bc6ad…
10-29 17:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xb8a2ae…
10-29 17:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x69f81c…
10-29 17:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9a73a9…
10-29 17:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xb9a30e…
10-29 17:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x2b3fae…
10-29 17:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x2b3fae…
10-29 17:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x03c2ae…
10-29 17:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb6c97d…
10-29 17:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfac38b…
10-29 17:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2f71c3…
10-29 17:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7aa71a…
10-29 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x30d260…
10-29 17:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x24544e…
10-29 17:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe2d03c…
10-29 17:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8f6412…
10-29 17:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd0ff24…
10-29 17:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x99597a…
10-29 17:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x3683b8…
10-29 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa05b7d…
10-29 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x224408…
10-29 17:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7b8c8d…
10-29 17:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe12496…
10-29 17:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x0ff3c1…
10-29 17:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x961a8b…
10-29 17:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x8428e2…
10-29 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xfd8066…
10-29 17:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x428366…
10-29 17:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x202a88…
10-29 16:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcde8e8…
10-29 16:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x37ad18…
10-29 16:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x22e586…
10-29 16:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x165c89…
10-29 16:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x5ab65f…
10-29 16:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9c8048…
10-29 16:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf12a31…
10-29 16:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3b4d59…
10-29 16:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf553a5…
10-29 16:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0xeb09dd…
10-29 16:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb9bb4a…
10-29 16:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x8a847e…
10-29 16:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x50f274…
10-29 16:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3b5b6b…
10-29 16:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe37481…
10-29 16:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x092843…
10-29 16:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb88210…
10-29 16:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0f5390…
10-29 16:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x05171f…
10-29 16:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xc7fbab…
10-29 16:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x306a33…
10-29 16:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xcb1e40…
10-29 16:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5aa5f8…
10-29 16:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xdb4272…
10-29 16:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x961f13…
10-29 16:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x961f13…
10-29 16:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xd8597e…
10-29 16:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x32808e…
10-29 16:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x02d4ec…
10-29 16:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xec5344…
10-29 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa0c2fa…
10-29 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x888ce1…
10-29 16:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3e4fc6…
10-29 15:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7fc2bf…
10-29 15:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x632904…
10-29 15:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x438ae4…
10-29 15:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x259f36…
10-29 15:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4ab81b…
10-29 15:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x4ab81b…
10-29 15:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xa112ab…
10-29 15:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0xd9dabd…
10-29 15:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x95e850…
10-29 15:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc7528b…
10-29 15:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc2a323…
10-29 15:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5f9089…
10-29 15:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x57b641…
10-29 15:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2bc808…
10-29 15:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x982dd5…
10-29 15:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf864db…
10-29 15:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xf864db…
10-29 15:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xcb85d6…
10-29 15:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x541507…