Different-Drawer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.16K

Hit rate

21.6%

Resolved

Trades

841

lifetime

Volume

$34.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$1.68K

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-27 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

57% 36% -$6,593

Politics

43% 13% -$9,675

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+20,000	$1,100	4¢	$820	-$280	08-22 02:54
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+12,000	$500	4¢	$426	-$74	10-02 19:10
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	+2,150	$610	8¢	$183	-$428	08-16 07:40
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+4,101	$112	3¢	$109	-$3	09-07 17:38
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+2,952	$84	3¢	$91	+$8	10-27 03:07
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	-2,434	$340	2¢	$-47	-$387	10-06 13:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	81	$6.0K	357,100	357,100	+0	No	-$5,318	04-27 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	29	$3.0K	5,359	5,359	+0	open	—	07-19 05:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	38	$2.7K	29,526	29,198	+327	No	-$2,526	04-29 08:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	28	$2.4K	7,612	7,607	+5	No	-$1,603	04-27 14:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	17	$1.9K	18,747	21,181	-2,434	open	—	10-06 13:19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	51	$1.8K	57,501	0	+57,501	Yes	-$1,777	04-21 15:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	56	$1.5K	45,107	43,663	+1,444	No	-$1,085	04-27 14:32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	No	+$31	04-29 10:25
Trump out as President before 2027?	117	$1.1K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	08-22 02:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	18	$963	9,300	9,300	+0	No	-$773	04-27 14:30
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	3	$925	500	500	+0	Yes	+$15	06-22 23:59
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	18	$855	8,300	8,300	+0	No	-$636	04-27 14:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	15	$852	7,000	6,000	+1,000	No	+$127	05-23 18:03
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	24	$639	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$361	04-22 14:50
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	8	$610	2,150	0	+2,150	open	—	08-16 07:40
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	11	$573	8,500	8,500	+0	No	-$466	04-30 13:54
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	12	$556	6,420	6,420	+0	No	-$188	07-15 16:35
New pandemic in 2026?	23	$500	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	10-02 19:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	24	$440	1,000	500	+500	Yes	+$60	04-30 10:36
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	2	$393	600	0	+600	Yes	+$207	06-23 03:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	9	$386	30,517	29,310	+1,206	No	-$326	04-27 14:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	31	$385	7,081	7,081	+0	No	+$15	05-28 15:46
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	17	$380	2,200	2,200	+0	No	-$362	06-23 01:50
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	1	$332	400	0	+400	Yes	+$68	06-24 13:14
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	41	$320	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	-$320	05-11 01:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	33	$283	29,100	20,000	+9,100	No	-$243	04-26 12:42
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	25	$279	31,975	0	+31,975	No	-$279	04-12 19:09
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	4	$270	300	300	+0	Yes	+$90	05-11 20:16
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	4	$262	3,500	500	+3,000	No	+$38	06-21 23:40
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$240	129	129	+0	Yes	+$18	03-30 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:07:00	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,838	3¢	$51	0x65101c…
10-27 02:42:53	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xf408d3…
10-26 20:43:26	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0x1ecac0…
10-06 13:19:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,181	2¢	$188	0x9c808b…
10-02 19:10:50	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	978	4¢	$39	0xbc9a4f…
10-01 14:06:53	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0xc91922…
10-01 07:10:45	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0xafacac…
09-30 18:30:15	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,297	4¢	$52	0x4ebf10…
09-29 16:49:27	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xf631d0…
09-28 16:40:00	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0x5ad688…
09-28 13:46:39	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb8346d…
09-28 13:40:50	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x355a74…
09-25 11:59:36	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,895	4¢	$196	0x7b4a66…
09-17 18:23:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	5¢	$480	0x3f53d2…
09-13 16:52:57	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x2fa7cb…
09-13 14:25:15	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x38bb4e…
09-12 13:32:06	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xa5e2f7…
09-11 23:00:19	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x97c34e…
09-11 13:37:36	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0xda6ac2…
09-11 13:37:19	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0xbb3e97…
09-11 13:37:18	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x3f97ee…
09-11 13:37:15	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x5a1367…
09-11 13:37:07	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,597	4¢	$64	0x1bb37a…
09-07 17:38:10	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,095	2¢	$25	0x890229…
