Timely-Policy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$17

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

31.4%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

39 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$245

$245 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up		-15	$-10	99¢	$-15	$-4	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down		+15	$4	1¢	$0	$-4	05-06 01:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$22	32	0	+32	open	—	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$22	49	0	+49	Up	$-22	05-05 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$17	31	0	+31	open	—	05-05 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$14	0	15	-15	open	—	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$14	31	0	+31	Down	$-14	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$14	63	0	+63	open	—	05-05 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$13	22	0	+22	open	—	05-05 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$13	38	0	+38	Up	+$25	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$7	30	0	+30	open	—	05-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$6	15	0	+15	Up	$-6	05-05 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-04 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$4	9	0	+9	Down	$-4	05-05 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$3	16	0	+16	open	—	05-05 12:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	05-05 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xced3c7…
05-06 01:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xb791ff…
05-05 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xc53fcd…
05-05 23:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0xb92f44…
05-05 23:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x7b7ee3…
05-05 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xd1ba79…
05-05 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x7aedd2…
05-05 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xdf46e2…
05-05 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x010ac3…
05-05 19:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x283aed…
05-05 18:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x89ab14…
05-05 18:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x6b0e36…
05-05 18:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x3a238c…
05-05 18:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xd400b8…
05-05 18:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x89dafc…
05-05 18:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xd12430…
05-05 15:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x619aef…
05-05 13:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0xd40061…
05-05 12:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x8b94af…
05-05 10:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xadb94c…
05-05 10:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xd7601f…
05-05 10:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x341207…
05-05 10:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xbf43c9…
05-05 07:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x91038a…
05-05 07:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x14f0e4…
05-05 07:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x983853…
05-05 07:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x3d1864…
05-05 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x74becb…
05-05 06:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x3e5170…
05-05 04:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xae0c8a…
05-05 04:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x6fd216…
05-05 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xdb0472…
05-05 02:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x4e447c…
05-05 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	47¢	$7	0x206e8f…
05-05 00:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	47¢	$7	0x75e614…
05-05 00:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xc0befe…
05-05 00:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0xab35f8…
05-05 00:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x7c6673…
05-04 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6eeae4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	25	$3.63K	139	05-06 01:09
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	24	$1.89K	112	05-05 23:35
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	24	$1.74K	102	05-05 23:35
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$4.14K	141	05-06 01:09
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	22	$3.48K	71	05-06 01:09
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	22	$1.82K	177	05-06 01:09
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	21	$1.59K	30	05-06 01:08
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	20	$1.26K	122	05-06 01:09