Austere-Wasting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$423

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

732

Trades

1,281

lifetime

Volume

$7.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-30 11:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Other

87% 50% -$366

Sports

12% 60% -$10

Crypto

1% 29% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	5	$100	110	0	+110	Yes	+$10	04-19 16:10
will son heung min score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$74	81	0	+81	No	+$7	06-27 13:07
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	5	$70	90	40	+50	Yes	+$24	09-16 15:28
will oscar bobb score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$70	60	31	+29	No	+$15	07-10 18:35
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-28?	3	$53	80	0	+80	Yes	+$27	10-28 05:40
ere tel spa 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$50	78	0	+78	Over	-$50	04-16 10:03
Will Fulham qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?	1	$49	50	0	+50	No	+$1	05-19 05:15
Will Jong FC Utrecht win on 2026-09-18?	10	$49	55	25	+30	No	+$11	09-18 13:17
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	6	$48	65	23	+43	Yes	+$12	06-26 17:12
Will Heidelberg United FC win on 2026-07-21?	4	$45	55	0	+55	Yes	+$10	07-20 22:54
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-09-06?	5	$45	83	0	+83	No	-$45	09-03 10:10
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	9	$42	20	50	-30	Yes	+$26	05-18 07:20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	5	$39	50	30	+20	FC Bayern München	+$9	10-25 16:07
will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$38	40	0	+40	No	+$2	06-29 06:55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$37	40	0	+40	Yes	+$3	07-07 18:00
Will ADO Den Haag win on 2026-09-06?	5	$37	40	30	+10	No	+$4	09-06 10:35
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-01?	4	$37	70	0	+70	No	-$37	10-01 14:32
Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-07?	2	$36	45	0	+45	Yes	+$9	09-07 07:26
will declan rice score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$36	40	0	+40	Yes	-$36	07-15 21:32
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	4	$36	50	20	+30	Over	+$16	06-16 15:47
Will Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC win on 2026-10-17?	3	$36	55	0	+55	Yes	+$20	10-18 00:25
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$35	50	0	+50	No	+$15	05-30 14:27
Will Jason Steele be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$33	35	0	+35	No	+$2	05-19 04:09
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12?	3	$32	50	0	+50	Yes	+$18	10-12 15:59
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-09-13?	6	$31	50	0	+50	Yes	-$31	09-08 17:11
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5	3	$31	57	0	+57	Over	-$31	10-23 06:44
will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	6	$31	40	20	+20	No	-$25	07-15 15:36
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-25?	4	$30	60	0	+60	Yes	-$30	10-24 18:20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	1	$30	53	0	+53	FC Bayern München	+$23	09-30 05:46
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17?	6	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	-$6	05-17 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:04:22	Hull City AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf2e087…
10-29 13:48:40	Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x741f14…
10-29 12:13:14	Will Phnom Penh Crown FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x38fd4f…
10-29 10:45:40	Will FC Lorient win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xa83495…
10-29 06:35:25	PSV vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x50b741…
10-29 06:34:50	PSV vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x80fc21…
10-28 22:49:58	PSV vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x39282c…
10-28 15:26:32	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x598729…
10-28 15:26:29	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xc6313d…
10-28 14:34:28	Sparta Rotterdam vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9e3162…
10-28 10:34:29	Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xffdb46…
10-28 09:28:52	Spread: PSV (-2.5)	Willem II Tilburg	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xe63370…
10-28 08:59:05	Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2b50cc…
10-28 06:28:59	Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)	Kashima Antlers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbf5ea8…
10-28 06:28:59	Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)	Kashima Antlers	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x1936d2…
10-28 05:40:58	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x8abdb6…
10-28 03:33:40	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x9bd830…
10-28 03:08:06	Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)	Kashima Antlers	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x156814…
10-28 02:26:41	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xa595df…
10-27 12:50:09	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x3f17fa…
10-27 12:43:17	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0xca3510…
10-27 12:11:39	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc3e1be…
10-27 10:51:51	Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7b9b93…
10-25 16:07:21	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x215f82…
10-25 14:44:30	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x8ad33c…
10-25 14:08:29	Cádiz CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: Cádiz CF O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x812f1e…
10-25 13:40:41	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4a2838…
10-25 13:36:27	Cádiz CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: Cádiz CF O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xa29b40…
10-25 13:26:56	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x7dfd10…
10-25 13:26:18	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x40380d…
10-25 08:06:26	Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x372fec…