08-31 18:13:31	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$19	0xddc828…
08-30 13:31:58	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x0d8d3c…
08-30 11:50:00	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	4¢	$6	0xea31c9…
08-30 10:55:04	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x316845…
08-30 10:53:22	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x52134b…
08-30 10:12:16	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xdadbf2…
08-30 10:11:55	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	4¢	$4	0x26f79e…
08-30 04:12:10	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x463836…
08-22 02:54:06	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	595	5¢	$30	0xc1dbed…
08-22 02:44:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xa63b71…
08-21 17:59:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x005fa4…
08-21 16:48:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x83121d…
08-21 09:33:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x0957ec…
08-21 09:11:36	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xa36e2a…
08-21 06:35:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xe40817…
08-21 05:30:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x208abf…
08-21 04:20:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xef9d5d…
08-21 03:27:33	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x51b1a0…
08-21 00:01:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0cdb6a…
08-20 22:22:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x512023…
08-20 18:55:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x36fca0…
08-20 16:57:16	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0xe16116…
08-20 16:46:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x24fbaa…
08-20 14:36:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8c842a…
08-20 14:16:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xa935fc…
08-20 11:59:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xfd6d86…
08-20 11:58:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x238205…
08-20 10:19:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	526	5¢	$26	0x6d3848…
08-20 10:18:33	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xdf2b66…
08-20 10:03:31	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xaedaa8…
08-20 09:55:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x6aeacd…
08-20 09:53:49	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0x69bfb2…
08-20 09:48:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x808577…
08-20 09:26:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x411321…
08-20 09:25:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xb313ce…
08-20 09:25:37	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x90e893…
08-20 09:25:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xad3769…
08-20 09:24:57	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x14a898…
08-20 09:24:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x2452b8…
08-20 09:24:48	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x1fceda…
08-20 09:24:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd6253a…
08-20 09:24:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xcb664a…
08-20 09:24:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5d2326…
08-20 09:24:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa31580…
08-20 09:24:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1e00b7…
08-20 09:24:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xdcc8c7…
08-20 09:24:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5a8ca6…
08-20 09:24:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	96	5¢	$5	0x530071…
08-20 09:24:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x48fd92…
08-20 09:24:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x26bc4f…
08-20 09:10:19	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xf1a0b2…
08-20 08:23:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x21867f…
08-20 08:14:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	128	5¢	$6	0x3b84de…
08-20 08:03:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x36c87a…
08-20 02:44:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xec30d1…
08-20 02:44:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe84ffc…
08-19 20:56:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0xa9069b…
08-19 18:17:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x167d80…
08-19 17:28:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	196	5¢	$10	0x286237…
08-19 16:24:18	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,472	5¢	$274	0x3fa044…
08-17 05:11:52	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	5¢	$25	0x1cfcb3…
08-16 16:47:28	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x073925…
08-16 07:40:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	1,000	20¢	$200	0xc3693d…
08-16 00:03:31	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x436d1d…
08-11 05:00:10	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xfcd929…
08-10 22:20:33	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,213	5¢	$61	0x88cea8…
08-04 15:04:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xaac76c…
08-04 13:35:35	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,255	6¢	$135	0x2d0310…
08-04 13:00:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	6¢	$18	0x880090…
08-04 12:47:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0xfb9211…
08-04 12:36:26	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	164	6¢	$10	0x419227…
08-04 12:13:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x6edce3…
08-04 10:53:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0xad9867…
08-04 10:02:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x4ace24…
08-04 10:01:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x1ecc7e…
08-04 10:01:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x33f982…