Impish-Application — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.4%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$8.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-19 19:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Politics

33% 75% $-1

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$272	138	138	+0	open	—	04-08 14:36
will sepp straka win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$271	138	138	+0	open	—	04-06 12:46
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$270	142	142	+0	open	—	04-24 09:22
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	5	$267	138	138	+0	open	—	03-23 22:38
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	11	$266	286	286	+0	No	+$0	05-08 17:45
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	8	$257	139	139	+0	open	—	04-12 12:41
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$256	134	134	+0	open	—	04-12 15:43
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	5	$256	134	134	+0	open	—	04-23 14:12
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	4	$256	130	130	+0	open	—	04-23 04:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	5	$253	132	132	+0	open	—	05-11 04:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	6	$155	220	220	+0	No	$-2	05-02 00:54
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	3	$151	78	78	+0	open	—	03-24 05:27
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	2	$144	73	73	+0	open	—	04-25 04:06
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	2	$144	73	73	+0	open	—	03-30 06:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$143	73	73	+0	open	—	04-26 15:34
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$143	72	72	+0	open	—	04-27 09:35
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$141	74	74	+0	open	—	04-22 23:40
Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?	2	$141	73	73	+0	open	—	04-20 08:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$141	73	73	+0	No	+$0	05-09 20:43
Iran leadership change by April 30?	6	$139	146	146	+0	open	—	04-26 01:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	5	$136	138	138	+0	open	—	05-12 13:39
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 380 399	2	$136	71	71	+0	open	—	03-24 12:34
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 360 379	2	$135	70	70	+0	open	—	03-25 02:56
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$135	74	74	+0	open	—	03-25 14:49
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	2	$135	71	71	+0	open	—	03-25 20:54
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	3	$135	72	72	+0	open	—	03-24 20:51
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 380 399	2	$135	68	68	+0	open	—	03-20 13:41
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	7	$134	209	209	+0	open	—	04-30 20:31
new stranger things episode released by april 30	2	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	03-20 00:59
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	3	$134	71	71	+0	open	—	03-26 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 19:22:27	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xd7f6b4…
05-19 19:22:27	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x832479…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	72	5¢	$3	0xe23585…
05-13 10:59:22	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x82bb72…
05-12 13:39:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x9d8d00…
05-12 13:39:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x5859ee…
05-12 09:30:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0xe9137a…
05-12 04:17:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0xfd7b8c…
05-12 01:26:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x0b77a0…
05-11 11:08:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	71	6¢	$5	0x5b321d…
05-11 10:05:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	6¢	$5	0xd39767…
05-11 04:02:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0xda63a6…
05-11 02:09:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0xc966cc…
05-11 02:09:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xb8ff30…
05-09 20:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0x241758…
05-09 18:02:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xeff6c5…
05-09 03:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xeea11f…
05-09 01:39:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$63	0x048364…
05-08 17:45:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x87a5df…
05-08 17:45:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x13cba5…
05-08 10:16:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x7d7131…
05-08 10:16:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x576050…
05-08 07:01:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0x0f53e5…
05-08 02:53:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x7c85af…
05-07 22:06:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	3¢	$2	0x7acce4…
05-07 19:43:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xf8067e…
05-07 19:43:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0xd0f279…
05-07 00:09:17	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0x15880c…
05-06 21:07:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x52b236…
05-05 14:44:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	65	96¢	$62	0xa19191…
05-05 11:44:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x46ebd9…
05-03 19:42:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	6¢	$5	0x061843…
05-03 16:43:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x3ead48…
05-03 13:15:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0x063b64…
05-03 09:37:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x31f661…
05-02 00:54:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	74	94¢	$70	0xaa761f…
05-01 23:00:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0xc5c94f…
05-01 07:47:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	5¢	$7	0xeb3e54…
05-01 05:36:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	6¢	$4	0xf83d1f…
05-01 05:36:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x14177a…
05-01 05:36:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x10d077…
04-30 20:31:30	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0xacfd4c…
04-30 20:31:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xe1650a…
04-30 17:10:04	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0x7f7fae…
04-30 15:15:38	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xba2267…
04-30 15:15:36	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x6bad29…
04-30 09:01:20	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$65	0xc172f3…
04-30 07:47:20	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xe361fe…
04-29 19:04:40	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0xb2440a…
04-29 15:51:14	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$65	0xc92ebb…
04-29 15:05:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x17ad1f…
04-29 10:08:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xdc4331…
04-27 13:37:54	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	146	2¢	$3	0x8e757a…
04-27 10:49:06	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xefa32b…
04-27 10:49:06	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0xb2cf8e…
04-27 10:49:06	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x8a6944…
04-27 09:35:24	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0x5d2d14…
04-27 07:30:40	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x49e4d7…
04-26 20:51:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	72	2¢	$1	0xa850ff…
04-26 19:24:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	72	2¢	$1	0x728890…
04-26 15:34:26	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	73	98¢	$71	0xa08f23…
04-26 14:07:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0x1340c7…
04-26 01:08:24	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x6b5747…
04-26 01:08:24	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0x302c35…
04-25 20:56:08	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	69	96¢	$66	0xedf44d…
04-25 16:01:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	183	4¢	$8	0x37495e…
04-25 13:14:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	106	4¢	$4	0xfdb6e9…
04-25 13:14:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x9a9f4a…
04-25 13:14:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	59	4¢	$2	0x7384dd…
04-25 09:18:22	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xe1c38d…
04-25 09:18:20	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa93522…
04-25 05:30:54	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xbd16cf…
04-25 05:30:54	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa2c5ac…
04-25 04:06:46	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x99bd97…
04-25 02:11:54	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xdf8537…
04-24 09:22:00	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	66	98¢	$65	0x3fb956…
04-24 07:18:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$65	0xc113de…
04-24 04:57:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x402e29…
04-24 04:57:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$53	0x11ecc9…
04-24 00:23:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	69	93¢	$64	0x653400…
04-23 22:27:02	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x8a6cf6…
04-23 21:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xfa4d0c…
04-23 14:12:44	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x408aee…
04-23 12:41:50	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x43286d…
04-23 08:36:22	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0x05b4ef…
04-23 04:43:14	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x5f46f1…
04-23 00:59:48	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xc4d213…
04-22 23:40:24	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	95¢	$53	0x9b099b…
04-22 23:40:24	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x2368f5…
04-22 21:21:32	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	95¢	$71	0x6207b6…
04-22 12:34:20	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0x1e7e8f…
04-22 09:46:52	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x49ea9c…
04-21 18:44:18	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	67	95¢	$64	0x1e6031…
04-21 15:16:50	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0xdbf472…
04-21 05:12:28	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	76	93¢	$70	0x7a0267…
04-21 05:11:42	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	93¢	$70	0x57ef21…
04-20 11:17:42	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0xc8e508…
04-20 09:46:54	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0xae2d10…
04-20 09:46:54	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x6c1a39…
04-20 08:07:52	Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0xccdecd…