10-25 06:02:48	Sparta Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x44b088…
10-24 21:32:35	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x0d7af5…
10-24 18:35:08	Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5400c3…
10-24 18:20:24	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x145c0b…
10-24 16:45:57	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xbe27ec…
10-24 16:45:57	Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)	AFC Ajax	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x98b826…
10-24 16:38:48	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x1fc901…
10-24 16:09:12	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdff28a…
10-24 16:09:09	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x810345…
10-24 14:17:47	Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)	AD Ceuta FC	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x946e93…
10-24 14:16:44	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0c29df…
10-24 14:16:39	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x60fd1b…
10-24 14:16:35	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xea846c…
10-24 08:51:03	Will Angel City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x806924…
10-24 08:46:57	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xcb65b9…
10-24 08:34:05	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x221145…
10-24 07:52:09	Phoenix Rising FC vs. Lexington SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x5b78ed…
10-24 07:52:08	Phoenix Rising FC vs. Lexington SC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xed2578…
10-24 07:51:23	Phoenix Rising FC vs. Lexington SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xabad19…
10-24 07:51:23	Phoenix Rising FC vs. Lexington SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x9c4d13…
10-24 07:51:23	Phoenix Rising FC vs. Lexington SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x847f62…
10-24 07:51:23	Phoenix Rising FC vs. Lexington SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6bb239…
10-24 07:51:21	Phoenix Rising FC vs. Lexington SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x5e55e7…
10-24 07:41:05	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x5682de…
10-24 06:55:15	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xd6206a…
10-24 04:41:38	Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x4132d8…
10-24 00:25:17	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf59d6c…
10-23 22:30:35	Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)	Gil Vicente FC	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x6c434c…
10-23 21:01:03	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xae5cac…
10-23 19:22:27	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x557b4c…
10-23 16:47:57	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x5f0202…
10-23 16:45:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x6db723…
10-23 16:18:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa61306…
10-23 12:53:00	Will PSV win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xde2b50…
10-23 12:33:15	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa9e141…
10-23 12:32:51	Will Willem II Tilburg win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xad4620…
10-23 07:43:47	Will PSV win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xd0df0e…
10-23 06:44:32	Go Ahead Eagles vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x077cce…
10-23 06:36:11	Go Ahead Eagles vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe837ac…
10-22 21:38:09	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5c11ae…
10-22 19:42:21	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x91ed3d…
10-22 17:23:24	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xd3e0f2…
10-22 15:48:24	Go Ahead Eagles vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x327725…
10-22 06:04:20	Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xf34188…
10-22 06:04:20	Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x16cca5…
10-22 05:45:49	Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb7534e…
10-21 16:23:11	Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x197a0a…
10-21 15:40:26	Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x273124…
10-21 12:15:20	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x30d660…
10-21 10:54:09	FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xe81d8d…
10-21 09:39:45	Will NAC Breda win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x152efd…
10-21 09:15:50	Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0x9f25b8…
10-21 09:15:50	Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x669328…
10-21 09:11:29	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2994ad…
10-21 03:43:57	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x2e8976…
10-21 02:32:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc2a451…
10-20 19:31:09	Will FF Jaro win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc4a501…
10-20 19:11:47	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xafbed0…
10-20 19:07:32	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x396ea6…
10-20 18:21:39	Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x28e75b…
10-20 16:08:57	Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x3d2114…
10-20 15:11:12	FC Porto vs. PSV: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x904fa2…
10-20 15:00:03	Spread: AS Roma (-3.5)	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x941362…
10-20 14:51:21	Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)	PSV	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x20ebac…
10-20 12:43:06	Spread: AS Roma (-3.5)	ŠK Slovan Bratislava	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xcf0d94…
10-18 15:52:33	Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd5caca…
10-18 12:54:56	Will AZ win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xcbb2fe…
10-18 00:25:47	Spread: Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC (-1.5)	Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xc44a57…
10-18 00:25:47	Will Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8cbec3…