Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$133
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
126
Trades
211
lifetime
Volume
$16.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$1.59K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-31 19:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
43% 57% +$70
Politics
25% 50% +$17
Crypto
19% 62% +$80
Sports
13% 52% -$160
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +957 $600 60¢ $570 -$30 09-28 14:50
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +317 $200 88¢ $278 +$78 05-20 22:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +294 $200 70¢ $207 +$7 10-27 15:07
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +147 $100 74¢ $110 +$10 09-23 05:37
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +147 $100 74¢ $108 +$8 09-23 05:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +120 $100 86¢ $104 +$4 07-02 05:33
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +556 $150 12¢ $64 -$86 07-17 20:51
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +155 $100 38¢ $59 -$41 10-27 15:02
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +63 $50 73¢ $46 -$4 07-02 05:34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -143 -$57 22¢ $-32 +$25 07-06 22:22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $10 74¢ $13 +$3 06-13 15:53
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +118 $100 2¢ $2 -$98 09-20 18:30
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +755 $10 0¢ $1 -$9 10-31 19:24